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All across the Great Western territory => Looking forward - after Coronavirus to 2045 => Topic started by: Milky Bar Kid on July 17, 2012, 15:25:31



Title: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: Milky Bar Kid on July 17, 2012, 15:25:31
Not looking good for cornwall intercity links. Dft possible 6 services specified a day in new franchise.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: devon_metro on July 17, 2012, 15:29:18
If First retain the franchise I suspect they won't change much - they learnt their lesson in 2006!


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: marky7890 on July 17, 2012, 22:38:49
I am confused now. On Spotlight this evening they have said about the cuts, but yet on the BBC news site they say The department of transport have confirmed there will be no cuts.  ???





Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: RichardB on July 18, 2012, 01:08:17
I am confused now. On Spotlight this evening they have said about the cuts, but yet on the BBC news site they say The department of transport have confirmed there will be no cuts.  ???


Not quite, I'm afraid, Marky   http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cornwall-18873898

The DfT spokesman simply promised "regular train services".

We'll know soon - I hope the fears turn out to be unfounded.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: JayMac on July 18, 2012, 04:53:28
The current Greater Western franchise Service Level Commitment specifies 7 weekday services between London Paddington<->Penzance. That's 6 daytime services in each direction and one that must leave Paddington between 2300-0030 and one that must start back from Penzance and leave Plymouth between 2330-0100.

See: http://assets.dft.gov.uk/publications/rail-passenger-franchise-agreement-first-great-western/fgwcommitment1.pdf#page=30 para 3.11.

If the next franchise specifies the same service level commitment as these rumours seem to be suggesting then a reduction from what currently runs will not be the fault of the Department for Transport. FGW currently provide more London-Penzance services than the minimum specified. It'll be up to the winning bidder to decide on the commercial case for providing more than the specified minimum.

It's a little surprising that interested parties in Cornwall are now bringing this matter to greater attention. The time to have made noises and representations was during the franchise consultation period.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: IndustryInsider on July 18, 2012, 13:29:12
So the specification will continue as before then - as the consultation said that the base service would be guaranteed to be at least as good as it is now.  FGW run the additional service for a reason I would have thought: it makes money!  I can't see that commercial decision changing with ever-growing passenger numbers.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: Milky Bar Kid on July 18, 2012, 14:50:13
To be fair to FGW they have gone over and beyond on most services they offer compared to what the dft specify


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: Andrew1939 from West Oxon on July 18, 2012, 15:00:23
It is also fair to point out that some services have seen cuts since the above "Final" 2006 SLC was published and is still shown on the DfT as "Final". As an example, Ascott-u-Wychwood (on the Cotswold Line) has had all of its Saturday services withdrawn but they are still shown on the DfT document. I wonder how many other adverse changes may have been made.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: RichardB on July 19, 2012, 13:09:42
Cornwall Council press release here

http://www.cornwall.gov.uk/default.aspx?page=31898


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: FarWestJohn on July 19, 2012, 13:33:44
As the franchise is for 15 years let us hope they have at least made the PNZ - PAD nine trains a day.

Especially as traffic is increasing and the Government says it is encouraging rail transport.

It will not be long before we find out but I do find it strange that the Council has not realised all this during the consultation period.

I cannot believe the Council had not noticed the timetabled current nine a day was not the franchised minimum of six.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: Southern Stag on July 19, 2012, 14:29:06
The franchise consultation did state that the new minimum specified service level would be the current service level, not the current minimum, so there it was assumed there was no need to campaign against service cuts, just for improvements. That is quite important in Cornwall where currently there are a lot more services run than the minimum, on the branches as well as the mainline.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: JayMac on July 19, 2012, 15:48:12
The franchise consultation did state that the new minimum specified service level would be the current service level, not the current minimum, so there it was assumed there was no need to campaign against service cuts, just for improvements.

The Franchise Consultation (http://assets.dft.gov.uk/consultations/dft-2011-36/great-western-franchise-replacement.pdf#page=38) document said this (and I stand somewhat corrected from my earlier post):

Quote
The current level of service will provide our starting point for deciding what goes into the new franchise. We will therefore expect bidders to base their proposals around the overall current level of service as set out in the most recent FGW timetable, rather than the contracted minimum, and we welcome consultees^ views on this.

Are interested parties in Cornwall getting wind of a change of heart by the DfT? Or is it just rumour and hearsay flying around at the moment?



Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: IndustryInsider on July 19, 2012, 18:01:42
I stand corrected on my comment too.  That's a small, but important, distinction!


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: eightf48544 on July 20, 2012, 10:09:32

Are interested parties in Cornwall getting wind of a change of heart by the DfT? Or is it just rumour and hearsay flying around at the moment?


Probably, don't forget Murphy's law applies:

If DaFT can get it wrong then they will.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: grahame on July 21, 2012, 06:04:50
I have been ... holding back ... from posting in this thread as I know little about the metrics of passenger travel in Cornwall.  However, some points

a) The current service level OR the current specified service level were the only two sensible points from which the DfT could have started the discussion in the consultation, and I think they got it doubly right by going for exisiting service level.   It's the point from which we have the most up-to-date data, and it's also the one that everyone can understand

b) On the TransWilts, we chose to respond looking at all scenarios; unusually, the current service level and pattern is distrinctly odd, and everyone agrees "could do better".  And "all scenarios" includes both up and down; I suspect that is / was a prudent move. At worst, we have wasted a bit of our time looking at "what-if"s that don't happen.

c) There are some places / areas where we already know that the status quo cannot realistically hold beyond electricifcation as it was (or indeed now is) announced. For example, it would be a surprise to find an hourly Bedwyn to Paddington through service running under the wires all the way from Newbury to Paddington. The solutions could be any one of (i) local shuttle (ii) reduced service (iii) electrify to Bedwyn or (iv) move to B&H outer stopper service, all stations Taunton or Exeter to Newbury then RDG and PAD.

d) There are some services which are more operationally convenenient than provided for significant passenger flows, and including those in the spec would tie down the next operator unnecessarily. I would argue against a specification that's drawn up in a way that it forces (or strongly creates an environment for) a less than optimum service as far as passenger are concerned.

e) We're looking at 15 years, with a doubling to trebling of passengers in that time. Will a single service level really work?  For sure, on many lines we'll be looking at extra capacity more from the lengthening of trains than by increased frequencyr. But on others the train service should change; more trains will encourgse more passengers due to better frequency and opportunities.

f) With the current fare system potentially undergoing change (consultation last month), and one of the desired effects being to level out the peaks somewat - a bit of a holy grail, I fear - there could be balance changes too on services; better use of stock and seats outside the peak, and a further reduction of the remaining commuter flows of trains where there's a whole series over a short period, then much more intermittent in other periods.

Footnote - Current through Penzance to Paddington services, Monday to Friday
From PNZ: 05:05, 05:41, 06:45, 07:41, 08:44, 10:00 (10:47, high summer) 14:00 16:00 17:39, 21:45
From PAD: 07:30, 10:06, 12:06, (13:06 not high summer), 14:06, 15:06, 16:06, 17:03, 18:03, (19:03 FO), 23:45
Most services run via the Berks and Hants line.  A few are via Bristol.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: grahame on July 21, 2012, 06:41:16

d) There are some services which are more operationally convenenient than provided for significant passenger flows, and including those in the spec would tie down the next operator unnecessarily. I would argue against a specification that's drawn up in a way that it forces (or strongly creates an environment for) a less than optimum service as far as passenger are concerned.


Good example came up just a few minutes ago.  The 06:48 Portsmouth Harbour to Brighton (arrive 08:15) is cancelled this morning. Quick look on journey check shows that the 06:45 from PMH, change at Havant, will get you to Brighton at 08:18.  Being a Saturday, I would expect there to be plenty of room on the remaining train.

Even if there's a franchise requiement to have an GW unit in Brighton to form a subsequent departure, I contend that it's reasonable to leave it (on Saturday morning at least) to the GW TOC to decide if the unit runs a service from PMH first, or perhaps an extra North Downs service from Reading to Gatwick and on to Brighton, giving extra strength to the airport for everyone flying away on their Saturday package holidays.  Or for the unit to be parked up at Preston Park overnight from Friday ...


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on July 27, 2012, 23:08:57
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-cornwall-19016435):

Quote
Cornwall MPs concerned over London-Penzance trains

Cornwall's Liberal Democrat MPs have raised concerns the number of direct trains between London and Penzance have not been guaranteed under a proposed rail franchise.

Travellers currently have nine direct services on offer a day. But the Department of Transport (DfT) said the Great Western franchise would provide nine links a day - with at least six involving direct services.

MPs said they would keep applying pressure on the government.

The DfT said it had asked bidders to explore how services might be improved.

Rail Minister Theresa Villiers announced on Friday the requirements expected of the successful bidder for the 15-year franchise. She said the sleeper service to Penzance would be retained and an extra early, fast train from London to Plymouth introduced.

However, she added a final decision had not been taken on the exact number of direct services between London and Penzance. She said: "The invitation to tender requires the continuation of nine journey opportunities between London and Penzance each day - in addition to the sleeper - with at least six being provided by through trains."

Any non-through services would involve passengers having to change trains.

The MPs - North Cornwall's Dan Rogerson, St Austell and Newquay's Stephen Gilbert, and St Ives' Andrew George - said they were to continue lobbying for nine to be the minimum amount of direct trains.

Mr George said the minister's announcement was "not the clear victory Cornwall needs". He said: "We have everything to play for now. We must keep up the pressure until at least the tender deadline of October 2012."

The three Lib Dems are half of the county's six MPs.

The leader of Conservative-Independent led Cornwall Council, Alec Robertson, said the news was an improvement on what was previously feared. He said: "A couple of weeks ago, a service of nine journeys was off the table. But now the minister has asked for bidders to bid on both options [nine direct services, or nine services involving connections], so we have nine services back on the table."

The new franchise is due begin on 21 July 2013.

The four shortlisted bidders from run the franchise are: First Great Western Trains Ltd, GW Trains Ltd, NXGW Trains Ltd and Stagecoach Great Western Trains Ltd.

First has run the Great Western franchise since 2005.

The new operator would be announced in March 2013, the government said.


Title: Re: Paddington - Penzance potential service cuts
Post by: Kernow Otter on July 28, 2012, 12:26:54
Interesting radio interview from BBC Radio Cornwall with Alec Robertson - leader of Cornwall Council, followed by Chris Pomphret - Chairman of Cornwall and Isles of Scilly Local Enterprise Partnership, on the subject of the ITT and how it relates to Cornwall.

http://www.bbc.co.uk/radio/player/p00vxcjx

from 00:28.15.  6 days only.



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