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All across the Great Western territory => Buses and other ways to travel => Topic started by: IndustryInsider on September 16, 2017, 12:51:25



Title: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 16, 2017, 12:51:25
No doubt feeling sorry for GWR's high current cancellation rate, Ryanair have announced up to 50 flights a day for the next six weeks due to management failure regarding annual leave allocations.  That equates to roughly 2% of all flights they operate, and they hope to increase punctuality from below 80% to a more normal 90%.  Those figures sound familiar!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41291483



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 16, 2017, 13:34:28
They changed the annual leave year from April to calendar year, so everyone is trying to take their full leave before Xmas too


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 16, 2017, 17:59:03
No doubt feeling sorry for GWR's high current cancellation rate, Ryanair have announced up to 50 flights a day for the next six weeks due to management failure regarding annual leave allocations.  That equates to roughly 2% of all flights they operate, and they hope to increase punctuality from below 80% to a more normal 90%.  Those figures sound familiar!

http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41291483



Ryanair & GWR in a race to the bottom?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 16, 2017, 23:50:24
I think Southern has nosedived too far for even Ryanair to plummet to.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 17, 2017, 07:03:40
A planned 2% reduction of services through the autumn is a more pragmatic way to re-plan than 2% (or even 1.5%) of services being lost on at 12 hours notice or less.    Passengers can know what will run and re-work things in good time rather than being messed around at the last minute. More time can be taken in ensuring that the new service schedule considers the best passenger alternatives, rather than being a cut having to be whatever's operationally easy to cull on the day.

I larfs when I sees 2% and sees it called "WhydeSpread". Troy 19 outa 119 scheduled over the larzt 7 daze 'ere abouts. 15.9% cancellations.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 17, 2017, 09:18:04
Except Ruanair haven't cancelled flights for tge whole six weeks, just tge next four days....and are still cancelling just with 24hrs notice. Many reporting their next flight is several days later! Yes, they have to pay hotel & subsistance, but pax may need to be home! At least the next train to Melsksgam isn't this Thursday!


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 17, 2017, 09:27:29
Except Ruanair haven't cancelled flights for tge whole six weeks, just tge next four days....and are still cancelling just with 24hrs notice. Many reporting their next flight is several days later! Yes, they have to pay hotel & subsistance, but pax may need to be home! At least the next train to Melsksgam isn't this Thursday!

Melsksgam? Is that one of Ryanair's Eastern European hubs?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 17, 2017, 10:11:24
Hmmm....to early for typing on an iphone! Apologies


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 17, 2017, 22:00:36
An update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41298931):

Quote
Ryanair cancels flights after 'messing up' pilot holidays

Ryanair cancelled 82 flights on Sunday after admitting it had "messed up" the planning of its pilots' holidays.

The budget airline said on Saturday that it would cancel 40-50 flights every day for the next six weeks.

Marketing officer Kenny Jacobs said affected customers with bookings up to 20 September had been informed. "We have messed up in the planning of pilot holidays and we're working hard to fix that," he said.

Most of the cancellations are due to a backlog of staff leave which has seen large numbers of the airline's staff book holidays towards the end of the year.

The airline is changing its holiday year, which currently runs from April to March, to run from January to December instead.

Rynanair said the shift meant it had to allocate annual leave to pilots in September and October.

The cancellations could affect up to 285,000 passengers, who will be offered alternative flights or refunds.

Mr Jacobs said affected customers would have been sent an email. "We advise customers to check the email address used to make their booking," he added.

A page on the Ryanair website details flights cancelled up until 20 September. It says 56 flights are cancelled on Monday, 55 on Tuesday, and 53 on Wednesday.

Ryanair has said that less than 2% of its flights would be cancelled and the move would help it hit its annual punctuality target of 90%.

But passengers have complained about the resulting uncertainty.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 18, 2017, 17:18:26
A further update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41304456):

Quote
Ryanair faces 20m euro compensation bill over cancellations

Ryanair could face up to 20m euros (£18m) in compensation claims after cancelling thousands of flights due to a shortage of pilots, it has warned.

The budget airline plans to cancel 40-50 flights every day for the next six weeks, after it admitted it had "messed up" the planning of pilot holidays.

An internal memo seen by the BBC suggests the pilot shortage could continue until the end of the year. There is no suggestion this means the disruption will extend beyond October.

In a letter to pilots, chief operations officer Michael Hickey said the firm's crewing forecast to the end of December was "for tighter pilot numbers". The letter shows Ryanair pilots were only informed on 13 September of the staff shortage facing the company yet Mr Hickey outlined that it knew last year they may face a leave backlog.

Pilots have been asked to work during their booked holiday to cover the gaps and their rota pattern is also likely to be disrupted. In the letter, Mr Hickey said these pilots would be "helping protect the integrity of the operation during the remainder of the flight year".

Ryanair also faces pressure to publish a full list of the flights it plans to cancel every day amid growing anger among customers. So far it has only published a list of affected flights up until Wednesday.

Consumer rights group Which? said: "It's essential that Ryanair release a full list of flights that will be affected so that passengers have as much time as possible to make alternate arrangements."

The airline has blamed a backlog of staff leave for the disruption, which could affect up to 400,000 passengers.

Ryanair is changing its holiday year, which currently runs from April to March, to run from January to December instead. This has led to large numbers of its staff taking holidays in September and October.

Reports on Monday also suggested recruitment problems were affecting the airline and that it had lost pilots to rival Norwegian Air.

A Norwegian spokesperson said: "We can confirm that 140 pilots have joined us from Ryanair this year. Pilot recruitment is also underway for more pilots for our new Dublin base opening later this year."

The airline has promised affected customers alternative flights or refunds. However, many have reacted angrily to the cancellations on social media and called for a full list of affected flights to be released.

Shares in Ryanair were down 2% on Monday afternoon.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 18, 2017, 19:02:33
A further development, reported by the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41311603):

Quote
Ryanair to publish full list of cancellations

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/68C9/production/_97852862_gettyimages-461478454.jpg)

Ryanair customers whose flights are being cancelled, will receive an email by this evening informing them, chief executive Michael O'Leary has said.

The budget airline plans to cancel 40-50 flights every day for the next six weeks, after it admitted it had "messed up" the planning of pilot holidays.

The details of all the cancelled flights will be on the Ryanair website over the next 24 hours, the firm said.

Mr O'Leary said most people would still be able to fly on the same day. If not, they would be moved to flights the day before or the day after and the airline would meet its obligations over compensation.

The airline said it was cancelling flights at airports where it runs the busiest schedules, so it would be easier to accommodate passengers on alternative flights.

That will include flights operating out of the following airports: Barcelona, Brussels, Dublin, Lisbon, London Stansted, Madrid, Milan Bergamo, Porto and Rome Fiumi.

Mr O'Leary said around 400,000 passengers would be directly affected, but he said a decision had been made to disrupt the plans of 2% of travellers in order to offer a better service to the remaining customers.

Changes to the way the airline organises its holiday year have left Ryanair with a backlog of staff leave, meaning there is a shortage of pilots on standby over the next six weeks.

That meant any minor disruptions to flights were causing knock-on delays, because the airline did not have the flexibility it needed from back-up crews, said Mr O'Leary.

After 1 November, when the lighter winter schedule begins, there will not be any need for cancellations, he said.

He said they were also asking to buy back leave from pilots and alter the holiday schedule.

Mr O'Leary said Ryanair would honour all of its obligations to compensate passengers under EU regulations but would not book passengers onto flights with rival carriers.
"We will not pay for flights on other airlines, no. It is not part of the EU261 entitlement," he said, referring to European passenger rights legislation.

He said the airline did not have an overall shortage of pilots, but said they had "messed up" the rosters for September and October. "This is our mess-up. When we make a mess in Ryanair we come out with our hands up," he said. "We try to explain why we've made the mess and we will pay compensation to those passengers who are entitled to compensation, which will be those flights that are cancelled over the next two weeks."

If passengers are given more than 14 days notice of a cancellation, they are not entitled to compensation.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on September 18, 2017, 19:25:18
That's how the head of a business should respond to customers when they mess up.

Take note Mark Hopwood.

And to those saying "Network Rail blah blah blah... DfT blah blah blah..." the put upon travellers in the west are customers of GWR. The buck stops with Mr Hopwood. 


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: SandTEngineer on September 18, 2017, 19:27:59
Hang on a minute BNM.  Its taken them 2 days to get to this point and I much suspect intense press publicity and a falling share price might have something to do with it, rather than concerns for passengers.....


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on September 18, 2017, 19:37:08
Will all be forgotten about in a few weeks time. The lure of cheap flights will continue to be the draw to flying Ryanair no matter how c**p they are in some people's eyes. Money talks.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on September 18, 2017, 21:32:18
Hang on a minute BNM.  Its taken them 2 days to get to this point and I much suspect intense press publicity and a falling share price might have something to do with it, rather than concerns for passengers.....

2 days to get their house in order? Remarkably quick response.

Meanwhile at GWR towers...

(http://rickdancer.com/wp-content/uploads/2013/03/images.jpeg)



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Trowres on September 18, 2017, 21:48:50
Seems to me that the most interesting part of this story is:

Quote
Most of the cancellations are due to a backlog of staff leave which has seen large numbers of the airline's staff book holidays towards the end of the year.

The airline is changing its holiday year, which currently runs from April to March, to run from January to December instead.

That looks self-inflicted, and entirely predictable. Would anyone care to guess what advantage was intended from changing the holiday year?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on September 18, 2017, 22:14:17
There has also been a suggestion from other airlines that Ryanair have been leaking staff through the year. Presumably they would know if they have recruited them ...


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 18, 2017, 23:31:25
Reading through previous posts in this topic, Norwegian Air confirm that they have recruited 140 pilots from Ryanair, and Norwegian Air are setting up a base in Dublin - Ryanair's home ground.



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: broadgage on September 19, 2017, 04:33:36
Very poor show from Ryanair, but not in my view comparable to GWR ongoing shortage of trains and drivers.

Most of those disgusted by Ryanair, can in future avoid the company if they so wish. Airlines compete with each other on both price and quality, Ryanair are arguably a low cost and low quality outfit.

GWR have an effective monopoly on many routes, if a customer is disappointed with them they cant use a competitor in most cases. The choice is GWR or drive in most cases.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 19, 2017, 07:22:03
Hang on a minute BNM.  Its taken them 2 days to get to this point and I much suspect intense press publicity and a falling share price might have something to do with it, rather than concerns for passengers.....

2 days to get their house in order? Remarkably quick response

I very much doubt Michael Leary's response (albeit the right one) is motivated by anything other than protecting his company - he isn't known for given two hoots about his passengers.

If the ongoing GWR problems has caused such widespread press coverage then I am sure they would have been forced to act, but a couple of articles in mostly local papers means that tipping point has yet to be reached.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 19, 2017, 07:23:51
Very poor show from Ryanair, but not in my view comparable to GWR ongoing shortage of trains and drivers.

Most of those disgusted by Ryanair, can in future avoid the company if they so wish. Airlines compete with each other on both price and quality, Ryanair are arguably a low cost and low quality outfit.

GWR have an effective monopoly on many routes, if a customer is disappointed with them they cant use a competitor in most cases. The choice is GWR or drive in most cases.

Agreed, and at least O'Leary, unpleasant character that many consider him to be (Graham - I don't think that's libellous?  ;) ) has had the cojones to front up, admit the mistake, explain the situation and take it on the chin unlike Hopwood who has been conspicuously invisible when it comes to explaining/taking responsibility for the ever increasing failures of GWR on all fronts.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 19, 2017, 08:14:24
(Graham - I don't think that's libellous?  ;) )

I suspect you're correct, but don't look to me for legal advice on the matter.  Posters are the primary ones responsible for their own content ...

[Checked - I think that's correctly "advice" not "advise"]


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on September 19, 2017, 11:27:10
Seems to me that the most interesting part of this story is:

Quote
Most of the cancellations are due to a backlog of staff leave which has seen large numbers of the airline's staff book holidays towards the end of the year.

The airline is changing its holiday year, which currently runs from April to March, to run from January to December instead.

That looks self-inflicted, and entirely predictable. Would anyone care to guess what advantage was intended from changing the holiday year?

I'll have a stab.

Control of commercial pilots' flying hours changed in February 2016 from the UK Civil Aviation Authority (CAA) to the European Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) to prepare us for Brexit. The EASA rules, like those of the CAA that preceded them, are extremely complex, and impose limitations on total hours of Flight Duty Periods (FDP) at multiple levels covering different periods of time. So there are limits per day, per week, per 28 days etc. Notably;
Quote
The total flight time of the sectors on which an individual crew member is assigned as an operating crew member
shall not exceed:
(1) 100 hours of flight time in any 28 consecutive days;
(2) 900 hours of flight time in any calendar year; and
(3) 1 000 hours of flight time in any 12 consecutive calendar months.

If there are limits to a calendar year (which seems a little arbitrary) and a 12-month period, it may be administratively easier to align the leave year to the calendar year. The operator will at least know that he can assume 900 hours per pilot between New Years Day and New Years Eve, and only have to check that they do not exceed the 1000 hours in 12 consecutive months.

I still smell a rat, though. In the days before low-cost airlines arrived, with their cost-cutting working practices, big airlines made sure of flexibility by employing lots of pilots. At one time, BA were reported to be struggling to  make sure that their pilots were flying the minimum number of hours to keep their licences current - the exact opposite problem. The low-cost model aims to trim the fat from that by getting the maximum 900 hours per year from every member of flight crew. I was told by a former Ryanair pilot, who allowed me the unalloyed pleasure of the jump seat in the cockpit on a flight back from Spain (before 9/11) that Ryanair would aim to get the 900 hours out of a pilot in the minimum time possible - 9 months - then leave it up to them to find a way to stay current in the three months before they could fly again. You cannot even fly passengers as a private pilot in a light aircraft unless you have completed at least three take-offs and landings as "sole manipulator of the controls" in the preceding 90 days. At that time, there was a ready supply of suitably qualified pilots from other airlines and diminishing air forces, but not any more. Not looking after your aircrew, who have an extremely portable skill, means that they will walk away if they get a better offer. Norwegian are expanding rapidly as a low-cost long-haul operator, as are Wow, Icelandair, and others, taking advantage of the open skies policy, and flying pax via hubs - such as Dublin. They need pilots for both short-haul aircraft (such as A320, Boeing 737) and long haul (A330, B767 etc), and if they offer decent conditions will draw pilots easily. It is no great surprise then that, if crew feel as under-valued as reported in some places, that 140 pilots packed their headsets and walked. 140 pilots equates to a 7,000 hours per month (at two crew per flight) hole in Ryanair's schedule, or 1,400 return flights from Bristol to Spain, for example. With the secondary aim of low cost airlines being maximum occupancy, that hole is substantial, even if it is only 2% of services.

It also remains to be seen how the company will plug the gap. Overtime by pilots is not an option, leaving either recruiting new staff from a shrinking pool, or quietly leaving the cancelled services out of the schedules forever. Mr O'Leary also will have much more to do to restore what was growing customer confidence in his brand. Who remembers the bonfire of the hidden fees, and his statement that if he had known that being nice to passengers was so good for business, he would have started doing it sooner?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 20, 2017, 10:29:28
Presumably it'll be a combination of revised schedules in 2018 (booking periods not yet open) and additional recruitment.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on September 20, 2017, 12:58:10
Presumably it'll be a combination of revised schedules in 2018 (booking periods not yet open) and additional recruitment.

Well, yes. There is no other way. Mr O'Leary's troubles will be greater should Norwegian decide that they need even more staff.

Recruitment of aircrew could prove a little tricky for Ryanair, given the historic tales, be they real or apocryphal, of poor treatment of staff compared to other airlines. Would you want to work for aviation's answer to Boris Johnson?

Pilots are only allowed to be current on one type of aircraft at a time, with one exception. Pilots with an Airbus A320 rating can fly A319s and A321s - despite a number of differences in characteristics, the "front office" looks the same for all three. Conversion to the long-haul A330 or A340 is more straightforward than for the equivalent switch of Boeings. So a lot of low-cost airlines, Easyjet among them, switched from Boeing to Airbus. The similarities extend to engineering, so the airline can have a mixed fleet of aircraft without having different pilots and ground crew for each variant. Ryanair operates exclusively with Boeing 737-800s (plus one B737-700 for charters and training). Norwegian operates those too, making it easier to poach staff, but unlike Ryanair, it also operates long haul flights in B787 Dreamliners. No doubt, the brightest of the short haul pilots will be able to apply for jobs flying those when they come up, with conversion costs (about a 6 week course, I believe) covered by the airline. There is no chance of similar career progression at Ryanair - you will be flying drunken holiday makers on multi-sector days while your former colleagues are sunning themselves (and entertaining the stewardesses) for a couple of days between flights in some faraway exotic location. And Nowregian's boss is unlikely to on record as saying that "Germans will crawl bollock naked over broken glass to get low fares", even if that did elicit a couple of muted "Ja"s, or whose idea of customer service is "You're not getting a refund, so f*** off."

I have read yesterday's Times, which reports Mr O'Leary as blaming the Irish government for introducing the change in rules. That is absurd - as a member of EASA, they have to, and the change was notified over 3 years ago.

Good luck with the recruitment campaign, MR O'Leary. Ryanair may well end up with those new pilots who decided against qualifying on Airbus, and who can't find a job anywhere else. So it will be revisions to schedules - removing flights rather than altering them. That brings another problem - Boeing 737-800s make a lot of money in the sky, but cost a fortune on the ground. If there aren't enough pilots to fly the 403 that Ryanair operates, a hole will quickly appear in the profits. Mr O'Leary has good reason to want to mend the damage. A fall in share price of 10% would cause a hole in his personal wealth, if not any sympathy from elsewhere.

By the way, Easyjet's schedule for next year opened today. I have booked Cyprus and Menorca, for a total cost of under £100 return each, for Mrs FT, N! and myself. Book today for the best bargains. Other low-cost airlines are available.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: broadgage on September 20, 2017, 13:29:17
I think that this is the beginning of the end for Ryanair.
Declining reputation, trouble retaining staff, and a new significant competitor.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on September 20, 2017, 19:25:02
I think that this is the beginning of the end for Ryanair.
Declining reputation, trouble retaining staff, and a new significant competitor.

To be fair, Ryanair is Europe's largest airline in terms of passengers flown by a country nautical mile. It isn't too big to fail, but it runs some routes where no-one else does, including two from Bristol (Castellon and Béziers) that I have travelled on this year. It needs mending, and people need to be convinced that it isn't going to go rogue again.

Norwegian mirrors Ryanair's low-cost model to some extent, flying, in the UK's case, holiday travellers to sunshine destinations in Europe. The added string to its bow is its connection with Norwegian long haul via hubs to destinations in America (including Argentina from next year) and Asia. Ryanair doesn't do that.

Wow, Icelandair's low cost subsidiary, does the long haul via a hub at Keflavik, but without the bucket-and-spade European operation. It also offers the option of a stopover of up to a week in Iceland without extra charge. I flew to Vancouver with Icelandair in similar fashion last year, coming home from Seattle and spending four days in Reykjavik, and I, and Mrs FT, N!, thoroughly enjoyed it.

The times, they are a-changing, and you have to move with them. Pan Am and TWA thought they were above the problems.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 20, 2017, 19:56:10
Ryanair were in discussions with Norwegian as a feeder into their long-haul operation. Now since plug pulled for obvious reasons


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Trowres on September 20, 2017, 20:00:35
Quote
I'll have a stab

Thank you, FTN, for continuing the tradition of this forum in providing enlightenment on a wide range of topics; some far removed from GWR.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on September 20, 2017, 21:29:13
Ryanair were in discussions with Norwegian as a feeder into their long-haul operation. Now since plug pulled for obvious reasons
Norwegian now having joined forces with EasyJet:
https://www.easyjet.com/en/worldwide


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 21, 2017, 00:58:54
Further developments, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41342309):

Quote
Ryanair pilots reject bonus to work through cancellation crisis

A group of Ryanair pilots has rejected a cash bonus to work extra days after the airline cancelled 2,100 flights because it "messed up" crew holidays.

In a letter seen by the BBC, pilot representatives from 17 of the company's 80 or so European bases have told bosses that most are not enthused. They want new contracts and better working conditions instead.

Ryanair had offered captains a one-off payment of £12,000 or 12,000 euros, and first officers £6,000 or 6,000 euros. But the letter said: "The pilot market is changing, and Ryanair will need to change the ways which the pilots and management work together to ensure a stable and common future for everyone".

New contracts, it says, "should help stop the large number of colleagues who are leaving for "greener pastures". It also asks to bring in professional negotiators to help broker a deal. They have given the airline until tomorrow to respond.

One pilot told me that this is their one chance to improve conditions at work. The letter comes from staff based all over Europe including Germany, Italy, Holland, Belgium and Sweden.

In recent days I've been contacted by almost 20 current and former Ryanair pilots telling me that the company is losing unhappy crews quicker than it can replace them. They all told me that a shortage of pilots is the key reason why so many flights have had to be cancelled in recent days.

But it is a claim strenuously denied by the airline's boss Michael O'Leary.

It seems that, for the first time, scattered Ryanair pilot reps are joining forces in some numbers - often making contact over social media - because they have spotted a chance to collectively bargain for new, improved contracts.

I asked Ryanair what they made of the counter-offer but they haven't got back to me yet.

The big question now is, if pilots decide to escalate things, say, a work to rule for example, will Ryanair be able to get through the next few weeks without having to cancel yet more flights? At the weekend Ryanair decided to cancel 40 to 50 flights every day for the next six weeks.

Ryanair said earlier that it had sent out emails to 315,000 affected customers on Monday, telling them about flight changes, alternative flights, and refunds. It said the fiasco was down to its own mistaken decision to force its pilots to take their remaining annual leave before the end of the year, rather than by the end of the financial year next March.

This means it does not have enough pilots to crew all its scheduled flights this month and next.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 21, 2017, 11:32:19
Another update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41344653):

Quote
Ryanair plans to make pilots change holidays

(https://ichef.bbci.co.uk/news/660/cpsprodpb/A89D/production/_97956134_mediaitem97956132.jpg)
Boss Michael O'Leary at the Ryanair shareholder meeting

Ryanair boss Michael O'Leary has said the firm is planning to make pilots delay a week's holiday as it wrestles with massive flight cancellations.

His comments came at the airline's annual general meeting, which is being held in Dublin.

Ryanair is cancelling 40-50 flights every day for the next six weeks, after it admitted it had "messed up" the planning of pilot holidays.

A group of Ryanair pilots has rejected a cash bonus to work extra days.

Ryanair had offered captains a one-off payment of £12,000 or 12,000 euros, and first officers £6,000 or 6,000 euros, but they said they wanted new contracts and better working conditions instead.

Mr O'Leary told the AGM that Ryanair was facing a "significant management failure". He said pilots who had a four-week block of holidays coming up in the next few months because of rota changes would be told to take three weeks instead and have the other week in January. He said the firm did not need pilots' agreement for the change.

Mr O'Leary said the cancellations had cost Ryanair about 25 million euros (£22m).

He accused unions of trying to give the company "a bloody nose" and said staff did not want union representation.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 27, 2017, 14:11:09
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41414414):

Quote
400,000 more passengers to be hit by Ryanair cancellations

Ryanair will cancel another 18,000 flights between November and March, affecting the travel plans of another 400,000 passengers.

It will fly 25 fewer planes to cut the risk of further flight cancellations.

More than 30 routes will be suspended this winter, including Stansted to Edinburgh and Glasgow, Gatwick to Belfast and Newcastle to Faro.

Earlier this month the Irish airline cancelled up to 50 flights a day through to the end of October.

Those passengers affected by the move will be offered alternative flights or full refunds. They will also be offered vouchers of 40 euro (£35) one way or 80 euros return towards on alternative flights on top of any refund.

Ryanair said passengers affected by the cancellations up to the end of next month have been sent emails advising them of the flight changes.

The airline has blamed the summer cancellations on "messing up" pilot holiday rosters and again denied it had a pilot shortage. "In the current year less than 100 of over 2,000 captains left Ryanair (mainly retirements or to long haul airlines) and less than 160 F.O's [first officers] who have mainly left to join longhaul airlines," it said.

Ryanair chief executive Michael O'Leary said: "From today, there will be no more rostering-related flight cancellations this winter or in summer 2018. Slower growth this winter will create lots of spare aircraft and crews, which will allow us to manage the exceptional volumes of annual leave we committed to delivering in the nine months to December 2017."

The airline also said the total cost of the flight cancellations to date would be less 25m euros (£22m) and expected the cost of the free flight vouchers would be less than £22m.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 27, 2017, 14:27:56
Those passengers affected by the move will be offered alternative flights or full refunds. They will also be offered vouchers of 40 euro (£35) one way or 80 euros return towards on alternative flights on top of any refund.

Don't think the BBC have that quite right. I'm one of these additionals, with a flight to Dublin in late January. Canx flight, but nothing by way of compensation as they say "its more than 28 days notice".


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 27, 2017, 14:57:18
Inaccuracy at the BBC?  Whatever next??  :o ;) ;D

There is a considerable amount of detail in the Ryanair press release (http://corporate.ryanair.com/news/ryanair-to-end-rostering-cancellations-by-slowing-growth-this-winter/?market=us), for those who are affected / interested.



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 28, 2017, 11:42:29
I have now received the mentioned Eur40 credit note, but not usable until October 1 - and of course, pax want to secure an alternative ASAP, so I've already booked an alternative.

I'm sure Ryanair have worked this out, so it's purely a marketing scam, to make you book again with them at a later date, rather than compensation usable against any alternative. Still leaves a nasty taste....


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 28, 2017, 13:00:02
An update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41422571):

Quote
Ryanair law breach leaves UK regulator CAA 'furious'

Ryanair has been threatened with legal action for "persistently misleading" passengers about their rights following thousands of flight cancellations.

The Civil Aviation Authority (CAA)'s chief executive Andrew Haines said he was "furious" that the airline was not complying with the law.

The authority has launched "enforcement action" against Ryanair for wrongly claiming it did not have to re-route passengers on rival airlines.

Ryanair now says it will co-operate. In a brief statement, the airline said: "We already comply fully with all EU261 legislation, are meeting with the CAA and will comply fully with whatever requirements they ask us to."

The CAA's Mr Haines told the BBC that he very much doubted the dispute would get as far as the courts, but added it was "unacceptable" that Ryanair was disregarding the law and customers' rights. "These are simple things to fix and they're choosing not to fix them," he said. "People shouldn't have to choose between low fares and legal rights."

Mr Haines singled out Ryanair boss Michael O'Leary for particular criticism, telling Radio 5live: "Michael himself said he wasn't going to pay for passengers to fly on other airlines. That's against the law. My concern with Ryanair, and the reason we are speaking so openly, is they say one thing and yet they don't follow it through."

The fresh round of flight cancellations will be between November and March and affect the travel plans of a further 400,000 customers.

A total of 34 routes will be suspended this winter, including Stansted to Edinburgh and Glasgow, Gatwick to Belfast and Newcastle to Faro.

Earlier this month, the airline cancelled up to 50 flights a day through to the end of October, also affecting 400,000 passengers.

The regulator said that on both occasions Ryanair had failed to provide customers with "necessary and accurate" information about their rights.

Your rights explained
- Ryanair has about 24 hours after telling affected passengers of a cancellation to book them on an alternative Ryanair flight
- If the alternative Ryanair flight is not soon enough, or at a time that does not work for you, then you can tell Ryanair to book you on the most appropriate flight on an alternative airline at no extra cost to you
- Consumer group Which? says that it is best to make Ryanair do the legwork - rather than take a refund from the Ryanair flight, rebook yourself on another airline, and try to reclaim any extra cost from Ryanair if the new flight is more expensive. By doing so, you will probably only get a refund for the cancelled Ryanair flight, but not the difference for the more expensive alternative flight
- As more than two weeks' notice has been given for the new wave of flights cancellations, affected passengers will not be entitled to the extra compensation that is paid under EU rules for last-minute cancellations

Full refunds

The CAA said information provided on Ryanair's website failed to make it clear that the airline was obliged to refund all expenses incurred as a result of the flight cancellation.

Those expenses included meals, hotels, as well as transfer costs to re-route passengers on other airlines when there was no suitable alternative, the CAA said.

The airline has said that passengers affected by the move will be offered alternative flights or full refunds and had been emailed about advising them of flight changes occurring until the end of October.

They will also be offered vouchers of 40 euros (£35) one way, or 80 euros return, towards alternative flights on top of any refund.

Ryanair has blamed the series of flight cancellations on "messing up" pilot holiday rosters.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 28, 2017, 19:05:23
For those of you that are new to the FGW/GWR scene, the CAA's Mr Haines used to be MD of First Great Western before Mark Hopwood took over.

Sounds pretty seedy behaviour from Ryanair, but that doesn't matter of course as the boss held his hands up, accepted the blame and said sorry at the time.  ::)


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on September 28, 2017, 19:43:32
For those of you that are new to the FGW/GWR scene, the CAA's Mr Haines used to be MD of First Great Western before Mark Hopwood took over.

A regulator with teeth. Something the Rail industry desperately needs.

At FGW, Andrew Haines (a very competent MD) was preceded by the dire Alison Forster. Bad, good, bad for the last three MDs. If the cycle continues the next one should be an improvement over the current incumbant.  :P


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: John R on September 28, 2017, 20:06:22
This now looks as though it is going to cost Ryanair a fortune, as they appear to have an obligation to rebook flights cancelled over two weeks in advance rather than refunding and leaving passengers in the lurch. Good!

And I suspect other European regulators will be taking note too, bearing in mind that many of the routes curtailed don't involve UK or Irish destinations.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on September 28, 2017, 20:18:54
So ChrisB and others are entitled to be carried by other airlines at Ryanair's expense! That could be the gamechanger, especially as Mr O'Leary (net worth c. £700 million) said that Ryanair couldn't afford to pay the fares charged by its competitors.

The latest spate of cancellations would tend to suggest that his recent recruitment drive has not borne fruit. In a world where there is a shortage of pilots, that is unsurprising. Not many pilots would turn down a job with another airline to do multi-sector days for someone who has said they have the "easiest job in the world", or who has suggested flying "DOO", with no co-pilot, but with a steward(ess) trained to land in emergencies.

For the record, I have flown with Ryanair twice (return - four flights in all) this year. I have no complaints - friendly, competent cabin staff, fairly new Boeing 737-800s in good order and clean, flown by very good pilots, and just the lack of a lasagne when I fancied one to grumble about. I flew to Béziers in France and Castellón in Spain, and had a wonderful time. In both cases, the airports were perfectly adequate (Béziers a provincial airport with ambitions, Castellón a vanity project desperate for customers), and close to very nice places. The fares were hardly more than the cost of the bus to Bristol airport. The problem seems to be institutional, and I don't blame any pilot for walking away for a better offer.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 28, 2017, 20:33:42
Ironically, when Irish Ferries let me down this week with cancelling the 14:30 and offering me the 08:05 or the 20:55 yesterday, I ... got a seat on Ryan Air.  Refund from Irish ferries;  flight cost about the same as my SailRail though I had extra costs from airport home.  Funny world, isn't it?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 28, 2017, 21:56:16
More details, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41435013):

Quote
Ryanair given deadline to obey compensation rules

Ryanair has been told to correct its compensation policy for hundreds of thousands of passengers whose flights have been cancelled, by 5pm on Friday.

The UK's Civil Aviation Authority says the airline must stop misleading passengers about the option to be re-routed with another airline.

The regulator has ordered the budget airline to say publicly how it will re-route passengers who require it.

Ryanair must also say how it will reimburse their out-of-pocket expenses.

In addition, the beleaguered airline must promise to help any of the passengers whose flights have been cancelled in the past two weeks, but who may have chosen an unsuitable option as a result of being misled by Ryanair, the regulator said.

The demands cover passengers who were due to fly to and from the UK.

The airline recently cancelled flights affecting more than 700,000 passengers, from now until next March, in two separate tranches, because it had bungled the reorganisation of its pilots' leave arrangements.

On Wednesday the CAA said that if the airline did not fully comply with European Union (EU) rules on providing compensation then it would take the airline to court, with the possibility of an unlimited fine.

Now the CAA has set deadlines for Ryanair's compliance and once again taken the airline to task for its failings.

Referring to the Ryanair website, which must also be changed by Friday's deadline, the CAA says: "There is still no information here about how expenses will be treated where passengers are re-routed to and/or from other airports or where they otherwise incur additional out-of-pocket expenses as a result of the cancellations."

"Further changes are therefore required to make it clear that any such expenses will be reimbursed by Ryanair".

Demanding an end to Ryanair's "ongoing infringements" of the EU rules, the CAA said Ryanair had still failed to supply information requested a week ago on its refund and rerouting policy.

The regulator said it was "especially interested" in how the airline's call centre staff had been dealing with passengers.

Evidence seen by the BBC suggests that some travellers have been denied their rights. For instance, in a web chat with Ryanair on Thursday, a passenger called Matthew Rice said: "You are obligated to re-route me as advised in the CAA's open letter to you and Ryanair's policy on the cancellations as provided to you." The Ryanair call centre employee replied: "No I am not. Is there anything else I can help you with today?"

The airline said it had reminded its call centre staff on Wednesday about its formal policy, which states that passengers can be re-booked on another airline so long as the cost is not more than three times that of the original Ryanair fare.

Additional deadlines

The regulator has also imposed a further deadline on the airline to rectify the misleading information given to passengers during the past two weeks.

New emails must be sent to them giving "accurate and comprehensive information on their rights and options".

Ryanair must offer them again the option of a refund or re-routing, including one with another airline, and tell them how to make a claim for expenses.

Travellers who have accepted a refund must be offered a reimbursement of the difference with any higher fare.

And those who have been misled into accepting an unsatisfactory re-routing must be offered the option of changing it.

Passengers in the second group of cancellations, covering November to March, must have the option of being re-routed with another airline highlighted as an alternative Ryanair flight may not be available.

All the new emails must be sent out by 5pm on 4 October, after first being checked and approved by the CAA.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on September 28, 2017, 22:04:34
At FGW, Andrew Haines (a very competent MD) was preceded by the dire Alison Forster. Bad, good, bad for the last three MDs. If the cycle continues the next one should be an improvement over the current incumbant.  :P
Oh how we cheered when Andrew Haines took over from Alison Forster who quickly sorted things out following the total balls up after the merging of the three rail companies into one. Shame his tenure as MD was but a short one.

If I remember rightly at the time, didn't Alison Forster let it be known she wasn't keen on taking over the local West services from Wessex Trains? It was the crazy decision to reduce the fleet size as recommended by a consultancy firm that was to be her downfall with the way it was all handled.

Anyway to get back on topic somewhat, it was good to see Andrew Haines on TV this morning even if it was in a capacity of making it be known how furious the CAA were with Ryanair.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 28, 2017, 23:12:31
If I remember rightly at the time, didn't Alison Forster let it be known she wasn't keen on taking over the local West services from Wessex Trains? It was the crazy decision to reduce the fleet size as recommended by a consultancy firm that was to be her downfall with the way it was all handled.

Hmmm, wasn't that consultancy firm in effect the DfT who specified and awarded a franchise based on service reductions, particularly on the branches and rural routes?  Andrew Haines did a good job in his short tenure in repairing some of that damage (Forster was pretty inexperienced and useless to be honest, and was shunted off to a much lower profile job at First Group!), but I would have been interested to see how he would have handled GWR's recent problems had he stayed on for a decent period.  Some might say that's a true test of a manager - it certainly is in football, just ask Ranieri!


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: chrisr_75 on September 28, 2017, 23:54:35
If I remember rightly at the time, didn't Alison Forster let it be known she wasn't keen on taking over the local West services from Wessex Trains? It was the crazy decision to reduce the fleet size as recommended by a consultancy firm that was to be her downfall with the way it was all handled.

Hmmm, wasn't that consultancy firm in effect the DfT who specified and awarded a franchise based on service reductions, particularly on the branches and rural routes?  Andrew Haines did a good job in his short tenure in repairing some of that damage (Forster was pretty inexperienced and useless to be honest, and was shunted off to a much lower profile job at First Group!), but I would have been interested to see how he would have handled GWR's recent problems had he stayed on for a decent period.  Some might say that's a true test of a manager - it certainly is in football, just ask Ranieri!

I'm not sure if it's quite the anticipated result, but the current crop of GWR issues seem to have made Mark Hopwood get very shy in public. Has anyone seen him out in the wild recently?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on September 29, 2017, 00:33:36
He was at the OOC Open Day on 2nd September. Drooling over the cavalcade of his favourite loco, the Class 50. :D


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 29, 2017, 08:26:38
He was at the OOC Open Day on 2nd September. Drooling over the cavalcade of his favourite loco, the Class 50. :D

I'd have to say that you don't paint a very attractive picture with that statement!  ;)


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 29, 2017, 08:59:23
Travellers who have accepted a refund must be offered a reimbursement of the difference with any higher fare.

And those who have been misled into accepting an unsatisfactory re-routing must be offered the option of changing it.

Yup, that's me....I've not yet received Ryanair's refund (it's in Eur, so I don't yet know what the GBP I'm getting is. The higher fare I've paid elsewhere was also in Eur too, so I guerss they're refunding in Eur.

It is an unsatisfactory rebooking, further away from my ultimate destination, but getting Ryanair to talk to the other airline to allow me to rebook (which might now be with a different airline at a higher fare!) will be very interesting, if nigh on impossible. I'd be interested in knowing the CAAs thoughts on how they go about it.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 29, 2017, 09:24:30
At FGW, Andrew Haines (a very competent MD) was preceded by the dire Alison Forster. Bad, good, bad for the last three MDs. If the cycle continues the next one should be an improvement over the current incumbant.  :P
Oh how we cheered when Andrew Haines took over from Alison Forster who quickly sorted things out following the total balls up after the merging of the three rail companies into one. Shame his tenure as MD was but a short one.

If I remember rightly at the time, didn't Alison Forster let it be known she wasn't keen on taking over the local West services from Wessex Trains? It was the crazy decision to reduce the fleet size as recommended by a consultancy firm that was to be her downfall with the way it was all handled.

To some extent, how all the MDs come across relates very much to the times and thus their mandates.   I sometimes wonder if Alison Forster followed by Andrew Haines was a deliberate "bad guy, good guy" plan.   With stage one seeing how far costs could be cut on lines that were unlikely to reach First's desired profit margins, and stage two to pull back depending on the strength of public protest.   

We're now into another act, and one in which an infrastructure and fleet change outside the immediate control of the First Group. Personally and on TransWilts, we have found Mark Hopwood and his fellow longstanding directors helpful within the constraints on them and in the circumstances. It does credit to them that I can still write that when last Sunday 12 out of 13 trains were cancelled last Sunday, and my trip to Dublin earlier this week both started and finished with a taxi ride to / from Chippenham, when it really should have started / finished on a train.   How much of the circumstance the GWR team could have realistically been more effective in managing the effects of is open for discussion, though ... but it's a far different world to 2006, when the victor seemed intent on subjugating the vanquished as franchises merged.

May split this into a separate thread later - gone off RyanAir topic!



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 29, 2017, 09:37:27
If I remember rightly at the time, didn't Alison Forster let it be known she wasn't keen on taking over the local West services from Wessex Trains?

More than that - she only wanted the High-Speed network & HSTs.....wasn't interested in anything else at all.

I agree with Graham's comments above this post too.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on September 29, 2017, 09:44:17
More than that - she only wanted the High-Speed network & HSTs.....wasn't interested in anything else at all.
When it was just the High Speed network FGW was a good TOC. Good train interiors, great value fares. How times have changed.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 29, 2017, 10:15:08
Times have indeed changed, the number of people wanting to travel has shot through the roof for starters, and that is only just starting to be properly addressed rather than the sticking plaster approach for the last ten years.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on September 29, 2017, 10:18:53
The more or less full mixture of service types is what makes the Great Western franchise one of the most complex to operate.

IIRC Foster's background had been operations and safety director of the former GWT part, and it therefore it is not surprising that she felt more comfortable with the 'intercity' part rather than urban/sub-urban/regional. Her later career has been concentrated on safety at First and National Express.

One thing I can say in her favour, which relates to this thread, was she remained visible to the extent of travelling on trains with her name badge on.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 29, 2017, 10:45:04
Times have indeed changed, the number of people wanting to travel has shot through the roof for starters, and that is only just starting to be properly addressed rather than the sticking plaster approach for the last ten years.

I would imagine that  part of the issue being "properly addressed" would encompass GWR ensuring that they have sufficient drivers and crew to operate the trains?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 29, 2017, 11:00:32
Yes of course.  And to be fair, current mini-crisis aside, crew availability has been pretty good over the last ten years since the 'Worst Great Western' and 'I Hate First Great Western' badge days when everything was in a right state.

The notable exception has been summer Sundays, where most years have seen far too many crew related cancellations.  I'm hearing that negotiations with the Unions on bringing Sundays into the working week are progressing, so that will be a big breakthrough if it goes through.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 29, 2017, 11:03:21
Yes of course.  And to be fair, current mini-crisis aside, crew availability has been pretty good over the last ten years since the 'Worst Great Western' and 'I Hate First Great Western' badge days when everything was in a right state.

For those that can remember - worse than currently? Discuss.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 29, 2017, 11:09:48
I certainly think so, especially for the West sector.  You also had campaign groups starting up in HSS and LTV sectors like Ox-Rail Action when the Oxford to London peak service capacity was reduced significantly.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on September 29, 2017, 11:12:31
For those that can remember - worse than currently? Discuss.
Most definitely worse. People being left behind at stations, rolling stock that could be used left in sidings off lease, fare strikes. A trawl from posts from the early days of this forum will tell the story.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on September 29, 2017, 12:20:36
You also had campaign groups starting up in HSS and LTV sectors like Ox-Rail Action when the Oxford to London peak service capacity was reduced significantly.
Indeed the peak commuter time seating capacity from Oxford on fast trains was reduced by up to 80% (at least according to Ox-Rail's view), with the number of trains halved, and none of these starting from Oxford at all. The situation was so bad that the timetable had to be recast reintroducing services just over a month after the December 2006 timetable although this only brought the situation back to a 25% reduction. Unfortunately these 'squeezed in' trains had poor punctuality.

There was also a reduction at Didcot Parkway in Dec 2006, not quite so dramatic, but two trains had to be restored to stop in the 7:30-7:50 period.



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on September 29, 2017, 19:28:56
It is an unsatisfactory rebooking, further away from my ultimate destination, but getting Ryanair to talk to the other airline to allow me to rebook (which might now be with a different airline at a higher fare!) will be very interesting, if nigh on impossible. I'd be interested in knowing the CAAs thoughts on how they go about it.

The other airlines will be rubbing their hands with glee! In the final days of BA's Dash-8 service to Glasgow, a plane was cancelled and the passengers booked onto the newly inaugurated Easyjet A319 service. Oh how they laughed when they found that the rest of the passengers had paid as little as a tenth of what they had paid! Ryanair may find the opposite problem.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on September 29, 2017, 19:50:48
Ryanair have said they've briefed their staff to offer rebooking, but only up to 3-times the cost of the fare they refund. Not many other airlines offer £15 flights x 3 = £45 max!

I'm currently out of pocket by £21.01 & ending up further away from where I'm heading. Now awaiting communication from Ryanair to explain how I go about claiming this. Together with my Eur40 credit, I might just get another return flight out of them


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 29, 2017, 21:28:10
Ryanair have said they've briefed their staff to offer rebooking, but only up to 3-times the cost of the fare they refund. Not many other airlines offer £15 flights x 3 = £45 max!

I'm currently out of pocket by £21.01 & ending up further away from where I'm heading. Now awaiting communication from Ryanair to explain how I go about claiming this. Together with my Eur40 credit, I might just get another return flight out of them

I guess your question is........"Ooooooooos gunna pay for it?" 😃


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 29, 2017, 21:30:27
From The Herald (http://www.heraldscotland.com/news/15567488.Train_service_offering_discount_to_passengers_affected_by_Ryanair_cancellations_disaster/)

Quote
Passengers hit by Ryanair cancellations are being offered discounted rail travel between Scotland and London.

Caledonian Sleeper is offering a 20% discount to passengers who have made a now-cancelled Ryanair booking until the end of February next year.

The budget airline announced this week it was axing 18,000 scheduled flights between November and March, with flights between Glasgow and Stansted and Edinburgh and Stansted among those affected.

The overnight train service said passengers can travel within a day of their original flight booking and use the code 'Ryanair' when booking online.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 30, 2017, 01:21:48
Ryanair have said they've briefed their staff to offer rebooking, but only up to 3-times the cost of the fare they refund. Not many other airlines offer £15 flights x 3 = £45 max!

I'm currently out of pocket by £21.01 & ending up further away from where I'm heading. Now awaiting communication from Ryanair to explain how I go about claiming this. Together with my Eur40 credit, I might just get another return flight out of them

I guess your question is........"Ooooooooos gunna pay for it?" 😃

You can crack a joke too often, you know?   ;)


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on September 30, 2017, 01:38:50
Ryanair are going to pay for it, apparently.  ;)

Another update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41445663):

Quote
Ryanair backs down over passenger rights for cancellations

Ryanair has bowed to regulator demands and spelled out more options on offer to passengers affected by its planned flight disruption.

It has avoided possible legal action by emailing those affected by more than 20,000 flight cancellations.

On its site, Ryanair acknowledges it is required to offer those on cancelled flights full refunds or comparable tickets on rival carriers.

Civil Aviation Authority boss Andrew Haines said Ryanair had "capitulated".

Earlier this week, Mr Andrew Haines said he was "furious" the airline had not been complying with the law by failing to offer to re-route passengers on rival airlines.

In the airline's first wave of cancellations Ryanair offered affected passengers a £40 voucher per cancelled flight as a way to say sorry.

The budget airline said it had taken on more extra staff to process the expected increase in customer claims.

Ryanair was forced by the CAA to clarify that passengers affected who previously "may have chosen an option that was not suitable for them as a result of any misunderstanding of their EU261 rights" were entitled to change their mind, for example by opting for a flight on another airline instead of a refund.

If no Ryanair flight was available to get customers to their ticketed destination, customers can now opt for a comparable flight on Easyjet, Jet2, Vueling, Cityjet, Aer Lingus, Norwegian or Eurowings, the airline clarified.

Mr Haines confirmed Ryanair had contacted the aviation watchdog late on Friday afternoon and said; "Our job is to protect passengers' rights and ensure that all airlines operating in the UK are fully compliant with important consumer laws. Where we find that an airline is systematically flouting these rules, we will not hesitate to take action, to minimise the harm and detriment caused to passengers, as we have done with Ryanair in recent days. It appears that Ryanair has now capitulated.

"We will review their position in detail and monitor this situation to ensure that passengers get what they are entitled to in practice," Haines added.

Ryanair's Kenny Jacobs said: "We are committed to processing all such claims within 21 days of receipt and hope to have all such claims settled before the end of October."

Ryanair cancelled up to 50 flights a day through to the end of October, affecting 315,000 passengers.

It then cancelled another 18,000 flights between November and March, affecting the travel plans of another 400,000 passengers.

The disruption was brought about because of an error with pilot holiday rotas and Ryanair said cancelling flights would "eliminate all risk of further flight cancellations".

The budget airline said it has updated the Frequently Asked Questions section of its website to reflect all of these changes.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 30, 2017, 06:44:03

Another update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41445663):

Quote

The disruption was brought about because of an error with pilot holiday rotas and Ryanair said cancelling flights would "eliminate all risk of further flight cancellations".



Utter screw up - but perhaps this early cancellation to restore a robustness to what's left is best overall for the passengers who were (or wanted) to book - a model for others who find themselves with an unfortunate lack of operational resource to consider?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 30, 2017, 08:34:23

Another update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-41445663):

Quote

The disruption was brought about because of an error with pilot holiday rotas and Ryanair said cancelling flights would "eliminate all risk of further flight cancellations".



Utter screw up - but perhaps this early cancellation to restore a robustness to what's left is best overall for the passengers who were (or wanted) to book - a model for others who find themselves with an unfortunate lack of operational resource to consider?

If you're alluding to GWR, there are a number of important differences;

1) Unlike O'Leary, Hopwood has yet to acquire the courage, honesty or common decency to publicly acknowledge that he/GWR have a problem, have messed up or apologised. He appears to be the largest invisible structure on the planet.

2) GWR is used by many thousands of people on a daily basis to get to work - it is an expensive, overcrowded and publicly subsidised virtual monopoly which people have no choice but to use. Ryanair is a low cost airline primarily taking people on budget leisure trips in a very competitive environment where there are in the most case alternatives. The consequences of GWR scything through their timetable in the way you suggest has far more serious consequences, and would of course expose the incompetence within the organisation.

3) The only thing "unfortunate" about GWR's lack of operational resource is that the organisation is seemingly unfortunate enough to lack Leadership who are able to manage their workforce properly - this was not an unforeseeable scenario, most likely they thought that they would "get away with it" - in this aspect at least there is a similarity with Ryanair.

4) How would you suggest that GWR would finance alternative travel arrangements in respect of all the services that would be cancelled in a similar model for those who have booked/are unable to cram themselves on to the remaining services? That's an awful lot of taxi fares!

.....I think that'll do for starters!  :)


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 30, 2017, 10:29:55
After this PR disaster I wonder if Ryanair's slogan of 'Always Getting Better' might be quietly dropped?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 30, 2017, 10:41:07

If you're alluding to GWR, there are a number of important differences;


Totally agree - but that doesn't mean that there aren't lessons to be learned and thought given to the approach taken.  With an airline, the next flight is likely to be a very great deal later, whereas on many GWR services there's alternatives that'll knock you back just an hour ("just" is a poor word to use if you're late for an interview, of course).

Ryanair operate - they say - 600,000 flights a year - so 18,000 cancellations is just 3% - or 6% if they're over a six month period. Last Sunday, GWR cancelled 48 services (or had done by 07:00 that morning), 12 of which came from the 13 trains scheduled to call at Melksham - that's a 92% cancellation rate at that station, with no other operator or line providing any trains, and no alternative public bus service along the line of route on a Sunday.

If GWR were to say "Sundays until 3rd December, we will run the first two round trips and the last two round trips, cancelling the trips between", that's a 30% cancellation rate, and we could actually trust them to provide driver, train manager and train (not just promises to do their best), it would be marketable ... as would a similar action on two round trips in the middle of the day on Saturday.   We could even market loss of the 11:47 up and 12:47 back on Monday to Friday


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on September 30, 2017, 10:47:53
I agree Graham, it would be better if GWR put their hands up, admit they have a staff problem and produce a realistic timetable for Sundays. One that they can operate so at least you know there will be a train instead of this lottery every weekend to see if they train you intended to catch has appeared on Journey Check because of lack of train crew.

Won't happen because that's to sensible and admitting you have a problem.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 30, 2017, 11:06:17
I agree with what you're both saying, though today I can't currently see any cancellations flagged up, so had, say, the Melksham service been reduced, it would have been an unnecessary reduction.  I say than now hoping a wave of cancellations doesn't now get announced!

I suppose you could apopt the approach where you decide upon and then advertise certain selected services that they are 'unlikely to operate' and then if all is well on the day they can be reinstated.  Perhaps that's the best (or least worst) way forward?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: John R on September 30, 2017, 12:21:41
So, how much is this going to cost Ryanair?

In the first instance the compensation/rebooking cost is going to be huge. And having accepted the principle that legally they can't just refund and leave pax in the lurch if the flight is more than 14 days in advance, this will be true across their operations, not just in the UK where the regulator stood up to them. The same wording is on their country specific websites (albeit in English!)

And remember, having set the precedent, no longer will they be able to drop a route at 14 days notice, which they've done in the past many times, without incurring substantial costs.

Then there is the cost of having 25 planes more than expected lying idle over the winter. I'm sure they cut very aggressive deals with the Boeing and any lessors, but would be surprised if they can wriggle their way out of some cost.

Next, there's the recognition that the pilots' terms need to be improved by some degree.

And finally, there's the brand reputation. In the short term, I would have thought that would be huge. I'm sure bookings have been substantially down in the last couple of weeks, and I expect that will continue. Even with seat sales, people now recognise that being let down runs the risk of incurring substantial losses to other parts of the holiday arrangements.  Longer term, yes, the effect will diminish, but I would have thought there would be a residual effect for some years, and with a business model predicated on very high seat occupancy, even a small effect could be significant.

Finally I notice the MO'L only owns 4% of the company, so he is very much answerable to the shareholders, who will no doubt be looking very closely at his performance and that of the management team as they manage their way through this situation.



Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TaplowGreen on September 30, 2017, 12:41:16

If you're alluding to GWR, there are a number of important differences;


Totally agree - but that doesn't mean that there aren't lessons to be learned and thought given to the approach taken.  With an airline, the next flight is likely to be a very great deal later, whereas on many GWR services there's alternatives that'll knock you back just an hour ("just" is a poor word to use if you're late for an interview, of course).

Ryanair operate - they say - 600,000 flights a year - so 18,000 cancellations is just 3% - or 6% if they're over a six month period. Last Sunday, GWR cancelled 48 services (or had done by 07:00 that morning), 12 of which came from the 13 trains scheduled to call at Melksham - that's a 92% cancellation rate at that station, with no other operator or line providing any trains, and no alternative public bus service along the line of route on a Sunday.

If GWR were to say "Sundays until 3rd December, we will run the first two round trips and the last two round trips, cancelling the trips between", that's a 30% cancellation rate, and we could actually trust them to provide driver, train manager and train (not just promises to do their best), it would be marketable ... as would a similar action on two round trips in the middle of the day on Saturday.   We could even market loss of the 11:47 up and 12:47 back on Monday to Friday

With the best will in the World I think the issue somewhat transcends Sunday services for Melksham, important though these are, and that was the context of my reply which you have (very selectively) quoted 😉.......it's having an impact on much of the GWR network, 7 days a week......it's not as easy as adopting the attitude of "just get the next train" when it's so dangerously overcrowded due to earlier cancellations that even a wafer would struggle to get on board.

At the very, very least, Hopwood should be apologising , explaining, and advising what is being done to address the problem.

Right now, he's far behind O' Leary in the PR, honesty & moral stakes. For anyone in his lofty position, that cannot be a comfortable place to be.....but is an achievement of sorts I guess.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 30, 2017, 13:02:01
At the very, very least, Hopwood should be apologising , explaining, and advising what is being done to address the problem.

Indeed.  We have asked for an official explanation and advise as to what is being done to address the problem that we can share as being from GWR.    Not a great one for demanding apologies - the best apology is an admission that there's an issue and effective prioritised action to sort it.

Note the explanation already offered to me at a very high level indeed concerning training on the staffing issue - being addressed both be recruiting new staff, and also by "time" in that the peak of new training will pass. A similar director level explanation of the stock shortage with units having to be retained beyond their finish dates (so more than usual numbers in for service) and others having to go because they're contracted to others would also be good to have more officially explained, and once again (!) "time" - once electric trains are running from London to Didcot.

The point I was making, though, related more to having a robust schedule rather than letting bits keep breaking off the current one that's not robust, and we don't know what will break off.  In theory, I'm off again on the 09:20 tomorrow. In practise, I have to wait to the morning to see if that can happen, and if not have alternative plans as I have an unslippable event to attend.

I am quoting TransWilts purely as an example, but I have spoken with others concerned with most smaller / more local / less frequent services over the last 10 days and our concerns are far from unique.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on September 30, 2017, 13:47:54
So no mention of union issues with rostering in your conversations with high level folk, grahame?

There are many posts on other forums from staff at the Greater Western TOC saying the issues of rostering, route knowledge maintenance and 'links' are a primary cause of the staff availability problems. ASLEF and the TOC management apparently at odds over these issues.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: grahame on September 30, 2017, 14:01:05
So no mention of union issues with rostering in your conversations with high level folk, grahame?

There are many posts on other forums from staff at the Greater Western TOC saying the issues of rostering, route knowledge maintenance and 'links' are a primary cause of the staff availability problems. ASLEF and the TOC management apparently at odds over these issues.

Indeed the issues is more complex than in the short "sound bite" I wrote. And we haven't touched on issues like the inevitable movement of technical staff at places like Old Oak Common that will be no more to other roles with a planned future ... I'm going to see what we hear back in terms of an official explanation rather than trying to read details and degrees of importance into conversations.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on September 30, 2017, 19:00:21
So no mention of union issues with rostering in your conversations with high level folk, grahame?

There are many posts on other forums from staff at the Greater Western TOC saying the issues of rostering, route knowledge maintenance and 'links' are a primary cause of the staff availability problems. ASLEF and the TOC management apparently at odds over these issues.

Certainly the LTV recent problems have largely been down to those issues you mention.

With union agreement, LTV drivers have just been offered an one-off payment to temporarily suspend some of their rostering conditions for three months and therefore create much more flexibility.  It is an optional thing, but I reckon a good majority will say 'yes'.  The agreement starts properly the week after next (though a small number of changes start from tomorrow), so I would expect a significant decrease in the number of cancellations from then.

Not sure if a similar deal has been offered to West drivers?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on October 02, 2017, 09:52:34
A large pool of qualified pilots has just become available.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: LiskeardRich on October 02, 2017, 10:02:05
News this morning that Monarch have entered administration. Ryanair would surely look to offer jobs to affected pilots and crew?
All monarch services ceased as their licence terminated at midnight and wasn’t renewed.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on October 02, 2017, 10:21:04
The pool of pilots suddenly on the market may not be a quick fix Ryanair's problems though.

Monarch's fleet was mostly A320s. Ryanair's 737s.

Will Ryanair offer jobs to Monarch Captains and FOs when they'll need to train them on 737s and offer full contracts? I suspect Ryanair will stick with its own zero hour cadet training.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on October 02, 2017, 11:05:05
The pool of pilots suddenly on the market may not be a quick fix Ryanair's problems though.

Monarch's fleet was mostly A320s. Ryanair's 737s.

Will Ryanair offer jobs to Monarch Captains and FOs when they'll need to train them on 737s and offer full contracts? I suspect Ryanair will stick with its own zero hour cadet training.

Correct - Monarch had only one B738. The rest of the fleet was Airbus A320 and A321 aircraft, so conversion training will be needed. That costs around €40,000.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: chrisr_75 on October 02, 2017, 11:18:16
The pool of pilots suddenly on the market may not be a quick fix Ryanair's problems though.

Monarch's fleet was mostly A320s. Ryanair's 737s.

Will Ryanair offer jobs to Monarch Captains and FOs when they'll need to train them on 737s and offer full contracts? I suspect Ryanair will stick with its own zero hour cadet training.

Correct - Monarch had only one B738. The rest of the fleet was Airbus A320 and A321 aircraft, so conversion training will be needed. That costs around €40,000.


There's also a fairly large fleet of Airbus aircraft just available to the market...no type ratings necessary!


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on October 02, 2017, 11:43:14
There have been reports that British Airways and/or parent company IAG had been sniffing around the past week looking at the possibility of buying part of Monarch potentially before, but now after entering administration. Much better match on aircraft type, although I understand they were leases rather than being owned by Monarch itself.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on October 02, 2017, 11:45:56
There's also a fairly large fleet of Airbus aircraft just available to the market...no type ratings necessary!

They would be a nuisance in a mixed fleet though. Ryanair have 397 B737-800s, and one B737-700. They have an order for another 175 B737s, so will want to sort out their staffing issues quickly. That includes 110 B737 MAX 200s.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on October 02, 2017, 12:00:49
Apparently around 10 Qatar Airways planes were flown to the UK late last night; they are operating some of the rescue flights for British Airways, who in turn are chartered to Titan which holds the master contract with the CAA.

The CAA obviously thought there wasn't much likelihood of Monarch's survival - indeed they effectively jacked up their prices so much at the weekend that no sensible person would have booked with them since Friday which may have been part of the management of the situation. 


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: chrisr_75 on October 02, 2017, 12:01:40
There's also a fairly large fleet of Airbus aircraft just available to the market...no type ratings necessary!

They would be a nuisance in a mixed fleet though. Ryanair have 397 B737-800s, and one B737-700. They have an order for another 175 B737s, so will want to sort out their staffing issues quickly. That includes 110 B737 MAX 200s.

Indeed, but it could be a ready made short term solution for MO'L, although somewhat into the league of fantasy on my part I suspect!


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on October 02, 2017, 13:50:00
Ryanair aren't hanging about. They have booked hotel conference facilities near major British airports, from Wednesday onwards, inviting Monarch flight crew (both pointy end and cabin) to come along to seek possible employment.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: chrisr_75 on October 02, 2017, 14:56:19
Ryanair aren't hanging about. They have booked hotel conference facilities near major British airports, from Wednesday onwards, inviting Monarch flight crew (both pointy end and cabin) to come along to seek possible employment.

It couldn't be timed better. Remarkably lucky some might say...I did wonder when this episode first started if there was a sniff of a hint of this situation being engineered/predicted to some degree or another and I still have that hunch after this news about Monarch.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Timmer on October 02, 2017, 15:00:56
It couldn't be timed better. Remarkably lucky some might say...I did wonder when this episode first started if there was a sniff of a hint of this situation being engineered/predicted to some degree or another and I still have that hunch after this news about Monarch.
Indeed, it will be good PR, recruiting crew to ensure they won't ever have to cut the timetable again and saving jobs. Couple that with some crazy fare offers and all will soon be back to normal at Ryanair.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on October 02, 2017, 15:13:24
Only engineered in the sense that Monarch were competing in a highly competitive short haul market. They had lost a lot of business to areas where they had little competition - Turkey and Egypt - due to political instability. The weak pound also contributed. Their income was in sterling, but their expenditure was in dollars (lease fees and fuel) and euros (airport charges). A perfect storm.

Yes, Ryanair and other airlines will pick up additional business. Passengers. Assets. Slots. But that's not a conspiracy.

Monarch themselves had profited from the bankruptcy of other airlines throughout their history. British Eagle, Court Line, Laker Airways. Passenger air transport is a ruthless business.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on October 02, 2017, 15:27:48
Another failure by Hedge Funds who think they can make a (quick) buck but find they can't once they've picked it up.....always beware once the company you work for falls into a hedge funds hands.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on October 02, 2017, 15:40:47
Greybull Capital is not a hedge fund. It's almost entirely the money of two families. Stumping up £165m to keep a business going is not the action of those looking to make a quick buck. Greybull say they are medium to long term investors.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on October 02, 2017, 15:45:39
So how long had they owned it? About 3 years?

Stumping up £165m is peanuts if you're hoping/expecting to sell it on for three times that. And they were acting just like a hedge fund - certainly not in for the long-haul


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on October 02, 2017, 15:46:23
Monarch became a jack of all trades and a master of none. It never had the cost base to run purel as a low-cost airline; indeed some estimate its crew costs to be greater than that of the Gatwick BA crews as it has a lot of long-serving and hence well-experienced personnel. There ought to be a niche to be a 'middle-class' carrier giving better service which Monarch used to aspire to, but price today seems to be all, and no one trying that model has made a success of it.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: JayMac on October 02, 2017, 16:05:51
So how long had they owned it? About 3 years?

Stumping up £165m is peanuts if you're hoping/expecting to sell it on for three times that. And they were acting just like a hedge fund - certainly not in for the long-haul

That's what investment is. Making a return. Making the business profitable. Securing the future of the business. Sometimes it works, sometimes it doesn't.

You're right about the long-haul though. Had they gone into that market as a no frills operator instead of competing with Ryanair and EasyJet on European short haul, they may have survived. Norwegian Air have shown that long haul no frills is viable.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: chrisr_75 on October 02, 2017, 16:20:52
Only engineered in the sense that Monarch were competing in a highly competitive short haul market. They had lost a lot of business to areas where they had little competition - Turkey and Egypt - due to political instability. The weak pound also contributed. Their income was in sterling, but their expenditure was in dollars (lease fees and fuel) and euros (airport charges). A perfect storm.

Yes, Ryanair and other airlines will pick up additional business. Passengers. Assets. Slots. But that's not a conspiracy.

Monarch themselves had profited from the bankruptcy of other airlines throughout their history. British Eagle, Court Line, Laker Airways. Passenger air transport is a ruthless business.

Engineered only in the sense that the downfall of Monarch was foreseen by O'Leary who took a bit of a punt on it being a potential bail out for his current problems. I wouldn't put that past him.

I wasn't suggesting any conspiracy theories or that he would try anything idiotic to actually bring the airline down by nefarious means. Just shrewd business acumen.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: stuving on October 02, 2017, 16:23:18
Another failure by Hedge Funds who think they can make a (quick) buck but find they can't once they've picked it up.....always beware once the company you work for falls into a hedge funds hands.

No, not a hedge fund - they don't run companies, they try to invest in a way that reduces risk to themselves. I think you mean private equity, which is the business of buying companies, shaking them up, and selling at a profit. Their methods include not just "normal" management of the business, but often pretty much classic asset stripping - sale and leaseback of property, loading the company with debt and paying yourselves (as the company has been taken private and has no other shareholders), etc. That is really increasing risk, as the  nett value of the business is reduced to close to zero and it doesn't take a lot to push it below that. Mind you, that's what Kingfisher did to Woolworths, so those methods aren't confined to disreputable short-term operators.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on October 02, 2017, 16:30:55
I do, you're right, thank you. Invest in companies they know nothing about, make a pigs ear of managing them, and find they go bust. I wonder why they bother sometimes.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: TonyK on October 02, 2017, 21:05:13
There are some crazy price offerings from Ryanair already. I would take advantage if there was a gap in my dairy.

Monarch was a tenth of the size of Ryanair, which is Europe's biggest airline by pax numbers, and has probably the youngest fleet. Having started with an Embraer turboprop, the airline has turned into a multi-national operation. Being nasty to staff and passengers has been part of its modus operandi since. I'm not sure it will serve it well in the future, although cheap and nasty is more appealing than dear and nice.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Trowres on October 02, 2017, 21:13:18
There are some crazy price offerings from Ryanair already. I would take advantage if there was a gap in my dairy.

What's the going rate for Jersey to Bristol, economy class bovine?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Thatcham Crossing on October 02, 2017, 22:50:57
Very sad to see Monarch's demise, but it does seem that their management were sleepwalking towards this day. Failed to adapt and re-positioned themselves as a scheduled low-cost airline, but with the high cost-base that the likes of Easyjet and Ryanair don't have. Those guys also have scale (along with bases all over Europe), which Monarch didn't have either. For sure, the dramatic fall in traffic to some of their biggest markets (Egypt, Turkey) was a factor, but it was only a factor.

Ryanair are already inviting former Monarch pilots to come and talk to them in Manchester on Wednesday (although whether they would pay for type-ratings conversions for Monarch's Airbus-only pilots to their Boeings is another matter!), and other Airbus operators such as BA and Easyjet will no doubt take some of them.

Monarch also had an open order with Boeing for 30+ new 737MAX aircraft, which was going to see them switch allegience from Airbus (never a cheap thing for an airline to do) and there had been speculation in recent days (prior to last nights announcement) that an airline interested in picking-up these orders (eg, Norwegian) might step in. Seems too late for that now, sadly.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: LiskeardRich on October 02, 2017, 23:12:18

The CAA obviously thought there wasn't much likelihood of Monarch's survival - indeed they effectively jacked up their prices so much at the weekend that no sensible person would have booked with them since Friday which may have been part of the management of the situation. 

The CAA held the key, monarchs operating licence was due to run out on 30th sept, and CAA were not renewing it due to financial standing. The CAA extended it by 24 hours. The cynic in me suspects that was so they could sort out relief flights.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: John R on October 03, 2017, 07:48:45
I think that's correct. Else there would have been a 24/48 hr period when passengers abroad were left in limbo.

The situation does appear to have been managed as effectively as it could have been given the circumstances. Maybe the person responsible could be seconded to GWR to help them sort out the tricky job of running all its services on a day to day basis.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: chrisr_75 on October 03, 2017, 09:24:29
I think that's correct. Else there would have been a 24/48 hr period when passengers abroad were left in limbo.

The situation does appear to have been managed as effectively as it could have been given the circumstances. Maybe the person responsible could be seconded to GWR to help them sort out the tricky job of running all its services on a day to day basis.

Ah, but there is an award winning MD at the helm as we type, surely no one could possibly do a better job than he with the acrylic trophy?


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: didcotdean on October 03, 2017, 09:59:40

The CAA obviously thought there wasn't much likelihood of Monarch's survival - indeed they effectively jacked up their prices so much at the weekend that no sensible person would have booked with them since Friday which may have been part of the management of the situation. 

The CAA held the key, monarchs operating licence was due to run out on 30th sept, and CAA were not renewing it due to financial standing. The CAA extended it by 24 hours. The cynic in me suspects that was so they could sort out relief flights.

It has also been suggested that this was part of an agreement - Monarch to continue trading (although not really taking new custom), and  a lot of people return at the weekend that would have been affected by a gap in provision if it had stopped on say Saturday. Of course this also means that some people were flown abroad during the weekend too, but there will be time to organise their return flight and the overall cost to the CAA would be similar.


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on December 13, 2017, 01:41:06
An update, from the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-42320733):

Quote
Ryanair pilots to strike before Christmas

Ryanair passengers face disruption to their Christmas travel plans after pilots and crew announced industrial action in a bid to win union recognition and better conditions.

In Ireland, 79 pilots based in Dublin will strike for one day on 20 December.

The airline, which does not recognise unions, said they represented about 28% of its Dublin-based captains.

Meanwhile, Ryanair pilots and cabin crew in Italy plan to strike for four hours on 15 December.

The airline said last week it would "ignore" the Italian move, claiming staff rarely heeded calls to walk out.

Pilots based in Portugal and Germany also plan industrial action.

Cockpit, the German pilots' union, said its Ryanair members would strike for better pay and conditions if the airline refused to begin talks, but vowed not to disrupt flights over Christmas.

Ryanair said it would "not deal with or recognise" the German union "regardless of what action - if any - takes place".

Unions have long argued that their airline fails to offer pilots the same pay and conditions as its rivals.

Impact, the Irish pilots' union, said the dispute was "solely about winning independent representation for pilots in the company", said official Ashley Connolly.

The union warned of further strikes if Ryanair failed to reach agreement with its members.

"Ryanair will deal with any such disruptions if, or when they arise, and we apologise sincerely to customers for any upset or worry this threatened action... may cause," the company said.

It said the Dublin staff who planned to strike were a "small group of pilots who are working their notice and will shortly leave Ryanair, so they don't care how much upset they cause colleagues or customers".

Analysts at Goodbody said although there were deep divisions between pilots and Ryanair management, the "headlines are worse than the reality on the ground" they wrote in a note.

In September Ryanair said more than 2,000 flights would be cancelled this winter after it rearranged pilots' rosters to comply with new aviation rules.

Later that month it announced 18,000 further flights would be cancelled over the winter season, affecting more than 700,000 passengers.

Ryanair chief executive Michael O'Leary wrote to its 4,200 pilots to apologise for the changes to their rotas and urged them not to leave the airline.

However, this week it warned Dublin pilots they would lose agreed benefits by striking.

Many of the airline's pilots have joined unions following the cancellations, but Ryanair said it could legally decline to negotiate with them.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: Chris from Nailsea on December 20, 2017, 00:25:55
From the BBC (http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/business-42386891):

Quote
Ryanair pilots in Ireland suspend strike plans

Ryanair pilots have suspended a pre-Christmas one-day strike, union bosses have announced.

The Impact union, which represents Irish-based pilots, has agreed to meet Ryanair's management on Tuesday ahead of the planned action on Wednesday.

It follows Ryanair's decision on Friday to recognise unions, in a bid to avert strikes across its European operations.

Unions in other countries had already halted action, but Impact said Irish pilots wanted more clarification.

In a statement on Sunday, the union said: "Impact has this evening suspended a planned one-day strike of Ryanair pilots next Wednesday after company management agreed to recognise the union as the representative of Irish-based pilots. The union has agreed to meet management on Tuesday evening, but says it is available to meet sooner.

"The union asked management to release its Ryanair pilot representatives to prepare for and attend the meeting. The union acknowledged the principled determination of Ryanair pilots."

The airline has offered to recognise trade unions for the first time after pilots in Ireland, the UK, Germany, Italy, Spain and Portugal threatened walkouts.

Ryanair said on Saturday that it would meet the German pilots' union for talks on Wednesday.

The airline's chief operations officer, Peter Bellew, confirmed the planned meetings in a social media post on Saturday, saying "let's keep talking".

The Dublin-based airline announced on Friday that it would recognise the unions "as long as they establish committees of Ryanair pilots... as Ryanair will not engage with pilots who fly for competitor airlines".

It is the first time Ryanair boss Michael O'Leary has extended such an invitation to union leaders in the 32 years the company has been flying.

Britain's Balpa union said on Saturday said it had accepted Ryanair's offer to represent British-based pilots, but only if the TUC federation of British trade unions was allowed to attend future talks.

Friday's announcement led to Italian pilots' union Anpac and Portuguese union Spac calling off strike action due to take place next week.

Pilots in Germany had voted to take industrial action some time during the Christmas period.

German union Vereinigung Cockpit said the onus was now on Ryanair to "prove that this announcement is serious".

In Spain, there are no strikes planned for pilots but ground staff unions have not ruled out action on 30 December.

In October, Mr O'Leary wrote to his airline's pilots to offer them better pay and conditions after Ryanair was forced to cancel thousands of flights.

The carrier admitted it had "messed up" the planning of its pilots' holidays.




Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: IndustryInsider on December 28, 2017, 14:43:26
More woe for Ryanair (and other air carriers):

https://news.sky.com/story/stranded-air-passengers-sleep-on-baggage-belts-after-snow-and-ice-sparks-cancellations-11186983


Title: Re: Widespread Ryanair cancellations from September 2017 until March 2018
Post by: ChrisB on December 28, 2017, 14:50:03
These things happen in Winter all over the world. Expectation management is needed.



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