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All across the Great Western territory => The Wider Picture - related rail and other transport issues => Topic started by: Timmer on August 15, 2012, 07:03:42



Title: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Timmer on August 15, 2012, 07:03:42
It's First Group. Sky News reports


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 07:09:06
Congratulations to FirstGroup. Two weeks or more since the guardian first speculated. Never really in doubt was it?

FirstGroup will take over from Virgin Trains at 0200 on 9th December 2012.

FirstGroup statement to the London Stock Exchange (http://www.londonstockexchange.com/exchange/news/market-news/market-news-detail.html?announcementId=11298256):

Quote
FIRSTGROUP WELCOMES AWARD OF INTERCITY WEST COAST RAIL FRANCHISE

FirstGroup, the leading transport provider in the UK and North America, is delighted to have been awarded the contract by the Department for Transport ("DfT") to operate the new InterCity West Coast rail franchise until 2026.

The new franchise will offer substantial improvements in the quality and frequency of services which will attract far greater numbers of passengers, enabling InterCity West Coast to achieve a modal share comparable to other intercity franchises in the UK. This growth will create greater long term opportunities for employees; generate solid returns for shareholders and justify the substantial Government investment of ^9 billion that this railway has received by providing better value for taxpayers.

InterCity West Coast is unique because it has a considerable amount of unused capacity that will expand further with the addition of 106 new Pendolino coaches by the start of our new franchise. This capacity exists on the key growth corridor for the UK economy, linking a number of the UK's largest andgrowing major urban areas including London, the West Midlands, Greater Manchester, Liverpool and Glasgow. We will add to that capacity through the introduction of 11 new 125mph six-car electric multiple units to operate on Birmingham-Glasgow services, which will free up the Voyager trains to deliver direct services and improve connectivity to even more destinations.

The new franchise will commence on 9 December 2012 and run for 13 years and 4 months. The route, which currently has annual revenues of around ^900m, is expected to generate an operating margin of approximately 5% over the life of the franchise, and will return a premium to the Government of ^5.5 billion at net present value over the franchise term. Over the past ten years revenues on the franchise have increased at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10.2%, despite limited incentive to increase passenger revenues as a result of revenue share/support arrangements during the last five years. For the new franchise a CAGR of 10.4% is expected, which is supported by passenger and revenue focused operating investment and backed by substantial capacity increases. Improvements to drive additional passenger growth will be supported by operating investment of ^350m in the first five years of the new franchise.

Commenting, Tim O'Toole, Chief Executive said:

"We are delighted to be selected by Government to operate this unique railway which connects communities across the country and plays a vital role in the UK's economic growth. Our winning bid is a deliverable proposition that is compelling for all who want to see a greater use of our rail networks. We will be making significant improvements including reduced journey times and introducing new direct services. We will improve marketing and deliver a smart ticketing system, refreshed and improved train interiors, station upgrades and even better catering. In support of our commitment to generate increased passenger growth we will be reducing Standard Anytime fares by 15% on average.

"With a strong focus on service quality we will continue to invest in front line staff and look forward to welcoming new employees to the Group, providing them with long term opportunities from an enhanced and reinvigorated railway. Our bid also delivers value for taxpayers by returning premiums to the Government underpinned by sustainable growth in passenger numbers and revenues from the utilisation of significant available capacity. The new franchise will provide an economic return for our shareholders and is value enhancing from day one.

"As the UK's largest rail operator with a highly experienced management team, we have established a vast wealth of knowledge with unrivalled expertise in operating every type of rail franchise. We have a proven track record of generating growth from investment in customer service enhancements and innovation, together with a strong focus on operational delivery and financial discipline.

"The award of Intercity West Coast marks a key milestone in renewing and developing our long-term UK Rail portfolio. We look forward to bringing an exciting mix of innovation, and customer and service improvements to InterCity West Coast and creating a better railway for all."

Key highlights of the new franchise include the following benefits for customers:

Timetable and trains

  * Transforming the on-board environment with a major refurbishment of Pendolino and Voyager interiors, with new seats throughout and improved luggage space
   
  * Introducing 11 new 125mph six-car electric trains for Birmingham - Scotland services which will create 12,000 additional seats per day. This is on top of the 28,000 new seats that will be provided by the additional 106 Pendolino carriages that are coming into service in time for the start of the new franchise. This means there will be 40,000 extra seats by 2016, compared with 2011
   
  * Improved journey time of 15 minutes for trains between London and Glasgow
   
  * Introducing new direct services from London to Blackpool, Telford, Shrewsbury and Bolton providing a new direct link to the capital for more than 500,000 people
   
  * Doubling frequency of London to Preston services and adding capacity to Chester and North Wales
   
  * Improving connectivity with more stops at Nuneaton and Milton Keynes
   
  * Reliability and punctuality improvements to increase Public Performance Measure to over 90% (from current level of 85.9%) through targeted investment and a new alliance with Network Rail
   
Fares and ticketing

  * Reducing Standard Anytime fares by 15% on average
   
  * Installation of automatic ticket gates at 21 stations, including the major terminals of London Euston, Manchester Piccadilly, Liverpool Lime Street and Glasgow Central
   
  * Investment in greater yield management capability to help grow demand with increased marketing and introducing a new customer loyalty programme
   
Enhanced customer offering and innovation

  * Smart ticketing system introduced across the network
   
  * Free upgraded high speed Wi-Fi and enhanced mobile phone coverage following train refurbishment
   
  * Enhanced catering service offered with increased at seat catering for customers
   
  * Improved information systems including new customer mobile apps
   
  * Station investment includes improving accessibility, security and passenger information
   
  * Commitment to high quality service including a greater emphasis on customer facing staff on trains and at stations
   
Additional information:

New franchise capital requirements and guarantees:

  * Minimal cash requirement - ^10m ordinary share capital in cash
   
Contingent capital:

  * ^190m subordinated revolving loan facility, supported by 3 year bank guarantees, no indexation
   
  * ^45m performance bond increasing at RPI per annum, no requirement to be cash backed
   
  * ^5m limited liability season ticket bond increasing by RPI. Matching advance cash for season ticket travel
   
  * ^15m station repair unsecured guarantee increasing by RPI


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 07:14:54
From the Department for Transport (http://www.dft.gov.uk/news/press-releases/dft-press-20120815a/):

Quote
New operator for West Coast rail passengers

Rail passengers from London to Scotland will benefit from a package of improvements including more trains and more seats, as Rail Minister Theresa Villiers unveiled First West Coast Limited as the new operator for the ^InterCity West Coast^ franchise.

As part of the deal First West Coast Limited will introduce 11 new six-car electric trains which will enable more seats to be provided across the franchise, including greater capacity on the Birmingham to Scotland route. New services are planned from Blackpool, Telford, Shrewsbury and Bolton to London. First West Coast Limited has also committed to cut the cost of its ^Standard Anytime^ fares by an average of 15% within the first two years.

The franchise stretches from London to Glasgow, connecting many of the UK^s major cities including Manchester, Liverpool, Birmingham, Wolverhampton, Edinburgh, Lancaster and Chester. The franchise deal is worth ^5.5 billion (net present value) over the lifetime of the contract.

Rail Minister Theresa Villiers said:

^This new franchise will deliver big improvements for passengers, with more seats and plans for more services. Targets to meet on passenger satisfaction will be introduced for the first time in an InterCity rail franchise and passengers will also benefit from smart ticketing and from investment in stations. The West Coast is the first of the new longer franchises to be let by the Coalition which has helped us secure real benefits for passengers by encouraging First West Coast Limited to invest in the future of the service.^

Benefits the new franchise will offer passengers include:

-More Seats: The new 11 six-car electric trains will deliver circa 12,000 extra seats a day, from December 2016 with the cascade of existing rolling stock to bolster capacity on West Coast routes. This is in addition to the 106 extra ^Pendolino^ carriages which are currently being introduced into operation on to the franchise, which will deliver over 28,000 extra daily seats.

-More Services: Initially First West Coast Limited will operate the timetable they will inherit from the current franchise but are seeking to introduce a number of new services including a London Euston to Blackpool service from 2013 and from 2016 services from London to Telford Central, Shrewsbury and Bolton.

-Improved Services: Journey time improvements between London and Glasgow are planned, as well as additional services from London to Preston.

-Fares: First West Coast Limited is changing its Standard Anytime fares and reducing them by an average of 15% over the first two years of the franchise.

-Improved Stations: First West Coast Limited is taking over responsibility for maintenance at 17 of their stations and will spend at least ^22m on a station investment programme.

-Smart ticketing technology: First West Coast Limited will introduce ITSO based smart ticketing. This will offer speed and convenience as well as new ticket types more tailored to individual needs.




Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 15, 2012, 07:15:15
Edit; BNM beat me to it by 30 seconds.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 07:34:31
Statement from Sir Richard Branson (http://mediaroom.virgintrains.co.uk/):

Quote
Following the DFT's decision to award the West Coast Mainline franchise to FirstGroup, Sir Richard Branson, founder of Virgin Group,  said:

^The Government decision to award the West Coast Main Line Franchise to FirstGroup is extremely disappointing for Virgin, and for our staff that have worked so hard to transform this railway over the last 15 years.  We submitted a strong and deliverable bid based on improving customers^ experience, increased investment and sustained innovation. To have bid more would have involved dramatic cuts to customer quality and considerable fare rises which we were unwilling to entertain.

^We also did not want to risk letting everybody down with almost certain bankruptcy at some time during the franchise as happened to GNER and National Express who overbid on the East Coast mainline. Sadly the Government has chosen to take that risk with First Group and we only hope they will continue to drive dramatic improvements on this line for years to come without letting everybody down.

^We won the franchise in 1997 with an agenda to change radically the way people viewed and used the train. At the time the track was run-down, staff demoralised, the service riddled with delays and reliant on heavy subsidies. We set hugely challenging targets to dramatically speed up journey times with modern tilting trains, increase the frequency of the service, improve the on-board experience; as well as double passenger numbers and return the line to profit.

^We were told it was "Mission Impossible" and our plans were laughed at by critics. However 15 years later, despite continued problems with the track, we have achieved our targets. Passenger numbers have more than doubled to over 30 million, the fastest growth in the UK and world leading. We have the highest customer satisfaction of any long distance franchise operator and dominate the air/rail market between London and Manchester. It has been a remarkable achievement by an outstanding team who have successfully delivered on our promises.

^I am immensely proud of our staff for turning the West Coast line from a heavily loss-making operation into one that will return the taxpayer billions in the years to come.  Last year we paid a net premium of ^160 million to the taxpayer and have created a franchise worth more than ^6 billion which is hugely valuable to the country.

^These achievements have counted for little ^ as this is the fourth time that we have been out-bid in a rail tender. On the past three occasions, the winning operator has come nowhere close to delivering their promised plans and revenue, and has let the public and country down dramatically. In the case of the East Coast Main line, both winners ^ GNER and National Express - over promised in order to win the franchise and spectacularly ran into financial difficulties in trying to deliver their plans.  The East Coast is still in Government ownership and its service is outdated and underinvested, costing passengers and the country dearly as a result.

Insanity is doing the same thing over and over again and expecting different results. When will the Department for Transport learn?

Interestingly before Virgin took over the West Coast there were more passengers using the East Coast than the West Coast. Now there are 12 million fewer.

 ^Under our stewardship, the West Coast Mainline has been transformed from a public liability into a valuable asset for the UK, worth many billions of pounds.  The service is a British success story and one to put up against rail companies around the world. It is a great shame that such a strong track record has been discounted in the evaluation process for one of the UK^s most important infrastructure assets. The country's passengers, taxpayers and the West Coast employees deserve better.

^Based on the current flawed system, it is extremely unlikely that we would bid again for a franchise.  The process is too costly and uncertain, with our latest bid costing ^14 million. We have made realistic offers for the East Coast twice before which were rejected by the Department for Transport for completely unrealistic ones and therefore will have to think hard before embarking on another bid.
^Our amazing staff have been the driving force behind the West Coast Main Line^s transformation and I am sure that for the last months of the contract they will all continue to run the high quality service that has helped win us many awards and attract millions more customers to rail.^


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 15, 2012, 08:18:14
Congratulations to First.

Although they have their faults, in my view they are better than Virgin.

Despite the generous number of staff on Virgin services, I have often been dissapointed by the on train service.
"its not my job" "youve had a complimentary drink, you cant have another until after XX"
And worst all, regularly being told where "you have got to sit" ! surely with a first open ticket I should be able to sit where I please ? (subject of course to the seat not being occupied  or booked by someone else)

My main concerns with the new First franchise is what downgrades to passenger comfort are planned.
They have shown the way with the improved HSTs "thousands of extra seats"

IF  First group retain the Great western franchise, then presumably rolling stock used on both franchises can be loaned/transfered between Western and West coast as needed. Does not increase the total pool of course, but might give a little valuable extra flexibility.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Tim on August 15, 2012, 08:47:39
Well done First.  And good luck, and remember you will not be thanked if management's attention, rolling stock or your best staff are transfered away from the Great Western. 

And what a whinger SRB is.  Reminds me of his moaning about BMI being taken over by BA.  In both cases he put up a less competative bid and moaned when he lost.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: eightf48544 on August 15, 2012, 09:08:56
Tim O'Toole, whom I've met, sounded very plausable on the Today programme this am.

Improved catering! Extra 6 car trains for under the wires Birmingham Glasgow. Plus he maintains there is still capacity on the WCML up to 2026. Also they will reduce anytime fares by a substantial amount ( can't remember exact percentage but quite large). Have to listen to BBC I player.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: mjones on August 15, 2012, 09:17:12
An average of 15%. Here's First Group's press release:
http://www.firstgroup.com/corporate/our_company/intercity_west_coast.php

New electric trains to displace Voyagers under wires seems very sensible and should have been done whoever won.  Any indication yet what they will be? Presumably the Voyagers be transfered to North Wales, Shrewsbury and other routes off the wires? Also interested to see "Improving connectivity with more stops at Nuneaton and Milton Keynes", loss of which was a major criticism of the current service, but I thought that was driven by capacity and the need to speed up longer distance services, so how will this be achieved?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: eightf48544 on August 15, 2012, 09:31:49
With the extra platforms at Milton Keynes and I probably at Nuneaton there is always the possiblity of having a train stopped and being overtaken by the following fast. Which is something we don't tend to do in this country.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 15, 2012, 09:41:38
Virgin tried to run the railway more like an airline.
I suspect that they minimised intermediate stops simply because most aircraft do not stop en route !
They certainly seemed to have an active policy of discouraging local commuters and shoppers from useing their trains.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Bob_Blakey on August 15, 2012, 10:01:59
Very interesting contributions from both Tony Collins & Tim O'Toole on the BBC R4 Today programme this morning; just sour grapes from VRG or are they really convinced that this deal will destroy First Group?

Over the last few years I have been only a very occasional user of Virgin Trains, almost exclusively between Birmingham and Preston/Manchester but with a couple of Euston trips, and in all cases the service was what I would describe as adequate. The few delays were exclusively down to Network Rail.

The removal of the Voyagers from the BHM-GLA route should be a significant plus. Does the amendment/reduction of Anytime ticket prices mean that the opportunity to use railcards on peak-time services will vanish?

I for one will follow developments with interest.   


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: BerkshireBugsy on August 15, 2012, 10:19:38
when the news officially broke this morning the Been interviewed Bob Crowe who didn't have the most positive view on the win - in fact I think it is factual to say he didn't have anything good to say about the FG win at all.

Don't get me wrong - I have no doubt that some of what he says will happen will happen - but this reminds me of union speak from the last century.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: woody on August 15, 2012, 10:35:57
FirstGroup drops 6% as analysts say it overpaid for west coast mainline.Analyst says FirstGroup's revenue growth target is 'highly optimisic'

FirstGroup is the biggest faller in the FTSE 250 as many analysts agree with Sir Richard Branson that the train is likely to have overpaid for the west coast mainline franchise it has snatched from Virgin Trains.

The company's shares, which have already lost 26% of their value so far this year, dropped by almost 6% to 243.9p on Wednesday morning.

Sorry to be a party pooper but trouble ahead I think.

http://www.guardian.co.uk/business/marketforceslive/2012/aug/15/firstgroup-shares-overpaid-west-coast-mainline


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: autotank on August 15, 2012, 10:57:24
But they have seen very strong growth over the last month - even after todays fall they are still up 20% since this time last month. Remember the market if very fickle!

I personally welcome this decision and think First will do a good job - remember Virgin have been running West Coast on a 2% management fee since 2002 which I think has allowed costs rise unacceptably.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: dking on August 15, 2012, 11:03:57
Let's hope that this doesn't mean that the plague of tombstone seats will spread to the WCML. These have succeeded in draining away 90% of the pleasure of travelling by train except where you are lucky to get a table seat.
We travelled extensively by train this summer (down to Sicily and back) and I have to say that the most unpleasant segment of the whole trip was the PAD-BTH bit.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 15, 2012, 11:16:40
Despite all the media guesses last week, I doubt there is much between the two proposed levels of premium. 
Stagecoach have been quoted here and have mentioned what Virgin group were offering:

http://www.digitallook.com/news/20297083/West_Coast_rail_franchise.html

Quote
Nominal premium payments to the DfT of ^8.6 billion over the core franchise period from 9 December 2012 to 31 March 2026, rising to ^11.0 billion when the potential extension period to 12 December 2027 is included;

A net present value of premium payments of ^4.8 billion for the core franchise period and ^5.8 billion including the potential extension period;

DfT have quoted ^5.5 billion for First Group - presumably that will be an NPV figure as well (if there are any financial 'jargon busters' out there at all)?

Paul




Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Tim on August 15, 2012, 16:43:23
remember Virgin have been running West Coast on a 2% management fee since 2002 which I think has allowed costs rise unacceptably.

A very good point. 

I expect FG will do OK, but this is a very long franchise of the kind designed to incentivise long term large scale investment and upgrades.  So why haven't we seen any of this in the FG announcement?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on August 15, 2012, 16:46:32
I expect FG will do OK, but this is a very long franchise of the kind designed to incentivise long term large scale investment and upgrades.  So why haven't we seen any of this in the FG announcement?
Ticket barriers at 21 stations?  In my opinion, the DfT seem to think passengers think of these to be as much of an investment as new rolling stock.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 15, 2012, 16:54:36
I personally welcome this decision and think First will do a good job - remember Virgin have been running West Coast on a 2% management fee since 2002 which I think has allowed costs rise unacceptably.

That's well out of date info - they were only on the management contract between July 2002 and the end of 2006:

Quote
VRG announced on 13 December 2006 that it had agreed formal terms for a restated contract with
the Department for Transport (DfT) for the franchise. The franchise deal will run until March 2012,
replacing the Management Agreement (Letter Agreement 2002) which had been in place since July
2002 following the collapse of Railtrack plc.

http://www.virgintrains.co.uk/assets/pdf/media-room/fact-sheet.pdf



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: autotank on August 15, 2012, 18:07:15
Whoops, apologies - my sources are obviously incorrect. I still think First will do a good job with West Coast - before today the share price has been rising steadily since the leaks began, showing someone with money must think it's a good thing.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: anthony215 on August 15, 2012, 18:51:41

New electric trains to displace Voyagers under wires seems very sensible and should have been done whoever won.  Any indication yet what they will be? Presumably the Voyagers be transfered to North Wales, Shrewsbury and other routes off the wires? Also interested to see "Improving connectivity with more stops at Nuneaton and Milton Keynes", loss of which was a major criticism of the current service, but I thought that was driven by capacity and the need to speed up longer distance services, so how will this be achieved?

The new electric units are more than likely to be 6 carriage pendolinos (Known as baby pendolino's) which has been designed to be coupled to a diesel locomotive a lot quicker than currently and can work push pull with the locomotive


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: autotank on August 15, 2012, 19:44:06
But I don't think diesel haulage of electric units will be needed. The new baby Pendolinos will free up quite a few Voyagers from the Brum - Scotland workings, allowing them to do runs to runs on non-electrified lines (of which there will be fewer by the end of the franchise).


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 19:48:07
Extract from FirstGroup's press release:

Quote
^Improved journey time of 15 minutes for trains between London and Glasgow

Quite some improvement. Requiring a speed of around 1600mph.  :P ;) ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: smokey on August 15, 2012, 19:53:39
Extract from FirstGroup's press release:

Quote
^Improved journey time of 15 minutes for trains between London and Glasgow

Quite some improvement. Requiring a speed of around 1600mph.  :P ;) ;D

But thats an Average speed of 1600mph, so what rolling stock can reach 2000mph?  8)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 15, 2012, 20:30:43
All the speculation about drastic cuts in catering seem to have been pure fiction.  Other companies have drastically cut catering but FGW seems to have done better than most.  Was it all just sour grapes from Virgin trying o whip up sympathy?



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 15, 2012, 21:13:39
Nothing much about catering.

Is the shop being axed? it says something like "at seat catering for all customers"...
They could do a XC, put luggage racks there and then rip them out in the saloons.
No mention of restaurants or travelling chefs (probs because they are not viable/profitable).


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 15, 2012, 21:35:32
Nothing much about catering.

Is the shop being axed? it says something like "at seat catering for all customers"...
They could do a XC, put luggage racks there and then rip them out in the saloons.
No mention of restaurants or travelling chefs (probs because they are not viable/profitable).

First group statement says:

Quote
* Enhanced catering service offered with increased at seat catering for customers

Taking out restaurant cars does not sound to me like enhanced catering.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 21:47:05
Arriva said almost exactly the same following their winning the Cross Country franchise.

The introduction of at seat catering there led to the loss of the shop.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 15, 2012, 22:06:39
Enhanced catering in First could mean a slightly greater choice but not complimentary and perhaps less staff.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 15, 2012, 22:23:58
This interesting document has many further details.

Including the shocking facts that only 4% of money comes from commuters and that two thirds of seats are EMPTY.

Also shocking that they only have 20% of market share for London - Brum.

http://www.firstgroup.com/assets/pdfs/investors/presentations/InterCity_West_Coast_franchise_award_presentation_150812.pdf


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 15, 2012, 22:50:05
First have confirmed that buffet cars will be kept.
Catering staff will RISE.
"In-seat dining" introduced.

Source: Radio 4


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 22:55:07
What's shocking about a long distance operator only having a small commuter income?

And it's 20% of modal share, not market share. There's a difference.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 15, 2012, 23:07:02
....and that two thirds of seats are EMPTY.

that obviously gives them opportunities for growth.  But what is the equivalent figure on FGW?  More than you think I expect.

Also shocking that they only have 20% of market share for London - Brum.

If I were a long distance operator too many passengers filling my trains for a short leg that stopped others paying for longer journeys would be a problem.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 15, 2012, 23:58:16
Virgin Trains CEO Tony Collins' video announcement to staff:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_H3okjq5KB0&feature=plcp


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 16, 2012, 04:11:33
....and that two thirds of seats are EMPTY.

that obviously gives them opportunities for growth.  But what is the equivalent figure on FGW?  More than you think I expect.

Also shocking that they only have 20% of market share for London - Brum.

If I were a long distance operator too many passengers filling my trains for a short leg that stopped others paying for longer journeys would be a problem.


What the typical commuting customer sees the loading to be and the actual figures differ.

Let's take a fictitious case of the commuter airline operation around Swinetown.  Every morning, a flight leaves at 06:15 for Midshire and Wildberry, returning via Midshire to Swinetown at 07:45.  In the evening, it makes a second round trip from 18:45, getting back at 20:15.

There are 50 seats on the plane; 40 of them are occupied into Swinetown in the morning, with 15 customers from Wildberry and 25 from Midshire. So commuters who you ask will tend to tell you that the service is "always nearly full".  What they don't realise is that the 06:15 flight conveys just 2 customers from Swinetown at 06:15, rising to 5 from Midshire to Wildberry.   True loading is not the 80% commonly reported, but 31%.

Let's look deeper.

If you start looking at the Midshire to Wildberry section, you find loading of just 20% ... but cut the service back to being just Swinetown to Midshire and that service then loads to only 27% rather than the 42% loading it previously had because of the extra whole-route traffic from Wildberry up to Swinetown.

Getting better utilisation?  If you can get "other way" traffic, that would be great.  If Wildberry is purely a dormitary town with no ongoing connecting flights and no leisure opportunities, you have a problem.  But if you've got ongoing connections at Wildberry to take people from Midshire places like  Bigcity, and Sallyberry, you'll be able to fill a few extra seats.  And you'll fill significant extra numbers if you run that 90 minute round trip every 2 hours through the day - you'll make for far better use of the expensive resource of the plane, and you'll give lots more journey opportunities - not just 11 hours in Swinetown, but also 2 x 9 hour opportunities, numerous 7 hour opportunities, etc.. People who aren't sure of their return time will be able to use it too, as there will be "another one in a couple of hours" if they get held up at work, or if they've taken a day trip to Wildberry and so enjoyed walking in the countryside near there (famous for its white horses) that they want to come back later.

I'll believe the 33% loading quoted.  It's possible to get it higher, but I would be very surprised to see it over 50% very often anywhere.  Playing with scenarios leads to some very interesting data about the future direction services could take;  its shows the importance of operations like rail partnerships and promotions to fill offpeak and otherway seats, the significance of both-way flows, and (at time depressingly) the effect of a three month summer season. Thank goodness that people want to travel from Wildberry and Midshire to Swinetoen, Bigcity and Sallyberry all year  ;D






Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 16, 2012, 04:40:34
I think I may live in Bigcity. Travelling to Swinetown (some may argue - appropriate name  :-X) or Wildberry is relatively easy for me.

Midshire though is nigh on impossible for me to get to and from.  ;) ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 16, 2012, 08:42:21
Nothing much about catering.

Is the shop being axed? it says something like "at seat catering for all customers"...
They could do a XC, put luggage racks there and then rip them out in the saloons.
No mention of restaurants or travelling chefs (probs because they are not viable/profitable).

Hpefully they will run some proper restaurants.
The cynic in me is however aware that a sandwich sold from a trolley is "at seat catering"
Almost any downgrade or reduction can be marketed as an improvement, if you have a good marketing department.

Squeezing in a few more seats by removing tables " thousands of extra seats a day. customers much prefer new layout, surveys show it"

Remove the restaurant/buffet, a great impovement "customers much prefer a trolley service, surveys show it"


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 16, 2012, 09:57:38
[

What the typical commuting customer sees the loading to be and the actual figures differ.

Let's take a fictitious case of the commuter airline operation around Swinetown.  Every morning, a flight leaves at 06:15 for Midshire and Wildberry, returning via Midshire to Swinetown at 07:45.  In the evening, it makes a second round trip from 18:45, getting back at 20:15.

There are 50 seats on the plane; 40 of them are occupied into Swinetown in the morning, with 15 customers from Wildberry and 25 from Midshire. So commuters who you ask will tend to tell you that the service is "always nearly full".  What they don't realise is that the 06:15 flight conveys just 2 customers from Swinetown at 06:15, rising to 5 from Midshire to Wildberry.   True loading is not the 80% commonly reported, but 31%.

Let's look deeper.

If you start looking at the Midshire to Wildberry section, you find loading of just 20% ... but cut the service back to being just Swinetown to Midshire and that service then loads to only 27% rather than the 42% loading it previously had because of the extra whole-route traffic from Wildberry up to Swinetown.

Getting better utilisation?  If you can get "other way" traffic, that would be great.  If Wildberry is purely a dormitary town with no ongoing connecting flights and no leisure opportunities, you have a problem.  But if you've got ongoing connections at Wildberry to take people from Midshire places like  Bigcity, and Sallyberry, you'll be able to fill a few extra seats.  And you'll fill significant extra numbers if you run that 90 minute round trip every 2 hours through the day - you'll make for far better use of the expensive resource of the plane, and you'll give lots more journey opportunities - not just 11 hours in Swinetown, but also 2 x 9 hour opportunities, numerous 7 hour opportunities, etc.. People who aren't sure of their return time will be able to use it too, as there will be "another one in a couple of hours" if they get held up at work, or if they've taken a day trip to Wildberry and so enjoyed walking in the countryside near there (famous for its white horses) that they want to come back later.

I'll believe the 33% loading quoted.  It's possible to get it higher, but I would be very surprised to see it over 50% very often anywhere.  Playing with scenarios leads to some very interesting data about the future direction services could take;  its shows the importance of operations like rail partnerships and promotions to fill offpeak and otherway seats, the significance of both-way flows, and (at time depressingly) the effect of a three month summer season. Thank goodness that people want to travel from Wildberry and Midshire to Swinetoen, Bigcity and Sallyberry all year  ;D


Of course you could park the plane at Swineton after the morning flight returning in the evening, saving landing fees, fuel, etc. Then you would get back to 80% loading.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: onthecushions on August 16, 2012, 09:59:05
I'd back First Group on this.

The WCML was always the biggest market on BR, with Manchester leading. Also rail is underused in the regions compared to L&SE.

Tim O'Toole also is a proper railwayman, both a businessman and operator, with US experience as well as LUL. He understands the PPP nonsense and has tangled with DfT before.

We may not love them but if their trains are full and they do what it says on the TT.......

OTC



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 16, 2012, 10:28:29

http://www.firstgroup.com/assets/pdfs/investors/presentations/InterCity_West_Coast_franchise_award_presentation_150812.pdf

Interesting document BTline - without being too sceptical

"Transforming the on-board environment with a major refurbishment of Pendolino and Voyager interiors with new seats throughout and improved luggage space"


Given the HST "transformation" I would say their track record on this is at best questionable.

The whole - more of everything for everyone is frankly hogwash. I am no Virgin lover (4 kids proves that ;D) but the concept that First have done a better job on the Great Western than Virgin have on the WCML is at best questionable. The Great Western is virutally the same as when First took it over. Correct me if I'm wrong but the only new rolling stock is the 180s (says it all).Virgin have migrated the loco / DVT stock they inherited to the Pendilinos. Not perfect (the grumpy old man in me likes the old Mk3s) but journey times have come down. In FGW land (certainly in the Cotswolds) times have increased.

I agree that Virgin could have done better, the Voyagers were to small and have their issues but at least they work!!

So quicker journey times, more luggage accomodation ... yeah,yeah,yeah - track record says BS.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 16, 2012, 10:38:38

Of course you could park the plane at Swineton after the morning flight returning in the evening, saving landing fees, fuel, etc. Then you would get back to 80% loading.


Err ... 55%, I think.  ;)



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 16, 2012, 10:41:57
Yes, I would back First as well.
I have misgivings about First, but on balance would prefer them to Virgin.

Virgin services allways feel subjectively like a not very good airline, rather than like a railway.
Being told where to sit, and the included but not very good reheated airline type meal is part of this.

Some Virgin fares seem outrageuos, on not very busy trains.
I can understand charging relatively high fares on busy services, but last minute travel on lightly used services seems unduly expensive.

As an example the off peak fare from Taunton to London is about ^40, with tickets available at the last minute, and valid on any off peak train.
I suspect that a last minute off peak journey on Virgin, of similar length, would cost much more.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 16, 2012, 10:45:47

Of course you could park the plane at Swineton after the morning flight returning in the evening, saving landing fees, fuel, etc. Then you would get back to 80% loading.


Err ... 55%, I think.  ;)



Actually I blew it - should have said leave plane at Wildberry overnight - so comprehensively wrong !!!!   :-[


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 16, 2012, 11:12:31
...  should have said leave plane at Wildberry overnight ...

The loading percentages are only a part of the story, though.  They're what I was highlighting in my earlier post, because that was what the previous posts were on about - and the fact that most people think services are far busier that they really are, because most people are around at the times the services are busy.

The next measure you want to look at is your use of your valuable investment (in this case your plane) and having in make at least some money rather than sitting idle during the day, and how to make best use of staff too.  Whereever they're based, what are they going to do in Swineton for 11 hours each day, or are you going to need multiple sets of staff because of shift limits?   If so, how do you get them back and forth, or are they going to lodge away?   I'm getting way off topic here, though ...


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 16, 2012, 11:17:41
Yes, I would back First as well.
I have misgivings about First, but on balance would prefer them to Virgin.

Virgin services allways feel subjectively like a not very good airline, rather than like a railway.
Being told where to sit, and the included but not very good reheated airline type meal is part of this.

Some Virgin fares seem outrageuos, on not very busy trains.
I can understand charging relatively high fares on busy services, but last minute travel on lightly used services seems unduly expensive.

As an example the off peak fare from Taunton to London is about ^40, with tickets available at the last minute, and valid on any off peak train.
I suspect that a last minute off peak journey on Virgin, of similar length, would cost much more.

Hi Broadgauge - your comments regarding pricing are interesting.

Roughly the same distance on the WCML would be Stoke-on-Trent.

Your comparable Virgin price would be ^60 but your journey would take 40 minutes less. However on the WCML there are serperate 'express' and 'commuter / stopping' services so you could go on a 'commuter / stopping' service London Midland for ^24 but add an extra half hour to your journey.

With Virgin you can pre-plan and go for ^24 second class & ^30 First with advance purchases which is their 'airline model' but by and large I see rail travel as a walk up and go service.

Pays your money / takes your choice I guess.

Edited to correct spelling (may be more mistakes)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 16, 2012, 12:28:58
All the speculation about drastic cuts in catering seem to have been pure fiction.  Other companies have drastically cut catering but FGW seems to have done better than most.  Was it all just sour grapes from Virgin trying o whip up sympathy?

Every time a franchise changes hands, and if it includes any form of catering, the RMT goes straight off on the same well rehearsed plan.  Blanket media coverage follows about the potential for onboard catering staff cuts to take place, and eventually, some months later, nothing much happens.

My own suspicion is that onboard catering staff, often employed by the likes of Rail Gourmet, are not as unionised as guards, and it is done mainly to encourage membership of the RMT.  They probably don't go on so much about guards being cut, as they are basically essential on the type of intercity service in question.  Drivers are mainly ASLEF, and office staff mainly TSSA.  So there's very little else they can scaremonger about, so that's what they do... 

The 'boy who cried wolf' springs to mind...

Paul 


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 16, 2012, 17:04:25
...  should have said leave plane at Wildberry overnight ...

The loading percentages are only a part of the story, though.  They're what I was highlighting in my earlier post, because that was what the previous posts were on about - and the fact that most people think services are far busier that they really are, because most people are around at the times the services are busy.

The next measure you want to look at is your use of your valuable investment (in this case your plane) and having in make at least some money rather than sitting idle during the day, and how to make best use of staff too.  Whereever they're based, what are they going to do in Swineton for 11 hours each day, or are you going to need multiple sets of staff because of shift limits?   If so, how do you get them back and forth, or are they going to lodge away?   I'm getting way off topic here, though ...

To stay off topic a while - I understand, so you could return to Wildberry during the day to build up a service with other interested groups or you could fly off to Sun City during the day where you know there is already a market. Yes you can open Pandorra's box.

Grahame, have you ever considered a coffee shop get together where we can put faces to names and generally have a chat? Perhaps you have and my invite got lost in the post!!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 16, 2012, 18:18:42
First have confirmed that buffet cars will be kept.
Catering staff will RISE.
"In-seat dining" introduced.

Source: Radio 4

Whilst that sounds good, did they say ALL buffets or SOME buffets.
Whilst I have slightly more faith in First than I have in Virgin, FGW do not a have a very good record.

Micro-buffets replacing proper ones
7 return pullman workings to/from the West gradually reduced to 2.
ALL Welsh Pullmans withdrawn.

Stating in a railway magazine that "existing restaurants would be retained" and then withdrawing another before the publication was on sale !.


OTOH Virgin do not offer any proper restaurants, and FGW still have 2 and might manage several more in a larger franchise.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 16, 2012, 19:34:44
Also Virgin were very keen on improving journey times.
First are not - all their journey times go up pretty much every t/t change.

Expect the super journey times to get longer by more slack and extra stops.
(apart from Glasgow - which is only achieved by the extra Preston service after Norton Bridge is re-done)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 16, 2012, 20:44:37
As an example the off peak fare from Taunton to London is about ^40, with tickets available at the last minute, and valid on any off peak train.
I suspect that a last minute off peak journey on Virgin, of similar length, would cost much more.

That fare (^39.00) isn't valid on all off peak trains as it is the Super Off Peak. The Off Peak single from Taunton to Paddington is ^50.50. The Off Peak Return is ^84.50

A comparable length journey on the WCML would be Stoke-on-Trent to Euston. The Off Peak Single on that journey is ^60.20, although that can be had for ^30.60 if bought in conjunction with an Advance single for the other direction. The Off Peak Return is ^61.20.

So, single only journey cheaper on FGW for comparable length. Return journey significantly more.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: trainbuff on August 17, 2012, 01:17:20
All the speculation about drastic cuts in catering seem to have been pure fiction.  Other companies have drastically cut catering but FGW seems to have done better than most.  Was it all just sour grapes from Virgin trying o whip up sympathy?

Every time a franchise changes hands, and if it includes any form of catering, the RMT goes straight off on the same well rehearsed plan.  Blanket media coverage follows about the potential for onboard catering staff cuts to take place, and eventually, some months later, nothing much happens.

My own suspicion is that onboard catering staff, often employed by the likes of Rail Gourmet, are not as unionised as guards, and it is done mainly to encourage membership of the RMT.  They probably don't go on so much about guards being cut, as they are basically essential on the type of intercity service in question.  Drivers are mainly ASLEF, and office staff mainly TSSA.  So there's very little else they can scaremonger about, so that's what they do... 

The 'boy who cried wolf' springs to mind...

Paul 


I believe that NO catering on West Coast is outsourced to Railgourmet. 'They are all in house' employees and therefore paid a reasonable salary. Unlike Rail Gourmet who I believe pay much nearer to minimum wage.

It is these in house jobs that will be lost, or at least a percentage of themand whilst I understand that  some see Bob Crow  as merely a tub thumping leftie he does have a point I believe


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 17, 2012, 11:13:39
Grahame, have you ever considered a coffee shop get together where we can put faces to names and generally have a chat? Perhaps you have and my invite got lost in the post!!

Andy's post spawned a thread of discussion ... we're currently taking about a Saturday or Sunday in September.    I've separated this discussion into a separate thread - its at

http://www.firstgreatwestern.info/coffeeshop/index.php?topic=11147.0

Note - thats in "Frequent Posters" so you'll need to be logged in to read the details join the discussions.  If you're a regular reader, would like to meet us, but haven't got an account yet - please sign up. You only need a handful of posts to be considered "frequent" ...


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Electric train on August 17, 2012, 18:57:59
I have been glancing at this thread over the last few days.  No matter who won the franchise there would have been no status quo changes would have been made even if Virgin had retained the franchise.

It is easy to knock First however on the GW franchise they did respond to many of the protests regarding the services in 2007 and recently in the TV they have strengthened many services.  Sometimes their communications to the passengers is not that good, they are not unique in that.

I wish First all the best with the new challenge and bon voyage to Virgin will they be assigned to the great book of British railway history like BR, the LMS, LNER etc time will tell


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: woody on August 18, 2012, 08:29:57
Rejected Virgin Rail bid for West Coast franchise officially more "deliverable"
Virgin Rail^s losing bid for the West Coast train franchise is understood to have been officially rated by the Department for Transport as a more ^deliverable^ offer than FirstGroup^s.


Industry sources said Sir Richard Branson^s Virgin Rail was rated top for ^deliverability^. According to January^s Invitation to Tender document, that covers such things as ^timetabling^ for forecast demand and improvements to service quality.

On timetabling for demand, Virgin is thought to have easily beaten FirstGroup ^ even though the winning bidder forecast much higher revenue and volume growth to March 2026. FirstGroup is targeting 10.4pc annual revenue growth versus Virgin^s 8.5pc.

Controversially, FirstGroup is understood to have earned a higher rating for customer service despite the company being repeatedly outscored by Virgin in passenger satisfaction surveys. FirstGroup is also thought to have beaten Virgin on fleet delivery ^ even though, unlike Virgin, it is yet to finalise train contracts.

http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/newsbysector/transport/9481296/Rejected-Virgin-Rail-bid-for-West-Coast-franchise-officially-more-deliverable.html

Smells a bit to me.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: eightf48544 on August 18, 2012, 09:20:16
It's the 10.4% annual revenue growth that gets me. I've just run it through an interest rate clculator and as near as I can see that means a growth of around  2.6 times in revenue over the 13 years. So if it's 100 million today it will need to be 260 million in 2026.

Presumably it also mens at least 2.6 times more journies as well, unless they are relying on conitued above inflation fare rises.

No wonder the Virgin bid was considered more "deliverable" although at 8.5% that still requires a 1.9 times growth. With the same calculator.

http://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php (http://www.thecalculatorsite.com/finance/calculators/compoundinterestcalculator.php)

Using ^1000 as base and 13 years.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 19, 2012, 19:32:05
First West Coast to re-introduce THREE CLASS system.

http://www.thisismoney.co.uk/money/markets/article-2190305/TIM-OTOOLE-INTERVIEW-Branson-lost-field-What-saying-simply-true.html

Standard, Club and First.

Club class will get to sit in a First Class carriage and get free soft drinks.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 19, 2012, 19:42:58
Are you certain that club class will be a first class carriage ?

My natural cynicism leads me to suspect that club class will be a way of charging more for standard class, rather than a way of charging less for first class coaches.

I would expect club class to be like the present standard class, with the new higher density standard being made worse.

FIRST almost all table seats , 2+1 seating

CLUB CLASS , Like present standard with some tables, in effect second class but not called that

STANDARD, High density budget airline seating, minimal luggage space. In effect third class but not called that.


Will soon become known as first, second and third.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 19, 2012, 20:41:27
You may expect it broadgage but that doesn't mean it will happen.

Why not wait and see what First actually propose to do when they refurbish the Pendolinos and Voyagers?

Remember, these are dedicated inter-city stock and are not performing duties similar to FGW HSTs which act as London - Thames Valley commuter trains as well as inter-city trains.

At least you didn't speculate on 2+3 in Standard on a Voyager or Pendolino as has been done elsewhere.  ::)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ChrisB on August 19, 2012, 20:46:09
Club = Full fare Standard, I reckon.

Trolley for 'Third' class, Buffet/shop for Club & galley for First, methinks.

Would agree with seating layouts in Broadgage's post above.

Now.....who thinks First can afford to win the GW franchise as well?.....or is the DfT having a shift around on long distance franchises?.....methinks the latter & this win actually *reduces* First's chances of winning GW.....


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 19, 2012, 20:53:40
Now.....who thinks First can afford to win the GW franchise as well?.....or is the DfT having a shift around on long distance franchises?.....methinks the latter & this win actually *reduces* First's chances of winning GW.....

If they are following the rules then it should not matter unless there are competition issues. I cannot see any of competition issues between GW and WC so any bias really would leave matters open to judicial review. After all they should have set out the criteria, which is obviously going to be highly weighted towards money.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ChrisB on August 19, 2012, 20:57:37
THe key word in my post was "afford".....nowt to do with competition.

Can they afford another few ^billion....?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 19, 2012, 20:59:53
THe key word in my post was "afford".....nowt to do with competition.

Can they afford another few ^billion....?

Now there I would agree


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 19, 2012, 21:05:35
I assume that "Club Class" will be a declassified 1st class coach on Pendos and the "hybrid" Coach on Voyagers.
Probably similar to Chiltern's business zone - a ^15ish supplement per journey, allowing people to claim the standard ticket on expenses and pay for the upgrade themselves.

Remember, these are dedicated inter-city stock and are not performing duties similar to FGW HSTs which act as London - Thames Valley commuter trains as well as inter-city trains.

At least you didn't speculate on 2+3 in Standard on a Voyager or Pendolino as has been done elsewhere.  ::)

Actually the Thames Turbos are the commuter trains, but as FGW have decided to stop HSTs pretty much everywhere these days, they are now commuter trains. I can see this happening with WC, more stops at Watford/MK/Rugby/Trent Valley meaning the trains become sardine specials. Perhaps First are planning to poach half of LM passengers to pay the gov!

Who's been suggesting 3+2 seating? That sounds daft to me as even commuter TOCs have realised that 2+2 is better.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 19, 2012, 21:15:31
Who's been suggesting 3+2 seating?

A silly tangent on a similar 'First winning West Coast' topic on another rail forum.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Electric train on August 19, 2012, 21:18:17
I assume that "Club Class" will be a declassified 1st class coach on Pendos and the "hybrid" Coach on Voyagers.
Probably similar to Chiltern's business zone - a ^15ish supplement per journey, allowing people to claim the standard ticket on expenses and pay for the upgrade themselves.

Remember, these are dedicated inter-city stock and are not performing duties similar to FGW HSTs which act as London - Thames Valley commuter trains as well as inter-city trains.

At least you didn't speculate on 2+3 in Standard on a Voyager or Pendolino as has been done elsewhere.  ::)
Actually the Thames Turbos are the commuter trains, but as FGW have decided to stop HSTs pretty much everywhere these days, they are now commuter trains. I can see this happening with WC, more stops at Watford/MK/Rugby/Trent Valley meaning the trains become sardine specials. Perhaps First are planning to poach half of LM passengers to pay the gov!

Who's been suggesting 3+2 seating? That sounds daft to me as even commuter TOCs have realised that 2+2 is better.

To a degree I agree with this ........ Branson saw the WCML very much as a "UK internal airline" which stopped at only key locations; I had hard that at one time Virgin wanted to can the MK stops all together


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 19, 2012, 21:50:53
It's only because of a lack of capacity.
If you wanted faster, more frequent trains to cities to the North, then less MK stops!

A key reason why we need HS2, to get these MK stops back without affecting journey times.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 19, 2012, 22:17:57
It's only because of a lack of capacity.
If you wanted faster, more frequent trains to cities to the North, then less MK stops!

A key reason why we need HS2, to get these MK stops back without affecting journey times.

Agree entirely. If you want to squeeze more trains on the limited capacity then you need all the trains on one track going at the same speed. That means they either all stop at MK or none of them do.  If you follow that logic none of the fast trains stop there at least in peak periods.  If you have HS2 then all the trains on the classic fast lines are now semi fast so even if traffic has grown so much that the line is full again they all can stop.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 19, 2012, 22:42:55
MK is a bad example though, because unlike Watford Jn, it had a new layout provided with an extra reversible fast platform specifically to allow consecutive trains to stop there.  They don't appear to use the facility much if at all though.

The DfT 2006 WCML progress report, had this regarding MK:
Quote
The most significant of the improvements will be the creation of a third fast line by the addition of a new northbound fast line and platform face. This will enable consecutive trains to call at Milton Keynes at peak times, without loss of line capacity, a better turnback facility to be used at certain times of day and improved resilience for London ^ Northampton trains to be achieved. Similar changes will also take place on the slow lines, including local sponsorship of a platform capable of handling future services to and from Bedford or possibly later, in conjunction with the possible line restoration, from Oxford or Aylesbury.

Sorry, I can't link to it as it is hidden in the archives...  :(

Paul


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 19, 2012, 22:48:49
Yes, but calling more trains at MK slows down the service for everyone else.
That's the main reason VT don't stop there much.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Rhydgaled on August 19, 2012, 23:03:01
I assume that "Club Class" will be a declassified 1st class coach on Pendos and the "hybrid" Coach on Voyagers.
Probably similar to Chiltern's business zone - a ^15ish supplement per journey, allowing people to claim the standard ticket on expenses and pay for the upgrade themselves.
That sounds sensible, although I would expect the layout in the 'Club Class' coach to be 2+2 seating, maybe slighlty more densely packed than first but less so than standard (which given it is currently fairly cramped according to other posters will probably remain much the same). So basicly, refurbishment of one coach in each train to add extra seats to make 2+1 in 'Club class' up to 2+2 and a simple refresh of the other vehicles. Is it comfirmed that all three types of train (Pendos, Voyagers and the new 6-car electrics) will have all three classes, given that Voyagers are shorter it might make more sense if they were just club/first and standard.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 20, 2012, 08:39:24
You may expect it broadgage but that doesn't mean it will happen.

Why not wait and see what First actually propose to do when they refurbish the Pendolinos and Voyagers?

Remember, these are dedicated inter-city stock and are not performing duties similar to FGW HSTs which act as London - Thames Valley commuter trains as well as inter-city trains.

At least you didn't speculate on 2+3 in Standard on a Voyager or Pendolino as has been done elsewhere.  ::)

I cant see how First expect to carry more passengers and raise more revenue from a nearly fixed train fleet without much higher density seating in the new third class.
I did not speculate on 2+3 seating because I took that for granted in third.
Other TOCs have shown the way in this regard.
"thousands of extra seats"  "options to suit all budgets "
And the infamous "it is what customers want, surveys show it"

It could certainly be argued that parts of the West coast route serve long distance commuters, in much the same way as FGW HSTs do, and similar arguments could be applied to justify downgrading the seating layout from inter city to commuter.

MY negative thoughts regarding "improvements" are not entirely aimed at First group since I believe that similar downgrades would been done by Virgin had they retained the franchise.
Higher density seating, removal of tables and luggage space and downgrading catering is generally regarded as progress on todays railway, and does indeed provide more seats.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on August 20, 2012, 08:42:34
Is 2+3 seating even possible on a Pendolino?  I wouldn't have imagined there is enough space to fit even the narrowest of seats as they seem pretty cramped as it is.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: woody on August 20, 2012, 11:13:37
Meanwhile back in the real world......

FIRSTGROUP'S ^5.5 billion bid for the Intercity West Coast franchise may face critical scrutiny from several directions in the next few weeks. Reports say that two Parliamentary committees have expressed concern about the bid, while loser Virgin is understood to have just over a week in which to decide whether to press for a judicial review.

A war of words has also broken out between Virgin founder Richard Branson and FirstGroup chief Tim O'Toole, who has described Virgin's reaction to losing West Coast as 'hysterical'.

It is understood that two committees of MPs are looking closely at the Department for Transport's calculations, amid concern that the contract signed by First delays the bulk of the premiums due until later in the franchise than the competing proposal from Virgin.

http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/2012/08/20-west-coast-bid-may-face.html

As I have previous stated First Groups winning West Coast bid is starting to smell of high hell and its being noticed.Makes me wonder what other behind the scenes scullduggery is now going on regarding the delayed First Great Western franchise.The railways financial chickens are finally coming home to roost for our artificial rail franchising system courtesy of the 2008 global financial meltdown.The bill for John Majors rail privatization is finally becoming due.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 20, 2012, 11:27:59

I did not speculate on 2+3 seating because I took that for granted in third.


Then I find it hard to believe you have ever been on a Pendolino.  It would be physically impossible in their body profile. 

In any case, there is no evidence that First group need to increase the number of seats in a Pendolino by any significant amount.  All they have commited to is providing 12000 extra seats per day by leasing 11 x 6 car EMUs.  That number of seats per day will be based on the capacity of each of those trains, multiplied by the number of return trips they will do from Birmingham to Scotland over the course of the day.  So they only need to provide about 300 seats per train, or about 50 per carriage to achieve the announced figure.

Of course you've got prior form for deciding that the layout of trains will be the worst imaginable, and then writing about it as though it's a fact, like you have with IEP over the last couple of years.

Paul


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 20, 2012, 12:22:20
Perhaps I am being unduly pessimistic.
I have however suffered over the years from rather a lot of railway "improvements".

Withdrawal of 8 car slam door units on the Catford loop line, and replacement by 4 car or 6 car networkers with consequent standing when I would have got a seat on the old trains. We now often get 8 car class 319s, which is a belated improvement but does not excuse the years of overcrowded, new shorter trains.

Withdrawal of full length loco hauled services on the Waterloo to Exeter services, and replacement by 3 car DMUs with consequent overcrowding. (and yes I know that most services are longer than 3 car NOW, but I had a year of standing on 3 car trains when I would have got a seat on the old trains)

And more recently of course the great western "improved" HSTs with reduced or minmal catering and more bus seats.

Elswhere on the railway there has been the appalling downgrade of Liverpool street services from 12 car to 8 car. Fortunatly I seldom use that route, but was disgusted when I had to.

In all the above cases, the railway industry talked of improvements, yet it seemed worse.

The withdrawal of slam door door units could have been postponned until sufficient new trains were available to run full length services, but not likely ! just run shorter trains and make people stand, it is called progress you know.

On the Waterloo to Exeter route, there is no real reason why a few loco hauled trains could not have continued for years, even up to today if need be, thereby ensuring that the DMU services could have been longer with seats for all.
Not likey though !
The prevailing view seemed to be that full length loco hauled trains were bad, and the 3 car DMUs were good. Any complaints about standing for hours were answered by stating that one should book a seat.

And for Virgin cross country, as it is still widely known, it is generally believed that they received a vast subsidy to halve the length of the trains.

It is of course possible that I am being unduly negative, and that lessons have been learnt from previous improvements.
Perhaps the new inter city trains will be long enough, with tables, luggage space, leg room and generally similar internaly to older types.
Perhaps First groups proposed alterations will make voyagers and pendolinos more comfortable and not worse.

Previous events do not however fill me with optimism.




Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 20, 2012, 12:45:17
On the Waterloo to Exeter route, there is no real reason why a few loco hauled trains could not have continued for years, even up to today if need be, thereby ensuring that the DMU services could have been longer with seats for all.

The prevailing view seemed to be that full length loco hauled trains were bad, and the 3 car DMUs were good. Any complaints about standing for hours were answered by stating that one should book a seat.

Err ... can you book seats on any SWT services ??


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: eightf48544 on August 20, 2012, 13:15:31
I believe you can I am sure friends from Axminister who travel to clapham Junction say they get reserved seats if they buy in advanced from the web. Usually Chiltern, on my recommendation, as the least worse TOC. 


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 20, 2012, 13:35:29
I believe you can I am sure friends from Axminister who travel to clapham Junction say they get reserved seats if they buy in advanced from the web. Usually Chiltern, on my recommendation, as the least worse TOC. 

I was looking at http://www.nationalrail.co.uk/times_fares/booking_horizons.html -
Quote
South West Trains do not offer seat reservations but have quota controlled advance purchase products.
perhaps that only applies to Advanced tickets, and you can book on an open type ticket or if you require extra assistance?



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 20, 2012, 13:38:39
SWT only issue specific 'train reservations' with Advance fares; but they do not indicate a seat number anymore.  

Normal seat reservations ceased on the Exeter and Weymouth routes at the time the hourly Exeter service started.

Paul


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 20, 2012, 17:20:06
On the Waterloo to Exeter route, there is no real reason why a few loco hauled trains could not have continued for years, even up to today if need be, thereby ensuring that the DMU services could have been longer with seats for all.

The prevailing view seemed to be that full length loco hauled trains were bad, and the 3 car DMUs were good. Any complaints about standing for hours were answered by stating that one should book a seat.

Err ... can you book seats on any SWT services ??


Not now, AFAIK.
But at the time that the new shorter trains were introduced, bookings were permitted.
There were many complaints about 3 car trains replacing 8 car on summer saturdays, and rather than run longer trains, SWT simply marked most services as "seat reservations recomended" in the timetable.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: vacman on August 20, 2012, 20:19:05
I travel on the SWT WoE route a lot and don't think I've ever seen a 159 overcrowded West of Woking.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: The Grecian on August 20, 2012, 20:50:23
3 carriage 159s are quite commonly overcrowded between Exeter and Axminster or between Yeovil and Salisbury in my experience. 6 carriage trains heading east are often 70-80%ish full before Salisbury.

Loco-hauled trains couldn't have continued before the 159s turned up because their reliability rate was woeful. This was partly due to the fact that they were worked into the ground and partly because no loco hauled train has been particularly suitable for the line since it was turned from an express to a semi-fast route. The nature of the route west of Salisbury demands a rapid acceleration and rapid deceleration from 0-85mph and back approximately every 10 miles, with plenty of hill climbing. The stations between Salisbury and Honiton are all relatively well-used so skipping stops isn't going to happen even ignoring the limitations of single line working. It puts a lot of strain on one loco, compared to a multiple unit.

Granted the original substitution of 8 carriage trains with 3 carriage trains at the same frequency could have been better handled, particularly as some trains seemed to lose the middle carriage at times and go down to 2. However most regular passengers on the WoE route seem perfectly happy with the 159s given their far superior reliability to the 50 and 47 hauled services which preceded them.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 20, 2012, 23:33:57
And more recently of course the great western "improved" HSTs with reduced or minmal catering and more bus seats.

Concede the point on catering. That has steadily worsened over the life of the franchise, although pockets of excellence (Pullman, Travelling Chef) remain.

But, as a regular user of HSTs I've yet to find these mythical bus seats you are always wittering on about, broadgage. Can you point me to a bus that has seats with flip down tables suitable for a laptop, access to a power socket, a moveable armrest, and a design that promotes good posture with ample leg room?

Show me the bus that has all that and I'll eat my hat. (That's bus remember - your inference broadgage, so no pictures of the interior of a First Group Greyhound coach thanks  ;))


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 21, 2012, 07:49:18
Remember, these are dedicated inter-city stock and are not performing duties similar to FGW HSTs which act as London - Thames Valley commuter trains as well as inter-city trains.

As ever an astute observation BNM. When First took over the Inter-City routes in 1998 they inherited rolling stock designed for that purpose and ran very much in that manner. There was a clear distinction between First (Inter City) & Thames (commuter).

When First won the Thames franchise (as First Great Western Link) this distinction was retained.

On the current franchise that distinction has vanished. In order to satisfy the commuters with more seats / more services (in particular to Reading) they decided to convert the Inter City HSTs into 'commuter' trains and increase the number of those long distance train stopping at Reading - and now Slough and Maidenhead.

The HSTs were refurbished with high-density seating, catering facilities watered down etc. So to please the commuters there was a conscious decision made to degrade the long distance services.

And more recently of course the great western "improved" HSTs with reduced or minmal catering and more bus seats.
But, as a regular user of HSTs I've yet to find these mythical bus seats you are always wittering on about, broadgage. Can you point me to a bus that has seats with flip down tables suitable for a laptop, access to a power socket, a moveable armrest, and a design that promotes good posture with ample leg room?

Sorry, I realise that it's horses for courses, but I find the refurbished seats uncomfortable and slightly claustrophobic. Far fewer tables, less storage space etc. But of course more seats to Reading.

I dread to think what a refurbished Pendelino would be like if they follow such a strategy.

As a further of their Inter-City ethos - the Cathedral Express after WOS stopped at Evesham - Moreton - Kingham - Charlbury - Oxford and then directly on to Paddington. It had a travelling chef - was off-peak fare & an excellent service. Now it stops at Pershore - Evesham - Honeybourne - Moreton - Kingham - Charlbury - Hanborough (for Oxford Park & Ride) - Oxford - Reading - full fare only. This is no longer an express - it is a semi-fast.

So for me First have gone from Inter-City in 1998 to Inter-Shitty in 2012 - but there are more seats to Reading .............

End of Rant (whoops sorry).


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 21, 2012, 09:00:06
As a further of their Inter-City ethos - the Cathedral Express after WOS stopped at Evesham - Moreton - Kingham - Charlbury - Oxford and then directly on to Paddington. It had a travelling chef - was off-peak fare & an excellent service. Now it stops at Pershore - Evesham - Honeybourne - Moreton - Kingham - Charlbury - Hanborough (for Oxford Park & Ride) - Oxford - Reading - full fare only. This is no longer an express - it is a semi-fast.

Undoubtedly there's been that move over the years towards many more trains with something of an addition of intermediate stops. Speaking personally, I have to admit a preference for a train every 30 minutes from Chippenham to London, with stops at places like Swindon, Didcot and Reading above a service with gaps of around 2 hours that leave out one, two or three intermediate stations.  Having said that, I also preferred the old days where you could usually get a seat on evening trains out of Paddington without having to stampede!

According to my lookup, the 37.00 off peak fare IS valid on the 07:34 WOS to PAD, whereas it's not valid on the 07:09 on which you'll pay a fare of 73.00 single.  There *is* also a fare or 35.50 on the 07:34 - any time, but restricted to services that run via Evesham.  Moot point as to whether you consider that - the lowest fare of the three I have mentioned - to be a "full fare".

The AA gives the Worcester to London distance as 137 miles - so you're looking at 26p per mile on the "Cathedrals Semifast".  The Chippenham to London (100 miles) any time single standard fare is the same 73.00 as the Worcester fare, with no cheaper "via Evesham" option. So that's 73p per mile.  I know that there are a number of our members who would like to see the Cotswolds trains really become expresses again, but the question has to be asked "would you be happy for the express fares to reflect the express fares on the next lines across to have that faster service?"


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 21, 2012, 09:50:00
Hi Grahame,

Yes you make an interseting point regarding fares. I can see lots of talking on the 15th.

I agree that fares are woefully inconsistent and all I can say to those in Chippenham is Worcester is a great place to live but it takes a lifetime to get to London!!!

I was more trying to point out the general deterioration in long distance 'express' travel over the length of First's stewardship and the emphasis on (largely) Reading commuters at the expense of long distance travellers.

Regarding 'express' services, I would suggest that the highest demand is at 'peak' travel times and I do see a level of premium fare being acceptable. So the restoration of the Cathedrals 'Express' would be a great improvement.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 21, 2012, 14:05:23
...and a design that promotes good posture...

How on earth can you say those awful seats encourage good posture?
Most people I see trying to get comfortable in the seat end up having to curl up and sit partially sideways, making them slouch. It's also well nigh impossible to sit "properly" in the seats and sleep, as they are so upright you fall forward.

I expect that there is a high risk of DVT from sitting in them too long. I therefore recommend all passenger to walk about on longer journeys. The seats are so hard, that your bum goes numb after about an hour - this can't be good either.

A nice comfortable seat that one can sink into (like the SWT 159s) encourage better posture as once you've sat down, there is no need to slouch or curl up. You CAN design a safe and comfortable saloon without giving people stones to sit on with backs so high it blocks all the view of the carriage out!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Ollie on August 21, 2012, 14:33:56
...and a design that promotes good posture...

How on earth can you say those awful seats encourage good posture?
Most people I see trying to get comfortable in the seat end up having to curl up and sit partially sideways, making them slouch. It's also well nigh impossible to sit "properly" in the seats and sleep, as they are so upright you fall forward.

I expect that there is a high risk of DVT from sitting in them too long. I therefore recommend all passenger to walk about on longer journeys. The seats are so hard, that your bum goes numb after about an hour - this can't be good either.

A nice comfortable seat that one can sink into (like the SWT 159s) encourage better posture as once you've sat down, there is no need to slouch or curl up. You CAN design a safe and comfortable saloon without giving people stones to sit on with backs so high it blocks all the view of the carriage out!
Having done 1000 miles in a day on an HST, I can say that I've not had an issue with the comfort of the seats and found them perfectly comfortable for long periods of time.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 21, 2012, 14:37:50
...and a design that promotes good posture...

How on earth can you say those awful seats encourage good posture?
Most people I see trying to get comfortable in the seat end up having to curl up and sit partially sideways, making them slouch. It's also well nigh impossible to sit "properly" in the seats and sleep, as they are so upright you fall forward.

I expect that there is a high risk of DVT from sitting in them too long. I therefore recommend all passenger to walk about on longer journeys. The seats are so hard, that your bum goes numb after about an hour - this can't be good either.

A nice comfortable seat that one can sink into (like the SWT 159s) encourage better posture as once you've sat down, there is no need to slouch or curl up. You CAN design a safe and comfortable saloon without giving people stones to sit on with backs so high it blocks all the view of the carriage out!
Having done 1000 miles in a day on an HST, I can say that I've not had an issue with the comfort of the seats and found them perfectly comfortable for long periods of time.
Ollie, we're talking about us in the back - I'm sure first is as perfect as ever  ;D ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 21, 2012, 15:03:04
First is indeed comfortable and I often travel thus, the negative remarks refer to the new "improved" seats and seating layout in steerage, and to my concerns that something similar may be planned to "improve" Pendolinos.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: devon_metro on August 21, 2012, 15:25:48


A nice comfortable seat that one can sink into (like the SWT 159s) encourage better posture as once you've sat down, there is no need to slouch or curl up. You CAN design a safe and comfortable saloon without giving people stones to sit on with backs so high it blocks all the view of the carriage out!

Sinking into a seat does not encourage good posture. Your back is not properly supported. You'll notice the FGW seats have an arched back to support your back, they may not be comfortable simply because as a society we are used to sitting in poorly designed chairs.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 21, 2012, 16:44:18
Rubbish. The base of a seat is different to the back. It is possible to sink into the seat, whilst having a decent firm support for the back. Unfortunately, the HST seat bottoms are rock hard.

I have very good posture, and I never curl up in the HST seats. It's everyone else that I see doing it. I sit in plenty of specially designed seats that are good for posture at work and at home. They are all comfortable.

A similar problem has occurred on the Jubilee line. They used to be spingy and soft and were refurbed for the Games with a really hard seat.

The fact of the matter is, the HSTs are now designed for commuters travelling out to Reading, not us poor folk who have to stay on to Worcester for several hours.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 21, 2012, 16:57:48
Grahame, having some express trains to Worcester in the peaks would not muck up a standard timetable.
Basically the pattern is hourly stopping everywhere, fine off peak. During the peaks, they extend about an extra two Oxford Fasts to Worcester. Why not cut some stops on these? The villagers still have their hourly service, whilst Worcester and Hereford gain better journey times.

Yes, some of these places have high passenger nos compared to Worcester - but that's simply because of untapped demand from Worcester. Worcester itself is massively untapped - with 1tph to New Street off peak, only 2-3 packed coaches, limited to 75 mph timings as 150/153s are still used on some services. A dreadful service South to Tewksbury, Cheltenham, Gloucester and Bristol, again limited to 75 mph stock, with the result that everyone uses the M5 without a thought. In contrast, Malvern and Droitwich/Kidderminster to Worcester which is very frequent has crowds of passengers.

You could run two "expresses" (missing out Colwall, Malvern Link, Pershore, Honeybourne, Hanborough and Slough) each morning peak in between the standard hourly service encouraging commuter traffic to Oxford, Reading and London. Ditto in the afternoon/evening peak. Then once the redoubling is complete, slot a couple of commuter services from evesham and Pershore into Worcester to improve frequencies to half hourly.

As for fares, the Cotswold line does not have low fares, it is Chippenham that has had it's fares raised ridiculously high. No-one would get away with that on the CL as the service is so bad.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Super Guard on August 21, 2012, 17:53:55
All this talk of only Reading to Paddington commuters benefit from the increased number of HST seats...

Have any of you seen the Paddington-Plymouth/Penzance services that are full AND standing all the way to Exeter/Plymouth and beyond?  Go and tell those passengers who have to stand for 2-3 HOURS that the old layout with less seats would be more comfortable!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: IndustryInsider on August 21, 2012, 18:17:43
Grahame, having some express trains to Worcester in the peaks would not muck up a standard timetable.
Basically the pattern is hourly stopping everywhere, fine off peak. During the peaks, they extend about an extra two Oxford Fasts to Worcester. Why not cut some stops on these? The villagers still have their hourly service, whilst Worcester and Hereford gain better journey times.

You could run two "expresses" (missing out Colwall, Malvern Link, Pershore, Honeybourne, Hanborough and Slough) each morning peak in between the standard hourly service encouraging commuter traffic to Oxford, Reading and London. Ditto in the afternoon/evening peak. Then once the redoubling is complete, slot a couple of commuter services from evesham and Pershore into Worcester to improve frequencies to half hourly.

Oh no!  We're not going to go there again, are we? ;)  I remember the hours of effort I put into a post-redoubling timetable around four years ago that tried to tick all those boxes and it was pretty much impossible without the full redoubling of the route.  What sounds like it would not muck up a standard timetable in your head, doesn't necessarily work on paper.  Unless you want to prove that it is possible, 'Btline'?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Ollie on August 21, 2012, 18:44:22
Ollie, we're talking about us in the back - I'm sure first is as perfect as ever  ;D ;D

Ah if only, no First Class for me!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TonyK on August 21, 2012, 19:37:19
All this talk of only Reading to Paddington commuters benefit from the increased number of HST seats...

Have any of you seen the Paddington-Plymouth/Penzance services that are full AND standing all the way to Exeter/Plymouth and beyond?  Go and tell those passengers who have to stand for 2-3 HOURS that the old layout with less seats would be more comfortable!

Certainly have! Outside of peak holiday season, I have seen people standing as the train leaves Penzance. It didn't start to get any emptier until Plymouth.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: vacman on August 22, 2012, 10:33:39
All this talk of only Reading to Paddington commuters benefit from the increased number of HST seats...

Have any of you seen the Paddington-Plymouth/Penzance services that are full AND standing all the way to Exeter/Plymouth and beyond?  Go and tell those passengers who have to stand for 2-3 HOURS that the old layout with less seats would be more comfortable!

Certainly have! Outside of peak holiday season, I have seen people standing as the train leaves Penzance. It didn't start to get any emptier until Plymouth.
I've seen busy trains from Penzance but never seen one full and standing leaving Penzance!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 22, 2012, 16:31:42
50 reasons to sign a petition for Virgin to keep the franchise.
http://www.virgin.com/travel/news/50-reasons-to-sign-the-virgin-trains-e-petition

Scraping the barrel by about reason 2 I think...


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on August 22, 2012, 16:54:03
Quote
4. We have the fastest trains and we^re getting quicker. We've slashed journey times - Manchester is now two hours eight minutes from London, down from two hours 30 minutes.
Erm, your trains can manage 140mph .... but the line is only signalled for 125mph.  So Southeastern and Eurostar have the fastest trains.

Quote
31. Our state-of-the art electric Pendolino trains are environmentally friendly emitting at least 76% less CO2 than cars and 78% less than domestic flights.
I'm sure First's state-of-the art electric Pendolino trains will be environmentally friendly emitting at least 76% less CO2 than cars and 78% less than domestic flights.

I could go on, but it just isn't worth it.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 22, 2012, 17:19:19
The epetition has passed the half way mark in it's travels to the key 100,000 figure, going up by thousands in an hour.

According to a source, Virgin staff are giving out leaflets at stations and sending out emails telling people to sign.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: mjones on August 22, 2012, 17:23:40
Quote
4. We have the fastest trains and we^re getting quicker. We've slashed journey times - Manchester is now two hours eight minutes from London, down from two hours 30 minutes.
Erm, your trains can manage 140mph .... but the line is only signalled for 125mph.  So Southeastern and Eurostar have the fastest trains.

Quote
31. Our state-of-the art electric Pendolino trains are environmentally friendly emitting at least 76% less CO2 than cars and 78% less than domestic flights.
I'm sure First's state-of-the art electric Pendolino trains will be environmentally friendly emitting at least 76% less CO2 than cars and 78% less than domestic flights.I could go on, but it just isn't worth it.

Such as the new flights Virgin Atlantic has just announced from London to Manchester and Scotland...
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-scotland-scotland-business-19329706#


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 22, 2012, 18:10:45
New campaign website:

http://www.reinstatevirgin.co.uk/

57k

SEVENTH biggest petition.

My goodness! :o


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Timmer on August 22, 2012, 19:12:15
50 reasons to sign a petition for Virgin to keep the franchise.
http://www.virgin.com/travel/news/50-reasons-to-sign-the-virgin-trains-e-petition

Scraping the barrel by about reason 2 I think...
Have to say Btline I totally agree with you on this one. When I read this earlier I thought they were pretty weak reasons why they should keep the franchise. First should be allowed to show what they can do on West Coast.

Virgin Trains are good but I would never put them massively ahead of any of the other IC TOCs.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 22, 2012, 19:33:10
If Virgin get theirn signatures and manage to change DfT's mind.  Do you think First will just sit back and do nothing.  They were told they had won. If DfT changes their mind they are going to have to have some mighty good reason or First will have no trouble geting it reinstated on a judicial review.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Timmer on August 22, 2012, 19:45:02
Unless someone can prove that there has been some naughty dealing going on or Daft have not followed correct procedure in awarding the franchise to First, Virgin could get 100 million signatures and it won't make any difference.

The more this goes on the more it looks like sour grapes from Virgin, not Stagecoach I hasten to add, and Branson needs to put up or shut up.

For what it's worth, my opinion is that come December it will be First running the West Coast and not Virgin Trains and it won't be the end of the world.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: broadgage on August 22, 2012, 20:17:09
Yes, collecting the required number of signatures means that the matter must be debated in parliament.

It does not mean that the decision about the franchise will be reversed, though many seem to be expecting this outcome.

Given a large enough publicity budget I could probably collect 100, 000 signatures demanding that beer be made cheaper.
The matter would presumably be debated, but I doubt that beer would get cheaper as a result.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 22, 2012, 21:51:19
According to a source, Virgin staff are giving out leaflets at stations and sending out emails telling people to sign.
The only email I have received is:


Quote
The Department for Transport has announced that FirstGroup will be running the West Coast franchise from 9 December. We've loved zipping you around and are so disappointed that this chapter in our journey is almost over. Thank you for making the last 15 years so amazing.

There's no better time to take a trip down memory lane and look at some of our highlights that have revolutionised UK rail travel. It's still business as usual until December and we look forward to welcoming you onboard before then.

Read Sir Richard Branson's response.

Virgin Trains

They have put the message about saving VT on CIS'.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: bobm on August 22, 2012, 21:54:06
Given a large enough publicity budget I could probably collect 100, 000 signatures demanding that beer be made cheaper.
The matter would presumably be debated, but I doubt that beer would get cheaper as a result.

But then I would sign that petition.   ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Rhydgaled on August 23, 2012, 00:06:27
50 reasons to sign a petition for Virgin to keep the franchise.
http://www.virgin.com/travel/news/50-reasons-to-sign-the-virgin-trains-e-petition

Scraping the barrel by about reason 2 I think...
I agree, most of those reasons are naff. However, I have my own reason for considering signing, perhaps it is covered by their Option 9 but they haven't put it how I would:

They (apparently) would replace all the class 221s (drink alot of diesel so would produce alot of CO2) with EMUs (hauled by diesel-locos beyond the wires), and in doing so would hopefully show the DfT how DaFT their IEP bi-mode is.

Is that enough of a reason to sign?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 23, 2012, 00:15:30
My issue is that Virgin are branding themselves as customer-centric.

I ask anyone why a customer-centric organisation takes *1 month* to respond to correspondence and only responds to less than 15% in that time. :|


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 23, 2012, 11:15:36
Yes, collecting the required number of signatures means that the matter must be debated in parliament.

Not necessarily guaranteed at all.  http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/ 

It reads "...and if it gets at least 100,000 signatures, it will be considered for debate in the House of Commons." (My emphasis.)

The government wouldn't necessarily be bound by such a debate anyway.

Seems to me all this Virgin orchestrated ranting against the DfT is almost guaranteed to ensure Virgin are permanently excluded. 

Paul






Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Phil on August 23, 2012, 11:34:48
I only hope the losers don't retaliate by bidding for the West Country franchise when it becomes available.


Vandals would have a field day armed with a roll of masking tape and signs that read VIRGIN WEST COUNTRY




Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 23, 2012, 14:59:45
Yes, collecting the required number of signatures means that the matter must be debated in parliament.

Not necessarily guaranteed at all.  http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/ 

It reads "...and if it gets at least 100,000 signatures, it will be considered for debate in the House of Commons." (My emphasis.)

The government wouldn't necessarily be bound by such a debate anyway.

Seems to me all this Virgin orchestrated ranting against the DfT is almost guaranteed to ensure Virgin are permanently excluded. 

Paul
Yes, I completely agree, firstly any debate in the commons is not guaranteed and even if it is there is nothing parliament can realistically achieve as it's a done deal.

That being said I do think the DfT need to fully explain their decision and for that matter how the current Great Western contract was drawn up to allow so little of the franchise fee to be paid.

Surely the best place for this to be reviewed is the Transport Select Committee (very sadly now for some years without Gwyneth Dunwoody).

Finally, Paul, I really can't see Virgin bidding again, so alienating Whitehall is probably irrelevent. The fact that Virgin is starting more frequent flights Manchester / Glasgow - London (could he take a pop at Exeter / Plymouth?) shows his commitment to railways has dwindled.

Love Virgin or loathe them I think the industry in general will be the poorer for their absence.





[/quote]


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 23, 2012, 17:44:01
An extra 2500 names added over the last HOUR.
Now over 80k. 100k will be reached in 24hrs at this rate.

I'm not going to post a link, as I don't want this image to spread any further than it has already, but has anyone see the shocking poster that someone has created to campaign for Virgin? It uses the horrifying image of the FGW Theale crash in 2004.
What a shame such a sick thing has been created in this debate. Also a shame that once in cyber space...

On a light note, someone called Trailer Second has written a poem about VT online:

Quote
This is the Voyager crossing the Border
Standing room only, unless you pre order
Seating for the rich, corridors for the poor
The shop has sold out, the buffet no more
Revving up Beattock, claiming to be green

The wires above her, no pan to be seen
Birds turn their heads, as she approaches
Stare from the bushes, at her paltry 5 coaches

Cars in the fast lane can^t keep pace
Have comfortable seats and a lot more grace
Thro^ heather and weather but not fallen leaves
With approval ratings that no-one believes
Shoveling carbon over her shoulder
Nox, particulates, benzene, sulphur
Her weight fatigues the railway line
She^s ten minutes late but that^s on time

In the farm she passes no one wakes
All long gone to euro milk lakes
Dawn freshens but the toilet^s full
Snarling toward the urban sprawl
Scotland, independent nation
Soon an end to this vibration
Past rough estates and fast food chains
Dodging the stones from those with no brains

Call centres, offices, low cost homes
Tattooed teenagers with tweeting phones
Once steel and coal and engineering
Graffiti, flats and multi screening
Trainspotting here is not what it seems
But fuels the crime to pay for dreams
In the dark glens beside pale green sea lochs
Men read their e-mails

Obviously, not based on Night Mail!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 23, 2012, 18:12:29
From CampaignLive (http://www.campaignlive.co.uk/news/1146775/firstgroup-calls-7m-west-coast-mainline-ad-pitch/):

Quote
FirstGroup calls ^7m West Coast Mainline ad pitch

FirstGroup, the transport company that is set to replace Virgin Trains as the operator of the West Coast Mainline, is looking for an advertising agency to handle its estimated ^7 million account.

(http://cached.imagescaler.hbpl.co.uk/resize/scaleWidth/460/?sURL=http://offlinehbpl.hbpl.co.uk/News/OMC/4EDE8829-B0BC-EF60-D6D25E5AF9C3F158.jpg)
FirstGroup: seeking an agency to help establish the new West Coast Mainline brand

The company won the contract to operate the line last week after bidding ^13.3 billion cash against Virgin Trains^11 billion. It is due to run the service from December until the end of 2028 after promising to attract millions more customers to use the service.

The operator has approached agencies directly about the brief and the winning shop is expected to play an integral role in establishing the FirstGroup brand and attracting new customers.

Elvis was responsible for creating Virgin Trains^ advertising. Its recent campaigns include "don^t go zombie".

It is unclear whether the brief covers advertising for FirstGroup^s other rail franchises, which include First Great Western and First Capital Connect. Agencies that work for the company include The Leith Agency, 20:20 and Dig for Fire.

The decision by the Government to hand the contract to FirstGroup angered Sir Richard Branson, whose Virgin Trains operation has held the franchise for 15 years. He has called for an apology from the Prime Minister, David Cameron, and may demand a judicial review of the decision.

The West Coast Mainline is used by 31 million passengers between London, the Midlands, North Wales and Central Scotland each year.

Separately, Branson^s Virgin Atlantic has announced that it is planning to launch its first domestic service, flying passengers between London and Manchester.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: devon_metro on August 23, 2012, 20:09:43
Why are people signing petitions? First plan to lower Anytime fares, surely that is a step in the right direction, I was under the impression that 'walk up' travel on the WCML was pretty extortionate!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 23, 2012, 20:15:36
Why are people signing petitions? First plan to lower Anytime fares, surely that is a step in the right direction, I was under the impression that 'walk up' travel on the WCML was pretty extortionate!

Exactly. People are campaigning AGAINST a fare decrease.

BREAKING NEWS: The signing of the contract is to be delayed! Is this the start of a U- turn?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 23, 2012, 20:39:21
BREAKING NEWS: The signing of the contract is to be delayed! Is this the start of a U- turn?

Says who?

Please quote a reliable source. 

A letter from the Transport Select Commitee asking for a delay is not the same as you are implying.  It is just as likely that the Government will tell them to get lost.

Paul


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: mjones on August 23, 2012, 21:02:25
Maybe it came from the 'celebrities':
http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/transport/celebrities-call-for-u-turn-on-west-coast-rail-decision.18662878

Can  Branson's campaign get any sillier, and less likely to get him taken seriously?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 23, 2012, 23:23:19
I have now received an email from VT asking me to sign the petition.

Quote
It is not all over in the battle to make the Government see sense and reconsider the decision to award the West Coast Mainline franchise to FirstGroup.

An e-petition, set up completely independent of Virgin by a member of the public, is calling for the government to reconsider the decision.

Over 20,000 people have already signed the e-petition. Once we get 100,000 signatures from UK citizens the issue may be debated in the House of Commons. We urge you to sign the e-petition and let the Government know how passionately we all feel about keeping the West Coast Mainline as a Virgin Trains franchise.

The final decision has not been signed off and we want as much support as possible to force the Government to reassess this ill-judged decision. August 28th is the provisional date for the signing of the contract for the next franchise, so do sign the e-petition as soon as possible.




Richard Branson



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 24, 2012, 13:18:52
They have 100,000.

What happens now?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: mjones on August 24, 2012, 13:34:00
Hopefully nothing. If rail franchising is to be decided by a popular vote like a 'reality' TV talent show then it will become even more farcical and discredited than it is now...


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 24, 2012, 13:45:08
That's 0.3% of their annual passenger numbers. Hardly an achievement given all the publicity they've thrown at it.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 24, 2012, 13:59:31
That's 0.3% of their annual passenger numbers. Hardly an achievement given all the publicity they've thrown at it.

So they have circa 30,000,000 passengers a year? That's almost half the country


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 24, 2012, 14:14:27
They have 100,000.

What happens now?

Richard Branson turns into a pumpkin?  ::) :o ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 24, 2012, 14:37:07
What needs to happen is that both bids, with bidder name redacted, are presented fully live on ITV1:

The programme should be called "The bids", hosted by Ant and Dec. With guest panellists: Alan Sugar, Gok Wan and Joanna Lumley.

The bids are scrutinised live on ITV, before Ant and Dec give out phone numbers "vote for the best bid", "remember, it's YOUR line".

Break for News at Ten

After the news, the phone lines close. Cheryl performs her latest single.

A button is pressed, and a chair swings round - either revealing Branson or Tim O Tool - the winner of the televote and hence the WC franchise.

**Produced by Simon Cowell


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 24, 2012, 14:52:48
That's 0.3% of their annual passenger numbers. Hardly an achievement given all the publicity they've thrown at it.

So they have circa 28,000,000 passengers a year? That's almost half the country
Yes.

Quote
About 31 million passengers travel on the West Coast Mainline every year.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 24, 2012, 16:18:55
First launch an attack on Virgin and Richard Branson

http://menmedia.co.uk/manchestereveningnews/news/transport/s/1587169_move-to-delay-west-coast-main-line-franchise-switch-from-virgin-to-firstgroup

A source from First said:

"We appreciate that Sir Richard Branson is a high-profile celebrity with millions following him personally on social media. However, our business is transport - first and foremost. We have a long and proven track record in running rail services and will be delivering better value for taxpayers.

"We look forward to welcoming all customers to their new and improved service from December."


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 24, 2012, 17:14:45
What needs to happen is that both bids, with bidder name redacted, are presented fully live on ITV1:

The programme should be called "The bids", hosted by Ant and Dec. With guest panellists: Alan Sugar, Gok Wan and Joanna Lumley.

The bids are scrutinised live on ITV, before Ant and Dec give out phone numbers "vote for the best bid", "remember, it's YOUR line".

Break for News at Ten

After the news, the phone lines close. Cheryl performs her latest single.

A button is pressed, and a chair swings round - either revealing Branson or Tim O Tool - the winner of the televote and hence the WC franchise.

**Produced by Simon Cowell

This is the first time I've wished there was a 'Like' button on this forum.  ;D

Although the panel should have at least one rail 'expert'. Perhaps Christian Wolmar or more likely, given his past involvement with shows like this - Pete Waterman.

Great post!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 24, 2012, 17:26:57
Why bother with an expert? :P

And thanks!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 24, 2012, 22:15:02
Virgin have hit back at First's attack:
A Virgin insider said: "Richard does have celebrity friends, but he doesn't have 100,000 celebrity friends."

Meanwhile, according to sources at the DFT, the request to delay contract signing has been DENIED.
Looks as if all is going ahead - with a red face for Branson.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 25, 2012, 11:00:58
From Channel 4 News (http://www.channel4.com/news/campaign-to-delay-west-coast-rail-decision-gathers-steam):

Quote
Campaign to delay west coast rail decision gathers steam

The head of the transport select committee urges the government to delay signing the deal which will see Virgin Trains lose its west coast mainline franchise.

Virgin Trains' owner Sir Richard Branson dubbed the franchise system "insane" after the Department for Transport (DfT) announced last week that his company had lost out to FirstGroup in the battle to operate a new 13-year west coast franchise from December 2012.

The final contract papers for the deal are expected to be signed by Transport Secretary Justine Greening on Tuesday.

But Louise Ellman, the chairman of the House of Commons Transport Committee, has written to Ms Greening asking her to hold off signing the final contract.

In the letter, Mrs Ellman said the west coast ruling raised "important issues about the basis on which decisions on major rail franchises are made".

She added that she wanted time to raise the matter with her committee colleagues and that she was proposing a possible public oral evidence session of the committee on the subject of west coast on 11 September.

Mrs Ellman also said in the letter that she expected committee members would want to ask about the west coast franchise when Ms Greening gives evidence to the committee on the work of the transport department on 12 September.

Another select committee chair has also expressed concern about the decision.

Margaret Hodge, chair of the Public Accounts Committee, said she and her colleagues will want to make sure that the department has learnt the lessons from "past failures to secure value for money".

Mrs Hodge said the committee had expressed concerns before about the department's ability to predict accurate passenger numbers and in considering the impact of economic conditions on train operator^s revenue.

"Questions over their capability have now been raised again and whilst we welcome healthy competition it is essential that the Department has exercised proper due diligence in the letting of this franchise," he added.

Virgin, which has operated the west coast line since 1997 and has more than doubled annual passenger numbers over 15 years, has backed an e-petition calling on the government to reconsider the franchise award.

The campaign has attracted some celebrity names including double Olympic champion Mo Farah, The Apprentice presenter Lord Sugar and celebrity chef Jamie Oliver. On Friday afternoon the number of signatories had passed the 100,000 mark which means the issue could now be debated in the parliament.

But the DfT has suggested that a rethink and a role for the committee in the decision are unlikely.

A DfT spokesman said: "Once a decision has been made it is in the public interest and the commercial interests of bidders for the identity of the winning bidder to be made known promptly.

"Our published processes and criteria do not provide for a role in a live procurement exercise for the transport committee, which has not requested any kind of dialogue on this issue before now.

"However, the secretary of state is due to appear in front of the select committee in early September and will be happy to talk about the business of her department."

FirstGroup has said that its plans for the west coast franchise include improved wifi and catering, as well as additional services and more seats and reducing standard walk-on fares by 15 per cent on average.

A spokesman said: "We have a long and proven track record in running rail services and will be delivering better value for taxpayers. We look forward to welcoming all customers to their new and improved service from December."

In May 2011, FirstGroup chose not to extend its First Great Western rail franchise three years early. At the time, analysts said that the company had been very astute in that of the ^1.13bn FirstGroup had undertaken to repay during the course of the franchise, ^828m was due in the final three years. The company CEO Tim O'Toole said that the decision not to take up its option on the final years of the deal was to allow FirstGroup to negotiate a longer-term deal.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: phile on August 25, 2012, 19:05:57
Unfortunately, Parliament is what is to us, the normal worker, on an extended holiday so by the time they eventually return and in a position to debate it, the deal will be signed off so too late to debate.    Franchises are not awarded on efficiency and how they serve he passenger but on how the number of beans add up.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: anthony215 on August 25, 2012, 20:19:13
What needs to happen is that both bids, with bidder name redacted, are presented fully live on ITV1:

The programme should be called "The bids", hosted by Ant and Dec. With guest panellists: Alan Sugar, Gok Wan and Joanna Lumley.

The bids are scrutinised live on ITV, before Ant and Dec give out phone numbers "vote for the best bid", "remember, it's YOUR line".

Break for News at Ten

After the news, the phone lines close. Cheryl performs her latest single.

A button is pressed, and a chair swings round - either revealing Branson or Tim O Tool - the winner of the televote and hence the WC franchise.

**Produced by Simon Cowell

This is the first time I've wished there was a 'Like' button on this forum.  ;D

Although the panel should have at least one rail 'expert'. Perhaps Christian Wolmar or more likely, given his past involvement with shows like this - Pete Waterman.

Great post!


I agree  it bring a smile to me. and where is pete waterman it would be great for him to perhaps voice his opinion especially if he comes out in favour of First.

Hopeful;ly the deal willl be signed off quickly and this whole affair shut down so that First can just get on with things, in fact I really do hope First prove everyone wrong and run the west coast well for the next few years.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Electric train on August 25, 2012, 20:24:31
Mr Branson is a victim of what he holds most dear .............. competition basically he has lost out to better competitive bid, whether the bidding process is flawed or not he did take part in the process


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Milky Bar Kid on August 25, 2012, 21:19:30
Louise Ellman (Chair, Transport Select Committee) just been on BBC News she said "The Secretary of State has confirmed to me that she is not prepared to delay the signing of the contract". The reporter also said "The Government says the decision was entirely fair, and it is not a matter that rank and file MPs can interfere with".



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 25, 2012, 22:22:29
Louise Ellman (Chair, Transport Select Committee) just been on BBC News she said "The Secretary of State has confirmed to me that she is not prepared to delay the signing of the contract". The reporter also said "The Government says the decision was entirely fair, and it is not a matter that rank and file MPs can interfere with".

Harrah for common sense! - whatever you think about First interference would have been Celebrity rule.  I suppose that only leaves beardy Branson the option of a judicial review.

Edit in in line with Industry Insiders's wishes.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 26, 2012, 00:56:40
At risk of labouring the point:

Quote
A DfT spokesman said: "Once a decision has been made it is in the public interest and the commercial interests of bidders for the identity of the winning bidder to be made known promptly. Our published processes and criteria do not provide for a role in a live procurement exercise for the transport committee, which has not requested any kind of dialogue on this issue before now. However, the secretary of state is due to appear in front of the select committee in early September and will be happy to talk about the business of her department."

Cough ... so there.  ::)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 26, 2012, 02:33:09
Lots of sabre rattling, noise, and frankly, guff, coming out of the Virgin camp. They should either put up or shut up. They have until Tuesday to request a judicial review, but I fail to see any grounds for which they could launch such an action.

It is somewhat unedifying to see Virgin and Sir Beardy stoking up the public, bringing the rigorous, complex and legal franchise tender process down to the level of some sort of tawdry reality show where opinion is formed and decisions should be taken based on what the ill-informed contributors to twitter and facebook are saying. You have people on social media saying they are going to miss the Pendolinos, folk who don't want crappy 2 car First DMUs on the West Coast Main Line and so on.

Virgin Trains have said that the e-petition is a totally independent enterprise, yet they've not shied away from promoting it. A link is there on the Virgin Trains homepage. They've been misusing CIS screens at their stations to advertise the e-petition as well as handing out flyers at their stations and having frontline staff requesting customers to sign it. It's not the job of Train Managers, Customer Hosts and station staff to harangue passengers into signing a political petition. That said, kudos to them though for getting the requisite 100,000 signatories that may trigger a parliamentary debate. Shame that parliament is in recess though and any debate will happen long after the ink is dry on the ICWC contract. Should it trigger a wider debate on the rail franchising process then that is welcome. But under current rules First Group have won fair and square and that should be respected and defeat accepted gracefully.

I understand that losing Virgin Trains is a big blow to the bearded one, but that's the way of rail franchises. Sir Dicky B entered a fair fight and lost on points. The blind loyalty to the 'brand' by the vocal social media sheep is however harder to understand.

I note that plans are already afoot for what could be seen as a spoiler tactic by Virgin Group, with the announcement that they plan to start domestic flights between Manchester and London. Virgin need to look at history though. It was probably their increased rail service between those two cities that finally killed of the BMI service. First Great Western managed to see off any potential threat from Air South West and I doubt very much that three flights a day between Manchester and London will have any noticeable effect on First West Coast/Horizon Trains.

No doubt though if Virgin do get their slots, you can bet that they will be heavily advertised at London Euston and Manchester Piccadilly.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: IndustryInsider on August 26, 2012, 09:56:37
Totally agree with that post, BNM.  Spot on.  Though I wish everyone would just call him Richard Branson, Sir Richard Branson, or plain old Branson rather than 'the bearded one' or 'Sir Dicky B' or variants of them.   ;)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on August 26, 2012, 09:58:18
Writing in The Telegraph
Quote
If this process means extending the current franchise beyond December for a few months, I and my partners at Stagecoach would happily run the extended franchise on a not-for-profit basis, or donate profits to charity. We must ensure that this crucial decision is taken with all the facts correctly assessed and understood.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/9499815/Sir-Richard-Branson-an-extraordinary-week.html


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 26, 2012, 14:07:50
Perhaps one good thing WILL come out of this chaos, that everyone sits down and discusses the system.
Changes do need to be made - whoever finally gets their hands on the keys to WC.

It is mad that the gov gives money out to TOCs in subsidy and then they have to pay money back, whilst private companies pocket profits.
There should be rules in place that ensure companies invest x amount of money before they can make a profit - paid for by reducing premiums.
The Chiltern way is better for passengers and taxpayers.

To be fair to Branson (I too, don't understand the obsession with calling him other names), his article in the Telegraph is quite fair. Of course, it doesn't mean he should retain the WC!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 26, 2012, 14:41:02
It is mad that the gov gives money out to TOCs in subsidy and then they have to pay money back, whilst private companies pocket profits.

I do not beleive that the government give any subsidy to the InterCity TOCs I thought they all paid premiums. Can somone confirm?

There should be rules in place that ensure companies invest x amount of money before they can make a profit - paid for by reducing premiums.

I though First were offering to put a considerable investment in West Coast

The Chiltern way is better for passengers and taxpayers.

I didn't think Chiltern's franchise was much different to any other except that they have committed to more investment in expectation of more profit.  Again can somone correct or confirm.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 26, 2012, 15:59:09
Do Chiltern make a profit? I thought commuter railways in general lost loads, as they are only used a lot at peaks, when people are using heavily discounted season tickets.

How much did Virgin invest in the WC? How much profit did they make?
Perhaps less payments and more investment would be preferable.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 26, 2012, 16:50:43
How much did Virgin invest in the WC? How much profit did they make?
Perhaps less payments and more investment would be preferable.

They bought new trains for both WC and Cross Country when they took over didn't they?  That was not specified in the ITT.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Electric train on August 26, 2012, 17:47:00
Writing in The Telegraph
Quote
If this process means extending the current franchise beyond December for a few months, I and my partners at Stagecoach would happily run the extended franchise on a not-for-profit basis, or donate profits to charity. We must ensure that this crucial decision is taken with all the facts correctly assessed and understood.
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/finance/comment/9499815/Sir-Richard-Branson-an-extraordinary-week.html

Oh I hate to play snap with Branson he is soooooooo bad at losing


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 26, 2012, 18:33:06
They bought new trains for both WC and Cross Country when they took over didn't they?  That was not specified in the ITT.

They ordered new trains. They certainly didn't buy them.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 26, 2012, 19:08:27
They bought new trains for both WC and Cross Country when they took over didn't they?  That was not specified in the ITT.

They ordered new trains. They certainly didn't buy them.


And paid the additional leasing costs!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Southern Stag on August 26, 2012, 19:16:34
But had premium profiles to take that into account. A bid using just the existing fleet would probably have been able to pay greater premiums. Virgin did very well out the West Coast franchise, the failure of Railtrack and the delays to the West Coast Route Modernisation meant they had the franchise renegotiated on very favourable terms for them.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 26, 2012, 19:57:00
They bought new trains for both WC and Cross Country when they took over didn't they?  That was not specified in the ITT.

They ordered new trains. They certainly didn't buy them.


And paid the additional leasing costs!

My apologies if my response came across as curt. I realise you weren't suggesting Virgin actually own the trains.

Just a little sensitive at the moment to all the misinformation coming from the Virgin Supporters Club.

Most recent thing I saw that had me shaking me head was someone saying that Richard Branson should refuse to sell his trains to First Group.  ::)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 26, 2012, 21:53:13
They bought new trains for both WC and Cross Country when they took over didn't they?  That was not specified in the ITT.

They ordered new trains. They certainly didn't buy them.


And paid the additional leasing costs!

My apologies if my response came across as curt. I realise you weren't suggesting Virgin actually own the trains.

Just a little sensitive at the moment to all the misinformation coming from the Virgin Supporters Club.

Most recent thing I saw that had me shaking me head was someone saying that Richard Branson should refuse to sell his trains to First Group.  ::)

I too am getting very annoyed at the Virgin Supporters Club.  Just trying to find the truth in all the misinformation around.  No apology required.

Edit Very annoyed is understating somewhat


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 26, 2012, 22:08:07
To be fair to Branson (I too, don't understand the obsession with calling him other names), his article in the Telegraph is quite fair. Of course, it doesn't mean he should retain the WC!

Also, to be fair, it should be remembered that Sir Richard Branson is an accomplished and experienced self-publicist.  :-X


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: phile on August 27, 2012, 10:08:46
They bought new trains for both WC and Cross Country when they took over didn't they?  That was not specified in the ITT.

They ordered new trains. They certainly didn't buy them.


And paid the additional leasing costs!

My apologies if my response came across as curt. I realise you weren't suggesting Virgin actually own the trains.

Just a little sensitive at the moment to all the misinformation coming from the Virgin Supporters Club.

Most recent thing I saw that had me shaking me head was someone saying that Richard Branson should refuse to sell his trains to First Group.  ::)

I too am getting very annoyed at the Virgin Supporters Club.  Just trying to find the truth in all the misinformation around.  No apology required.

Edit Very annoyed is understating somewhat
There may be a Virgin Supporters club, but when 100,000 sign a petition there must be very strong feeling.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 27, 2012, 11:14:18
There may be a Virgin Supporters club, but when 100,000 sign a petition there must be very strong feeling.

Or 130,000+ people falling for slick PR, misinformation and following a social media herd. Franchise bids and award decisions are governed by carefully laid down rules and the rule of law. Not the rule of the mob. They are not decided by a public vote, and nor should they be. We don't have a say in the award of other government contracts to the private sector, why should railway franchises be any different? There are already enough layers of scrutiny and oversight without the need for another one. Government business would grind to a halt if every contract award had to be decided by public referenda.

Now, a petition asking the government to debate the franchising process is one I would sign.

But you'll no more get me to sign this petition than a 'Reinstate First Great Western' one in December when it's announced they've lost to National Express.  :P ;) ::)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 27, 2012, 11:25:43
As I said Phile: 0.3% of Virgins passenger numbers. Hardly a strong feeling.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TerminalJunkie on August 27, 2012, 11:54:38
As I said Phile: 0.3% of Virgins passenger numbers. Hardly a strong feeling.

What do you suppose the proportion would be if, for example, Virgin Season Ticket holders were allowed to sign the petition more than once?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 27, 2012, 12:01:01
As I said Phile: 0.3% of Virgins passenger numbers. Hardly a strong feeling.

To be pedantic, Virgin don't have 30,000,000 individual passengers. That number is the amount of journeys made by their passengers.

Still, 138,000+ e-petitioners is easily a small minority of the West Coast's individual passenger count. And....

What do you suppose the proportion would be if, for example, Virgin Season Ticket holders were allowed to sign the petition more than once?

.... anyone can sign the e-petition more than once and I suspect many have.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on August 27, 2012, 12:06:28
I'm also wondering how many people who signed the petition actually use the services of Virgin Trains?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 27, 2012, 12:24:41
As I said Phile: 0.3% of Virgins passenger numbers. Hardly a strong feeling.

To be pedantic, Virgin don't have 30,000,000 individual passengers. That number is the amount of journeys made by their passengers.

As I said originally, it's a misprint and I provided the quote.

Oh, just to be pedantic, it's 30200000...


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TerminalJunkie on August 27, 2012, 13:35:47
As I said originally, it's a misprint and I provided the quote.

Did you? Where?

It wasn't here:
[...]
Quote
About 31 million passengers travel on the West Coast Mainline every year.

...because all you did was type in a number with no verifiable source; and I can't see anything where you said it was a misprint.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 27, 2012, 14:22:37
Actually, it was there. I'm sure you can see the post was edited, I may have mistakenly removed it, but it was there.

How's the Office of Rail Regulation *official* statistics for you? (The 30200000 number). You're more than welcome to go and check.

The other was quoted from an article, by all means Google it to find out where it is from. Is that okay with you too?

Kindly don't tell me what I have or haven't done. Oddly, you don't know, do you? It's a little like me saying "you just post to wind people up". By all means assume, and yes, I assume you just post to wind people up (so we're clear).
 


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 27, 2012, 14:25:45
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-19388309):

Quote
The West Coast Mainline route serves 31 million passengers travelling between London, the West Midlands, the North West, North Wales and the central belt of Scotland.

Virgin has run the franchise since 1997, during which time passenger numbers have doubled.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TerminalJunkie on August 27, 2012, 15:49:25
Actually, it was there. I'm sure you can see the post was edited, I may have mistakenly removed it, but it was there.

If you say so.

How's the Office of Rail Regulation *official* statistics for you? (The 30200000 number). You're more than welcome to go and check.

It took some finding, but it's here: http://dataportal.orr.gov.uk/displayreport/report/html/3137c454-9748-425e-aa73-963486fa729a (http://dataportal.orr.gov.uk/displayreport/report/html/3137c454-9748-425e-aa73-963486fa729a).

However, the actual statistic refers to 'Passenger Journeys'. The distinction is important: since almost every passenger makes at least two journeys (and holders of Annual Seasons 200 or more), it follows that arguing that '100,000 people' signing a petition is '0.3% of Virgins[sic] Passenger numbers' is faintly ridiculous. It might be arithmetically correct, but it's as statistically meaningless as saying 100,000 signatories is only 1% of the number of slugs found in forty acres of farmland**.


** No, I didn't make it up: http://www.slugoff.co.uk/slug-facts/facts (http://www.slugoff.co.uk/slug-facts/facts)



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Bob_Blakey on August 27, 2012, 20:23:59
If I had ever been of a mind to support Sir Richard's calls for a review of the deal, his interview on this mornings BBC R4 Today programme would probably have changed my opinion.

He stated that First Group are "generally accepted as amongst the worst" rail franchise operators, said that "Cross Country are losing money", and claimed that as part of their ICWC bid First Group provided revenue figures which required them to "sell more seats than exist". The aim of his campaign is "to get some sense into the DfT".

It came across as very much a 'toys-out-of-the-pram' episode from a bad loser and I was very surprised that the claims all went unchallenged.   


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 27, 2012, 21:42:04
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-19388309):

Quote
The West Coast Mainline route serves 31 million passengers travelling between London, the West Midlands, the North West, North Wales and the central belt of Scotland.

However, the actual statistic refers to 'Passenger Journeys'. The distinction is important: since almost every passenger makes at least two journeys (and holders of Annual Seasons 200 or more), it follows that arguing that '100,000 people' signing a petition is '0.3% of Virgins[sic] Passenger numbers' is faintly ridiculous. It might be arithmetically correct, but it's as statistically meaningless ...

I've been trying to quantify the relationship between passengers and passenger journeys.

Adding up the station entrances and exits from the ORR stats, we get 2295337773; divide that by 2 to get journeys made by train in the year, we get 1147668886 and dividing that by 60000000 (population) we get just over 19.  So each UK resident makes an average of about 20 journeys by train each year.  There are, of course, very rough figures indeed - there are journeys made by non-residents which will skew the figures one way, and there's a sizeable proportion of the population who wouldn't even dream of using a train, so wouldn't dream of signing a petition.

Hmm ... I'm very wary about guessing what proportion of the UK population uses a train in any year, or making any assumptions about evenness of otherwise of distribution of frequency across TOCs, beyond guessing that SWT passengers, largely commuters, probably make a lot more journeys per year per passenger than Virgin West Coast passengers, where journeys are typically ver much longer than a commute.  So I'm stopping at that point.   Does anyone have the data available to carry on with my musings?   I would suspect that with the extra factor brought in we could get something very rough indeed, but meaningful, that was an order of magnitude or more above the 0.3% which is in itself a useless intermediate calculation.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: vacman on August 27, 2012, 22:01:16
But you'll no more get me to sign this petition than a 'Reinstate First Great Western' one in December when it's announced they've lost to National Express.  :P ;) ::)

So obviously you will know the result before the DfT have made the decision then.


Edit note: Quote marks fixed. CfN.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TonyK on August 27, 2012, 22:01:24
It could be that they weren't challenged because that, being true, they could have proved embarrassing to the challenger.
It could be that no matter who runs the franchise, they will do no better or worse a job than anyone else, because they are told what services they can run, what rolling stock they can run them with, what they can charge, and, above all, how much they have to pay the government for the privilege, to recoup the investment in the infrastructure that the said government decided, for political reasons, to make.
It could be that there is no real competition on Britain's railways because there is really no alternative to any of the intercity franchise services. You have your snout in the trough, or not, as opposed to having your snout in the same trough, but eating better than your fellow hogs.
It could be that no-one knows (or cares) enough to give a toss.
It could be that the bearded one didn't get his oats the night before the interview, but I doubt it.
It could be that my Auntie has bollocks, in which case she would be my Uncle.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 27, 2012, 22:24:19
But you'll no more get me to sign this petition than a 'Reinstate First Great Western' one in December when it's announced they've lost to National Express.  :P ;) ::)
So obviously you will know the result before the DfT have made the decision then.

Hmm. The Secretary of State's consent to the Great Western franchise award is pencilled in for "Feb/Mar 2013", according to the Invitation to Tender (http://assets.dft.gov.uk/publications/rail-passenger-franchise-great-western/invitation-to-tender.pdf) document.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 27, 2012, 22:27:36
If I had ever been of a mind to support Sir Richard's calls for a review of the deal, his interview on this mornings BBC R4 Today programme would probably have changed my opinion.

He stated that First Group are "generally accepted as amongst the worst" rail franchise operators, said that "Cross Country are losing money", and claimed that as part of their ICWC bid First Group provided revenue figures which required them to "sell more seats than exist". The aim of his campaign is "to get some sense into the DfT".

It came across as very much a 'toys-out-of-the-pram' episode from a bad loser and I was very surprised that the claims all went unchallenged.   

I was so appalled by this latest smear that I wrote to my MP. It seems like blatent misuse of his celebrity status.

While First have had their bad times, so have Virgin if you look back.  Case of the pot calling the kettle black.  

If I were looking for nominees for the worsed TOC First would not be the first name that came to mind.  



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TerminalJunkie on August 27, 2012, 23:42:41
Does anyone have the data available to carry on with my musings?   I would suspect that with the extra factor brought in we could get something very rough indeed, but meaningful, that was an order of magnitude or more above the 0.3% which is in itself a useless intermediate calculation.

I can only offer http://assets.dft.gov.uk/statistics/series/rail/110805_Rail_Factsheet.pdf (http://assets.dft.gov.uk/statistics/series/rail/110805_Rail_Factsheet.pdf), which quotes an Opinions Survey (Chart 5) from 2009 which said that 55% had used Rail in the previous 12 months.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 28, 2012, 01:39:30
But you'll no more get me to sign this petition than a 'Reinstate First Great Western' one in December when it's announced they've lost to National Express.  :P ;) ::)
So obviously you will know the result before the DfT have made the decision then.

Oops. My apologies. Using the original date, forgetting about the slide into 2013 following delays in the process.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on August 28, 2012, 05:10:32
Does anyone have the data available to carry on with my musings?   I would suspect that with the extra factor brought in we could get something very rough indeed, but meaningful, that was an order of magnitude or more above the 0.3% which is in itself a useless intermediate calculation.

I can only offer http://assets.dft.gov.uk/statistics/series/rail/110805_Rail_Factsheet.pdf (http://assets.dft.gov.uk/statistics/series/rail/110805_Rail_Factsheet.pdf), which quotes an Opinions Survey (Chart 5) from 2009 which said that 55% had used Rail in the previous 12 months.

So ... adding in that extra figure, each person who uses the train makes an average of around 35 journeys per year, and we're looking at a signature rate based on a more sensible technique (but really rough figures and still with some horrid approximations and assumptions) or around 10% of the customer base, which is quite impressive.  A caution on the roughness - the figure could easily be a factor of 2 out, in other words I really should be saying "it's likely that somewhere between 5% and 20% of Virgin West Coast's customers have signed".

The reallity of the case? I suspect it depends on what the DfT want out of the next franchise, in financial, risk, and social terms as to which bid won, and I suspect that the 4 GW bidders will be studying the implication of the decision carefully.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on August 28, 2012, 09:26:35
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-politics-19395621):

Quote
West Coast Main Line deal will go ahead, Greening says

Transport Secretary Justine Greening has told the BBC there will not be a delay in signing a new West Coast Main Line contract with FirstGroup.

Mrs Greening said the government would "push on" with the 13-year contract, which was a "good deal for taxpayers".

There has been pressure from Virgin Rail, which currently runs the line, and from Labour, to delay the decision until Parliament returns.

The chairwoman of the Transport Select Committee has also called for a delay.

The contract signing could happen on Wednesday.

FirstGroup has said it would bring in key improvements for passengers, but critics fear it would not be able to afford the ^5.5bn it was paying for the franchise.

Virgin's Sir Richard Branson had offered to run the service "for free" while a review was carried out.

But Mrs Greening told BBC Breakfast that all bidders had "bought into" the "fair and well-established process". She claimed that if Virgin had won the bid it would have "been perfectly happy with the process".
Service improvements

Aberdeen-based FirstGroup already operates a number of rail routes, including Great Western and ScotRail.

The company, under the name First West Coast Limited, will take over the franchise from 9 December and is due to to operate the service until 2026.

The West Coast Main Line route serves 31 million passengers travelling between London, the West Midlands, the North West, North Wales and the central belt of Scotland.

Virgin has run the franchise since 1997, during which time passenger numbers doubled.

FirstGroup has promised to introduce better wi-fi and food, more frequent trains and more seats, and to cut standard fares by 15%.

The firm said it would introduce 11 new 125mph six-car electric trains on the Birmingham to Glasgow route and provide more direct services between destinations.

Petition

More than 100,000 people have signed an online petition calling for the decision to be reconsidered.

Labour's Maria Eagle, the shadow transport secretary, has urged the government to put the contract on hold until MPs return from summer recess and have a chance to consider the deal.

And Labour's Louise Ellman, who chairs the House of Commons transport committee, has written to Ms Greening asking her to delay signing the contract.

On Sunday, Sir Richard said that if reviewing the decision meant the December deadline had to be postponed, his company and Stagecoach would be willing to continue operating the railway lines while donating any profits to charity.

Sir Richard told the BBC that he wanted a proper examination of the facts.

"We've asked 40 questions - not one of them have been answered. What we want is transparency," he said.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Jason on August 28, 2012, 15:30:14
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19402133)

Virgin Trains in West Coast Main Line court action
Breaking news

Virgin Trains has said it has started court proceedings over the government's decision to award a new franchise to transport company FirstGroup.

Virgin had run the franchise since 1997, but lost to FirstGroup, prompting it to demand a review of the process.

Labour had also urged the government to delay the signing of the contract so that MPs could examine it.

But earlier Transport Secretary Justine Greening said there would be no delay in signing the FirstGroup deal.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andrew1939 from West Oxon on August 28, 2012, 16:39:08
Well, if the matter goes to court and the Dft does not sign off to First until a court case is decided, it will probably mean a new franchise will not start for another year or even longer. Virgin will have substantially legal costs to meet but if they hold onto the current franchise in the mean time, their additional profits may exceed the legal costs.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Electric train on August 28, 2012, 16:47:31
Well, if the matter goes to court and the Dft does not sign off to First until a court case is decided, it will probably mean a new franchise will not start for another year or even longer. Virgin will have substantially legal costs to meet but if they hold onto the current franchise in the mean time, their additional profits may exceed the legal costs.
This will be in Court within a week or two if not days, one thing for certain it is going to be expensive for you and me ........ Barristers and Court time don't come cheap and the tax payer will have to foot the bill for the Governments legal team


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Andy W on August 28, 2012, 17:14:01

This will be in Court within a week or two if not days, one thing for certain it is going to be expensive for you and me ........ Barristers and Court time don't come cheap and the tax payer will have to foot the bill for the Governments legal team

Only if the Government lose - and any costs will pale into insignificance against the ^825 million that First have avoided paying the taxpayer for the Great Western franchise.

Edited to correct my crap spelling


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on August 28, 2012, 19:06:21
Well at least Mr Branson's lawyers will now get him to stop his media campaign.  Celebrity support does not work as well in a court of law.

IS he going to run it for free during the delay resulting from the case?

 


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: SapperPsmith on August 29, 2012, 09:05:45
If Virgin win then how can HMG conduct any procurement in future without someone going for judicial review?  MoD equipment springs to mind.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: dking on August 29, 2012, 10:18:03
Take a look at this

http://www.newsbiscuit.com/2012/08/28/virgin-warns-first-running-west-coast-main-line-may-improve-services/


Edited to fix link. bignosemac


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Super Guard on August 29, 2012, 11:36:24
 ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on August 29, 2012, 11:46:04
Have Virgin revealed any details of the content of their bid?  I cannot recall seeing any offer of what they would do as franchise holder.

I also observed that Virgin Rail Limited is the company putting up the legal challenge, whereas West Coast Trains Ltd are the current franchise holder.  Should I read anything into this other than a new company has been set up to handle the new franchise?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: paul7575 on August 29, 2012, 11:55:42
Should I read anything into this other than a new company has been set up to handle the new franchise?

I wouldn't worry.  Franchise renewal always involves a new company, even if the incumbent retains it, for example the current 'SWT' is not legally the same company as the previous 'SWT'.  (I can't recall the subtle differnce in the underlying 'company name', but do remember it being slightly changed.)

Paul


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 29, 2012, 12:11:07
I think it was South West to South Western.

Just like Great Western to Greater Western.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: vacman on August 29, 2012, 15:31:15
there is a pro-First epetition now by the looks of it http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/37539 not as many signiatures as the other one though!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 29, 2012, 17:21:17
It would be very interesting if First Group (GW, FC, TP, SR, HT) advertised that petition like Virgin did on CIS', Twitter, Facebook and via email. I suspect it would surpass the number of signatures on the VT petition.

I think First Group, quite rightly won't; as such, it will not get that many signatures.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 29, 2012, 20:28:52
... for example the current 'SWT' is not legally the same company as the previous 'SWT'.

Indeed: from Wikipedia (http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/South_West_Trains#Extension_and_renewal_of_franchise):
Quote
The legal name of the company has also changed from South West Trains Ltd to Stagecoach South Western Trains Ltd, but the trading name has remained unchanged.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: woody on August 29, 2012, 21:21:19
there is a pro-First epetition now by the looks of it http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/37539 not as many signiatures as the other one though!
Those e-petition statistics in full

http://railwayeye.blogspot.co.uk/2012/08/those-e-petition-stats-in-full.html


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on August 29, 2012, 21:57:40
A few other "interesting" petitions...

Sign the West Coast rail franchise agreement with First Group immediately (http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/37894)

In any further bids for rail franchises bar First and where they hold the franchise consider removing it from them (http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/37686)

Stop First Group (Closed) (http://epetitions.direct.gov.uk/petitions/11686)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on August 30, 2012, 22:44:17
Virgin release details of their bid

Quote
New Services ^ our bid also proposes new direct services to Telford/Shrewsbury/Blackpool/Bolton but they would start a year earlier than FG. We would also double the frequency to Preston and increase calls to North Wales/Nuneaton/Milton Keynes and speed up journey times between Euston and Glasgow. In addition we would create new services to Stirling, Motherwell, Hartford, Liverpool South Parkway, and further enhance services for Gobowen/Chirk/Ruabon/Wrexham, increase journey opportunities between Milton Keynes/Rugby/Stafford to the North West and increase calls at Tamworth/Lichfield.

^ Trains ^ we would replace all of the Voyager trains with 21 6-car ^Baby Pendolinos^ which would mean no diesel operation over electrified lines, delivering the best environmental solution and an all Pendolino fleet providing the best passenger environment. FG appears to be retaining all of the Voyager fleet but it is not clear whether this is a firm commitment to do so or that they have the option to redeploy them to other routes. Assuming they do retain all of the Voyagers, FG would be providing 4% more seats than we would on a daily basis. The investment in fleet would be ^385m, but no contract is in place for FG.

^ On Board Service ^ we would replace the current WIFI system with a completely new state of the art system capable of growing with passenger needs, as enhancing the current system is not feasible. There would be a complete On Board refresh. All of this would support the enhanced at seat complimentary service in First Class and a new at seat service for Standard Class. The Virgin investment in the On Board service is ^109m, but there are no details as yet from FG.

^ Track ^ to deliver the improved journey times working with Network Rail we would undertake a number of infrastructure upgrades including enhancement to allow the Pendolino to reach a top speed of 135mph in order to improve a number of journey times. This Virgin investment would be ^125m, but there is no firm commitment in FG statements.

^ Stations ^ As with FG we would install ticket gates and undertake a number of station improvement projects. We would also create more car parking, install more ticket machines and introduce smart cards. CCTV and information points would also be installed. The investment for stations totals ^99m. FG has said they will invest ^22m in this area.

^ Passenger Services ^ we will design and develop a revolutionary new Centralised Booking Engine (CBE) which is unique to the industry. It pulls together all of the many industry systems and provides the passenger with a one stop shop experience. As part of this we will introduce a new customer experience system which includes a loyalty scheme in partnership with a major scheme provider. The investment in this area is ^39m, but there is no detail in this area from FirstGroup
Including a number of other projects not listed above we are planning to invest nearly ^800m in the franchise. FG has said its investment package is worth ^350m but there is little detail of how or whether this is to be spent.

This sounds better...?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on August 30, 2012, 22:58:37
It comes straight out of the Virgin Trains Media Room (http://mediaroom.virgintrains.co.uk/) - so you'd rather expect it to, wouldn't you?  ::)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on September 03, 2012, 17:05:50
Not at all unexpected, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19467510)
Quote
West Coast Main Line First Group deal put on hold

The deal to hand the West Coast Main Line rail franchise to First Group is to be delayed following a legal challenge by current operator Virgin.

Ministers were expected to sign the deal with First Group several days ago.

But they have confirmed due to the legal challenge the contract has not been signed and "the competition remains live".

Virgin has run the West Coast Main Line since 1997, but lost out to FirstGroup, prompting it to demand a review.

Labour had also urged the government to defer signing the contract so that MPs could examine it.
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19467510


Title: WCML Deal put on hold..
Post by: BerkshireBugsy on September 03, 2012, 20:27:19
Don't think this has been posted elsewhere on this forum so here is the news from the BBC

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19467510 (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-19467510)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: anthony215 on September 03, 2012, 21:33:10
Personally I wish we can get on with it and let First start running the new franchise come december.

If Virgins predictions prove correct then shame on the DFT but I would like to think First have done their sums correctly so lets hope Virgins challenge doesnt drag on for too long.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: bobm on September 03, 2012, 21:36:42
Anyone any idea of timescales for any hearing and - if it goes against them - can First lodge another action?  Has potential for lengthy delays.


Moderator Note: Post edited as it quoted another post that has since been amended. bignosemac  :)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Ollie on September 03, 2012, 21:48:13
If Virgin get there way, it could mean all current franchise changes get put on hold if the process is put under scrutiny.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 04, 2012, 19:17:46
Sir Richard Branson and Tim O'Toole CBE will be appearing in front of the Transport Select Committee (http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/transport-committee/news/rail-2020--wcmf-ev-session/) on Monday 10th September 2012 to give evidence to the Committee on the West Coast Mainline Franchise.

Quote
The Transport Select Committee will question Sir Richard Branson of Virgin Group and Tim O^Toole OBE of FirstGroup over the Government^s decision to award the West Coast mainline rail franchise to FirstGroup.

Sadly they won't be appearing side-by-side. At 4.05pm Branson will be accompanied by Virgin Rail Group CEO, Tony Collins. At 4:45pm O'Toole will be appearing alongside FirstGroup plc Rail Division MD, Vernon Barker.

Grab some popcorn. Should be an interesting watch!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: anthony215 on September 04, 2012, 19:29:13
Sir Richard Branson and Tim O'Toole CBE will be appearing in front of the Transport Select Committee (http://www.parliament.uk/business/committees/committees-a-z/commons-select/transport-committee/news/rail-2020--wcmf-ev-session/) on Monday 10th September 2012 to give evidence to the Committee on the West Coast Mainline Franchise.

Quote
The Transport Select Committee will question Sir Richard Branson of Virgin Group and Tim O^Toole OBE of FirstGroup over the Government^s decision to award the West Coast mainline rail franchise to FirstGroup.

Sadly they won't be appearing side-by-side. At 4.05pm Branson will be accompanied by Virgin Rail Group CEO, Tony Collins. At 4:45pm O'Toole will be appearing alongside FirstGroup plc Rail Division MD, Vernon Barker.

Grab some popcorn. Should be an interesting watch!

Dam had to be a day I am working anyway I hope I can view it when I get home after work and yes I think it will be interesting to watch.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 04, 2012, 19:39:27
Select Committees session recordings are archived and the footage is usually available on 'Parliament TV' shortly after the meeting.

http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Main/Home.aspx


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: woody on September 05, 2012, 20:42:23
THE TWO controversial West Coast bids which could be scrutinised in the High Court this autumn are published side by side in Railnews today

http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/2012/09/05-exclusive-controversial-west-coast-bids.html

or go direct to       http://www.railnews.co.uk/content/documents/west%20coast%20spread%20medium%20res.pdf


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 07, 2012, 14:30:29
A furious Richard Branson claims that the West Coast chaos threatens the North West Economy.

http://menmedia.co.uk/manchestereveningnews/news/transport/public_transport/s/1588099_virgin-trains-boss-richard-bransons-in-west-coast-main-line-warning


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TonyK on September 07, 2012, 17:42:01
A furious Richard Branson claims that the West Coast chaos threatens the North West Economy.

http://menmedia.co.uk/manchestereveningnews/news/transport/public_transport/s/1588099_virgin-trains-boss-richard-bransons-in-west-coast-main-line-warning

I wouldn't go quite that far. Does the North West have an economy? I might go back there if it does.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 08, 2012, 00:39:05
Of course the North West has an economy. They have diverse financial markets.

Meat Pie futures. Whippet hedge funds. Racing Pigeon commodities. Flat Cap derivatives...

 ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: bobm on September 08, 2012, 09:00:32
Is there no market in black pudding anymore?   ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: smokey on September 08, 2012, 12:00:55
Is there no market in black pudding anymore?   ;D

Only a BLACK market  ;D ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TonyK on September 08, 2012, 13:16:49
Of course the North West has an economy. They have diverse financial markets.

Meat Pie futures. Whippet hedge funds. Racing Pigeon commodities. Flat Cap derivatives...

 ;D

...Aye, an' ol' ale an' sandwiches too. Plus the tower that gave Gustaf Eiffel the idea. And some of the prettiest girls to be found outside of supermodel school.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: smokey on September 09, 2012, 11:12:05
I'm not a fan of First Group,

I sure don't like the Squeeze 'em in, with increasing seats in HST Standard class carriages.
They Run Plymouth & west country HSTs HIGH SPEED TRAINs like buses stopping at every shack:
Is there any express's from Penzance to Paddinton today?
And shortage of stock is NOT an excuse! First had some Loco hauled MKII stock and Class 47 engines they got rid off which could have done a couple of Penzance/Plymouth stopping services a day leaving the HSTs to do what they do best!
And these loco hauld trains could have made much Better use of the Sleeper Locos!

I'm even less of a fan of Virgin,

It's all pomposity and egocentric, but Sir Richard can play his trump card in December!
Remember all the Publicity when Mr Branson invested big time and paid for the BIGGEST train order in UK History!
Well come December he can shut his toys (Pendolinos) away and tell First to find there own trains to play with.

From dealing with Virgin staff, not just on the railway, they seem "brainwashed" into believing nothing is better that "Virgin"

What I don't like at all is this Legal action, OK if Sir Richard has a bee in his bonnet (I'd call it sore loser) will a possible delay be lining Virgin's Pocket?
Virgin's contract to run West Coast EXPIRES in the early hours on December 9th, so I'd like to think that should Legal Action delay First taking over, that from December 9th that EAST COAST would take temporary control of West Coast.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Brucey on September 09, 2012, 11:17:52
Remember all the Publicity when Mr Branson invested big time and paid for the BIGGEST train order in UK History!
Well come December he can shut his toys (Pendolinos) away and tell First to find there own trains to play with.
The rolling stock comes with the franchise.  So whenever First take over the running, they will gain all of the trains currently used by Virgin.

The Pendolinos are owned by Angel Trains, not Virgin.  They are merely being leased by Virgin.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: smokey on September 09, 2012, 11:26:10
I'm aware that the Virgin fleet both Pendolinos and Vomit Comets are leased, but it's not what you would think from former Virgin publicity!  ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 09, 2012, 12:22:57
I am worried that First Group will add stops to trains, lengthening journey times for commuters.
Hopefully the extra MK and NUN calls will be supplied by the second Preston train ONLY.
Why not add the second Liverpool service (that's had a path for years but wasn't used due to the Pendo required being in a crash) to cover some stops too?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 09, 2012, 14:58:52
BREAKING NEWS:

The West Coast mainline is set to be RENATIONAlISED in December due to the Virgin/First chaos. It will be operated by DOR until the mess is sorted out.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 09, 2012, 15:12:54
Source for this breaking news?


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: bobm on September 09, 2012, 15:25:46
Reuters is quoting an article in the Sunday Times - but the article is, I assume, behind their paywall as I cannot find it.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: grahame on September 09, 2012, 15:30:05
Source for this breaking news?

http://uk.reuters.com/article/2012/09/09/uk-virgin-rail-idUKBRE88806H20120909?rpc=401&feedType=RSS&feedName=businessNews&rpc=401

Also

http://www.lep.co.uk/news/business/government-to-nationalise-rail-line-1-4911833


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 09, 2012, 16:06:50
BREAKING NEWS:

The West Coast mainline is set to be RENATIONAlISED in December due to the Virgin/First chaos. It will be operated by DOR until the mess is sorted out.

The West Coast Main Line may be renationalised in December. It may be operated by DOR.

Sensible planning by the DfT who have said it is 'only prudent to increase our focus on contingency planning.' As quoted from the links posted by grahame. The legal challenge may take some time, although personally I'd like to see it dismissed at the earliest opportunity. Also a shot across the bows of the good ship Branson.

But bad for the wider industry and especially the staff at Virgin Trains.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 09, 2012, 16:46:06
What a mess if we end up with 3 TOCs in as many months.

Just let DOR take it over. All profits go back to the tax payer. Surely that is miles better than having First/Virgin lining their pockets and depriving the railway of money.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: birm2lond on September 09, 2012, 17:57:31
Also in the Sunday Times (and behind the paywall) is an interview with Tim O'Toole: He^s the rail boss without a private Caribbean island...


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: ellendune on September 09, 2012, 18:00:56
Just let DOR take it over. All profits go back to the tax payer. Surely that is miles better than having First/Virgin lining their pockets and depriving the railway of money.

So how good is DOR on East Coast then.  Profits may go direct to DfT but service doesn't sound that good from what I have heard.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Southern Stag on September 09, 2012, 18:19:19
And DOR aren't going to make the improvements that First or Virgin have promised. It's bad news for passengers as it's going to delay any improvements.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 09, 2012, 18:20:03
So how good is DOR on East Coast then.

Very good. Excellent overall service. Guard's not Train Managers, fast frequent services, reliable, staff very friendly.
First Class is very similar to Virgin during peaks and better off peak and at weekends.

They're making a good profit and the money is pouring straight back into the Railway, unlike when NX bled the route dry - pushing passengers away.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: vacman on September 09, 2012, 20:35:08
So how good is DOR on East Coast then.

Very good. Excellent overall service. Guard's not Train Managers, fast frequent services, reliable, staff very friendly.
First Class is very similar to Virgin during peaks and better off peak and at weekends.

They're making a good profit and the money is pouring straight back into the Railway, unlike when NX bled the route dry - pushing passengers away.
You really do talk complete and utter crap.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on September 09, 2012, 21:28:36
So how good is DOR on East Coast then.

Very good. Excellent overall service. Guard's not Train Managers, fast frequent services, reliable, staff very friendly.
First Class is very similar to Virgin during peaks and better off peak and at weekends.

They're making a good profit and the money is pouring straight back into the Railway, unlike when NX bled the route dry - pushing passengers away.
You really do talk complete and utter crap.
Right, both of you provide sources and don't post your opinions.  :)


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Southern Stag on September 09, 2012, 21:36:49
Very good. Excellent overall service. Guard's not Train Managers, fast frequent services, reliable, staff very friendly.
First Class is very similar to Virgin during peaks and better off peak and at weekends.

They're making a good profit and the money is pouring straight back into the Railway, unlike when NX bled the route dry - pushing passengers away.
NXEA and GNER had Guards not Train Managers. Personally, I don't see this as the most important gauge of a TOCs success though. The staff are the same as under NXEC, albeit perhaps with greater morale, but you still get plenty of complaints about over-zealous revenue collection on East Coast, it's only a subjective measure but they seem to be one of the more complained about TOCs on that matter, not at FCCs level though. The timetable they introduced was the one planned by, and would have been introduced by NXEC. East Coast works just like other franchises in that it's paying a premium back to the DfT. The public purse is of course worse off than had NXEC stuck at the franchise, as NXEC would have paid far more back than East Coast is required to. Because of their over ambitious bid National Express certainly weren't making any money on the franchise, that's the whole reason they had to give it up.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 09, 2012, 21:56:11
I am a fairly regular traveller on NXEC/East Coast and I can tell you there is a world of difference now. It's much better - an excellently run railway. How is posting that "utter crap". How often do you travel EC?

Plus, in First Class you no longer have to pay for food & drink which has meant that First Class revenue is up, despite a couple of promotions.

I know train manager/guard and customer/passenger doesn't really matter, but it shows that EC know their who they are putting first. Less of the "management speech" and overblown titles, back to the core of running a railway.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: SapperPsmith on September 10, 2012, 13:13:48
Plus, in First Class you no longer have to pay for food & drink which has meant that First Class revenue is up, despite a couple of promotions.

Please give your source for this "fact".  EC have claimed increased passenger numbers but I have not seen any evidence that they have increased revenue.  Remember they spent millions setting up the new system and now dont get any income from sales in First Class.


Edited to fix quote. bignosemac





Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 10, 2012, 15:48:04
Can't remember, perhaps an email from East Coast.
But it definitely said REVENUE up (not just passenger numbers - which are up hugely). I remember noting that fact as so many people had said that it wouldn't go up due to the promotions. Of course, there have only been a handful of promotions!

As a semi regular user I can tell you that off peak carriages that were almost empty are now almost full etc - esp in First Class.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 10, 2012, 16:47:19
Currently watching the Virgin vs First group battle in the Transport Select Committee.

Now, I like Virgin but I also like First. But which is better? There's only one way to find out...

Tim O Toole currently putting the knife in!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 10, 2012, 18:13:54
Match Report from the TSC Stadium:

Confident, asserted play from both sides, although Virgin Rangers were a little more exciting to watch, with their star player, the flamboyant Branson, commanding the midfield. Their loan player from Stagecoach City had a quiet game. Virgin were at times shooting blind, not knowing enough about their opponents, having to base their attack only on what they'd read of First Group Rover's presentation to it's club board. At times they were more concerned about their opponents game, when they should have been concentrating on their own. There were also too many appeals to the referee, and some mutterings about the neutrality of the game's governing body. 

O'Toole and Barker, seemingly able to play in any position for FG Rovers, from defence to attack, never appeared too flustered, despite some quite probing questions made of their playing style. The advantage of taking to the field after their opponents had already had a kick about was evident in the way they took the attack to Virgin Rangers. They broke down Virgin's defence on a couple of occasions and even nutmeg-ed Branson once. Sometimes though, their playing style was just a little too staid and indecisive and this raised a negative comment from one member of watching crowd, comparing their style to that of a politician.

Final score 1-1. Requiring a replay.

The replay will be held at High Courtsbury and will be an interesting contest, particularly as both teams have acquired expensive new signings from Barristers United and Lawyers AFC.



Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: bobm on September 10, 2012, 18:33:04
"if you don't want to know the score, look away now..."

I don't need to watch the highlights now.

Excellent post BNM - a sure contender for Post of the season....  ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: chuffed on September 10, 2012, 18:41:59
Can I second that BobM? I really look forward to BNM's contributions and feel he adds much to this forum that is really well considered, showing great insight and always laced with that irrepressible sense of humour. I would also like to thank him for his great picture quizzes, which must take a lot of thought time and trouble to set up. Bravo BNM  ! .. that could almost become a thread on its own !


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Rhydgaled on September 10, 2012, 19:23:57
<offtopic>I tried posting picture quiz once, I don't think it was a success</offtopic>

<ontopic>
Does Virgin's case include any mention of their planned replacement of Voyagers? One of my conspiracy therories is that First's bid not including replacment of Voyagers was a factor in the desicion, so DaFT would have a stronger case for ordering brand new bi-mode Intercity trains.
</ontopic>


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Phil on September 10, 2012, 19:31:03
Thirded. MBE for BNM!


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 10, 2012, 19:46:46
I don't need to watch the highlights now.

The whole 'game' is available to watch at your leisure on Parliament TV:

http://www.parliamentlive.tv/Main/Player.aspx?meetingId=11378

Off topic, but I've just been watching again some of the matches featuring Dynamo RMT and their somewhat past it captain, Comrade B. Crow. Rarely lets anyone else have the ball despite his off pitch utterances, "that we're in this together". He is often found defending against imaginary attacks and threatening to take his ball and go home. But, when he does go on the offensive, he attacks everyone (using a decades old playing style); opponents, referees, commentators and the game's governing body, equally and ferociously. Puts this commentator in mind of Norman 'Bites Yer Legs' Hunter from that other beautiful game.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 10, 2012, 20:09:28
Good summary BNM.

I have to say, I believe the MPs were a lot harsher to First Group than Virgin. Does anyone agree?
If I were a normal member of Joe Public, I would probably think Virgin had "won".

Two issues:
*What are Virgin trying to achieve? - it's likely that the process was followed correctly, so nothing will happen apart from time & money wasted (apart from perhaps a FUTURE review of the system)
*The First Group risk and money factor - I still don't see why the First bid has all the payments at the end of the franchise, surely the businesses isn't going to suddenly balloon in the last 3 years?

I personally think it would have been better shown live on ITV1 with MP pressing buzzers when they didn't like what they heard!
Or perhaps get the Dragons to decide :P


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Southern Stag on September 10, 2012, 21:01:08
If Virgin are successful with their judicial review then the current decision will have to be remade. So the whole process started again, for the third time. We've already had one aborted attempt at re-franchising the West Coast, but the DfT announcing it's new franchising policy midway through the process pushed back the start date from April to December. Letting a franchise is hardly a quick process either, so this could be a fairly substantial delay to the new franchise being started. It's possible other new franchises will be delayed as well if the TSC comes to the conclusion the process is broken, or a judicial review decides the wrong decision was made.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: TonyK on September 10, 2012, 21:19:18
I don't need to watch the highlights now.

The whole 'game' is available to watch at your leisure on Parliament TV:


I sat down to watch it, but was distracted by some drying paint, so returned to Helen Skelton's tribute to Marilyn Monroe (http://www.mirror.co.uk/3am/celebrity-style/helen-skelton-flashes-knickers-in-wardrobe-1317345), performed in front of a global audience at the Olympic / Paralympic post-match parade..


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on September 10, 2012, 21:33:44
If genuine and not photoshopped (anyone confirm this poster is/was there at Moor Street?) it's nice to see Chiltern getting in on the story and taking a poke at Branson:

(https://fbcdn-sphotos-a-a.akamaihd.net/hphotos-ak-snc6/249775_10151222717419343_782352916_n.jpg)

 ;D


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 10, 2012, 22:19:25
Unless it was changed in the last couple of days, it's fake.
Last week it was a standard "Speed to London in 90 mins" one.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: EBrown on September 10, 2012, 22:23:34
Genuine, confirmed by the Head of Marketing (Mainline).

Sir Richard even commented: "Let's hope not Chiltern.. but thank you"


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Btline on September 10, 2012, 22:32:01
Hee hee - was hoping it was true.

Trumps the "Still a Virgin?" adverts put in the papers on the First day of Chiltern Mainline a year ago.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 18, 2012, 14:34:03
You may expect it broadgage but that doesn't mean it will happen.

Why not wait and see what First actually propose to do when they refurbish the Pendolinos and Voyagers?

I cant see how First expect to carry more passengers and raise more revenue from a nearly fixed train fleet without much higher density seating in the new third class.
I did not speculate on 2+3 seating because I took that for granted in third.
Other TOCs have shown the way in this regard.
"thousands of extra seats"  "options to suit all budgets "
And the infamous "it is what customers want, surveys show it"

It could certainly be argued that parts of the West coast route serve long distance commuters, in much the same way as FGW HSTs do, and similar arguments could be applied to justify downgrading the seating layout from inter city to commuter.

MY negative thoughts regarding "improvements" are not entirely aimed at First group since I believe that similar downgrades would been done by Virgin had they retained the franchise.
Higher density seating, removal of tables and luggage space and downgrading catering is generally regarded as progress on todays railway, and does indeed provide more seats.

Interesting quotes from Vernon Barker the new MD for First of the West Coast franchise in the latest RAIL magazine.

He says that the on-board shop will be retained and refurbished and will operate in conjunction with a trolley service.  Also talk of more comfortable seats in standard class together with more tables at a slight loss of overall standard class capacity.  Enhancement of the catering on offer to First Class passengers is talked about, as well as a few details of what the intermediate Business Class is likely to offer - presumably using one or two of the current First Class carriages?  Free wi-fi for all passengers is also promised.

The proof will be in the pudding I suppose, but it doesn't sound like your doom and gloom scenarios will be happening, and your talk of Pendolinos having 2+3 seating in 'third' class really is just silly.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Southern Stag on September 18, 2012, 16:35:26
Enhancement of the catering on offer to First Class passengers is talked about, as well as a few details of what the intermediate Business Class is likely to offer - presumably using one or two of the current First Class carriages? 
Presumably using the current Carriage D in Voyagers, which can be either First or Standard at the moment, and Carriage G in Pendolinos which is a full First Class carriage but the first to be declassified at busy times. It's feasible that they could introduce the Business Class before refurbishment if they used those carriages. I suppose it depends on whether the final layout is 2+1 or 2+2. If it's going to be 2+2 you might not want to give passengers 2+1 for a period, just to downgrade them to 2+2 with refurbishment.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 19, 2012, 14:23:55
From RailNews (http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/2012/09/18-mp-attacks-dick-turpin-rail.html#):

Quote
MP attacks 'Dick Turpin' rail operators

The House of Commons has heard that taxpayers have been 'held to ransom' by 'Dick Turpin' rail operators who have surrendered their franchises unexpectedly. The accusation came from Labour MP Rosie Cooper at the start of a Westminster Hall debate on the award of the Intercity West Coast franchise to FirstGroup.

The debate was essentially about the ePetition which calls for the West Coast franchise decision to be reconsidered. It has now attracted just over 173,000 signatures.

The Transport Committee has already questioned representatives from FirstGroup and Virgin Trains, as well as the new transport secretary Patrick McLoughlin and the DfT permanent secretary Philip Rutnam. The Committee had questioned the contentious issue of how likely the franchise was to fail, and how large the financial buffer or 'subordinated loan' provided by the franchise holder should be. Virgin's would have been ^40 million, as against roughly ^200 million from FirstGroup, although Virgin has claimed that First's loan should have been ^600 million.

The debate's sponsor Rosie Cooper, who represents West Lancashire, wanted to know what negotiations had taken place with the DfT about the amount of risk, and described ^200 million as 'very small'. She maintained that 'a number' of train operators had 'handed the keys back', 'such as the East Coast Main Line'.

Two operators have surrendered their franchises early on East Coast in recent years ^ GNER and National Express. Before that, the only unscheduled halts had affected the Connex South Central and Connex South Eastern contracts, which were terminated by the Strategic Rail Authority in 2001 and 2003, plus the unsuccessful bid by Virgin to continue with its CrossCountry franchise in 2007 after a period of control by the Strategic Rail Authority in connection with the delayed West Coast Main Line modernisation project.

The current First Great Western franchise is also ending three years early in 2013, but in this case the franchise holder decided not to continue with an optional contract extension.

Ms Cooper saw at least some of these abandonments as setting an ominous precedent. She said: "I believe that Members want to be assured that that will not happen again and that taxpayers have an assurance that they will not be held to ransom by Dick Turpin train operators asking them to stand and deliver, having secured the contract on a bogus premise, taking their profits and scarpering when it is time to deliver the promised high return."

MP Daniel Kawczynski said: "I hope that the hon. Lady is not referring to any train operators as Dick Turpin-type figures," to which Ms Cooper responded: "Oh, I think there are a lot of Dick Turpin-type figures about. I would very much like to hear from the Minister on this precise point: has the Department applied its own rules or not? Given the whole handling of the process, a judicial review has been applied for, which has left us in a position where re-nationalising the line is being considered."

Various MPs then spoke vigorously in support of either bid, but several repeatedly questioned the Department for Transport's calculations of risk.

Towards the end of the three-hour debate, recently-appointed transport minister Stephen Hammond replied on behalf of the Government. He warned his audience that he could only go so far in answering the points which had been raised, or it "would probably mean I had the shortest ministerial career in history, and I do not propose to do that this afternoon."

He added: "I do not need to be reminded^I am sure that hon. Members do not either^that in cases where there is a legal challenge, it is difficult to answer all the questions that may be asked. As I said earlier, if I appear reticent, it is not any wish not to be transparent, but simply that when matters are subject to the judicial process, it is impossible to make broader comment."

In answer to the concerns about risk, he said: "In designing the franchise, some ^ comments and recommendations, particularly the Public Accounts Committee^s recommendations following the failure of the East Coast Main Line, have been taken into account. We therefore required First West Coast Ltd to provide a third party-backed guarantee, the largest guarantee ever required.

"The Government are confident that the Department is putting in place the right contingencies in the time scale, should the process not be completed. We expect the legal issues to be resolved so that contingency plans will not be necessary."

"The Department is confident that we have taken the right decision in the interests of taxpayers and passengers. We expect to sign the contract soon, but we intend to defend the judicial process robustly."

The next major development is expected to be the announcement of the date for a preliminary High Court hearing of Virgin's challenge of the DfT's decision.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on October 02, 2012, 11:49:44
From the Press Association (http://www.google.com/hostednews/ukpress/article/ALeqM5hBR3s7k8tuEdLYG5w9jYQGd3eX0Q?docId=N0006261349160911211A):

Quote
FirstGroup sticks by franchise date

The transport group that beat Sir Richard Branson's Virgin Rail to win the West Coast main line said it still expected to commence the franchise as scheduled despite a legal challenge.

FirstGroup was awarded the London to Scotland line by the Department for Transport (DfT) in August but Virgin Rail, a joint venture between Virgin and Stagecoach, is pursuing a challenge against the Government department.

FirstGroup, which runs First Great Western, TransPennine Express, First Capital Connect and Scotrail services, insisted the process had been "rigorous, detailed and fair" and was preparing to commence the handover on December 9.

The Aberdeen-based group, which is also the UK's biggest bus operator, said its rail division should report an 8.1% rise in like-for-like passenger revenues in the six months to September 30, down from the 8.4% growth experienced in the year to March.

The Government has delayed the final signing of the West Coast franchise contract due to the Virgin legal challenge. Sir Richard said the DfT did not follow its own rules in choosing FirstGroup rather than Virgin to run the new 13-year franchise and described the bidding process as "insane".

If the December takeover date is postponed, Transport Secretary Patrick McLoughlin has said there are procedures under which the DfT can operate the line in the public sector.

FirstGroup said its focus was "to ensure a smooth transition with continuity for staff and passengers alike and to deliver the many benefits and improvements we are offering without delay or disruption". It said all its rail franchises made a strong contribution to the rail division performance in the first half and pledged to remain focused on existing operations while developing the re-franchising programme.

The UK bus division is expected to deliver like-for-like passenger revenues growth of 2.5% in the period as challenging economic conditions continue to impact a number of its urban operations. However, during the period operations in the North of England and Scotland saw improved revenue growth.

As previously stated, FirstGroup expects UK bus operating margins to be around 8% in the full year, down from about 13% over the previous year after bearing the brunt of higher fuel costs.

FirstGroup chief executive Tim O'Toole said: "While there is significant work to do we are satisfied with the progress of the actions we have taken, though we remain mindful of the uncertain economic backdrop." Mr O'Toole said the board remained committed to its policy of dividend growth of 7% through to the end of the financial year 2012/13.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on October 02, 2012, 12:09:06
From Railnews (http://www.railnews.co.uk/news/2012/10/02-date-announced-for-virgin-court.html?):

Quote
Date announced for Virgin court challenge

Virgin Trains will be able to test its claim against the DfT over the award of the West Coast franchise in the High Court later this month, because the date for the start of a three-day hearing has been revealed today.

Virgin said the hearing has been set down to begin on Wednesday 17 October, which is two weeks tomorrow.

Three days have been allowed for Virgin and the Department for Transport to make their respective cases, although there is no certainty that a judgment will be given immediately the hearing ends. There is also the possibility that the losing side could apply for permission to appeal.

Virgin is contesting the award of the 13 year four month Intercity West Coast franchise to FirstGroup, which had been announced on 15 August, on the grounds that the DfT did not properly assess the degree ot risk represented by First's ^5.5 billion bid.

FirstGroup is required to provide a financial buffer worth ^200 million as a form of insurance against failure, but Virgin is arguing that it should have been ^600 million, which both First and the Department for Transport have denied, saying that the calculations were 'robust'.

Virgin had offered premiums worth ^4.8 billion at net present value -- ^700 million less than First. The Virgin buffer, which like 95 per cent of First's up-front payment is technically a 'subordinated loan', was put at just ^40 million. The remaining ^10 million from First is to be an injection of shareholders' capital.

First said today that it is still mobilising for takeover as planned on 9 December, but it is known that representatives of Directly Operated Railways, which is owned by the DfT, are also attending the meetings in case DOR has to step in to keep the service going.


Title: Re: FirstGroup win InterCity West Coast Franchise
Post by: JayMac on October 04, 2012, 18:20:00
Subsequent discussion on the cancellation of the award of the Inter City West Coast franchise to FirstGroup has been split off into a new topic:

http://www.firstgreatwestern.info/coffeeshop/index.php?topic=11353.0



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