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31  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 07, 2024, 09:39:59
Things aren’t going well for the 0745 Bristol-Paddington which appears to be stuck in the Westbury area due a points failure.
32  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 07, 2024, 08:58:28
Becoming clearer now. The Berks and Hants IS now open but expect delays and cancellations as there has been damage to infrastructure:

Quote
Cancellations to services between Reading and Westbury

Due to heavy rain flooding the railway between Reading and Westbury fewer trains are able to run.

Train services running to and from these stations will be cancelled, delayed or revised. Disruption is expected until the end of the day.

Customer Advice

The route between Reading and Westbury is available for the resumption of train services. However, owing to damage to some lineside components fewer trains are able to operate. There are issues in other areas of our network which will prevent an early resumption of services but we, together with our industry colleagues, are working tirelessly to enable services to operate.

Initially, passengers from Reading for destinations via Theale to Newbury should use the Reading Buses JetBlack 1 bus service on which GWR (Great Western Railway) rail tickets will be accepted. Note that the JetBlack 1 bus service does not call at locations immediately adjacent to all the local railway stations and operates an houry service on Sundays.

A limited shuttle train service will operate between Reading and Theale but please note that there are no onward connecting services from Theale.

A very limited rail replacement mini-bus service will be operating between Newbury and Bedwyn.
33  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 07, 2024, 08:18:29
The 0745 Bristol to London is heading towards Westbury presumably to join the Berks and Hants at Hawkeridge Junction.

Pewsey Departure board is blank.

Westbury departure board showing London trains as running via Berks and Hants.

Cancellations of services that were due to be leaving Paddington now appearing on journeycheck.
34  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 07, 2024, 07:39:00
Journey planners are still showing bus services to Swindon on today, Sunday 7th. Trains to Bristol and South Wales are supposed to be diverted via Pewsey. Journeycheck predicts disruption of services via Pewsey until end of 7th.

Anybody know what's being planned?

Looking at journeycheck for clues at the moment (7.34) is a bit pointless as there are contradictory scenarios being shown. You can’t have the Berks and Hants closed AND engineering work between Chippenham and Reading and be able to run direct trains between South Wales/Bristol/Southwest and London.

Would be crazy to try and bus everyone between Chippenham and Reading from trains coming from all three places listed above.
35  Journey by Journey / South Western services / Re: Landslip Crewkerne Tunnel on: January 06, 2024, 08:53:19
I’d be very concerned about the entrance to this tunnel and the very vertical cutting leading up to it. It just doesn’t look good at all.
36  Journey by Journey / TransWilts line / Re: 2024 - Service update and amendment log, Swindon <-> Westbury on: January 06, 2024, 08:01:31
Due to flooding between Westbury and Swindon fewer trains are able to run on all lines.
Train services running through these stations have been cancelled. Disruption is expected until the end of the day.
That needs rewording. There is NO flooding between Westbury and Swindon*. This line is now being used for SW services which are no longer going via Bristol. Normal half hourly Bristol to London services resumed along with South Wales services diverted but now no longer stopping at Bath Spa.

GWR (Great Western Railway) should be more clear and say why there are no Tranwilts services.

*On the railway line at least. Flooding elsewhere in Wiltshire.
37  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 05, 2024, 11:47:40
If you want to understand what the Met Office is up against in their forecasting, I suggest following their weekly "Deep Dive" on their You Tube channel.  They do indeed look at the European and even the US weather models as well as their own.  
I do thank you ellendune and I have a great deal of respect for the work the Met Office do.

I was referring more to their warnings being very much based on one model from observations I've been making of issued weather warnings of late. As soon as UKV shows it, the warnings reflect what it shows. Fair enough, you may say. That's their forecast model very much aimed at the UK (United Kingdom). All I'm asking is should their warnings take into consideration what other forecast models are showing and not just what the latest run of UKV is showing? That model's performance of late at times has left a lot to be desired.
38  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 05, 2024, 10:30:12
On the flooding front if anyone wants to use Didcot Parkway, consider bringing your wellies. The drainage for the underpass has been overwhelmed again with platforms 4 & 5 presently out of use.

Quote
Cancellations to services between Didcot Parkway and Oxford

Due to flooding between Didcot Parkway and Oxford some lines are closed.

Train services running through these stations may be cancelled or revised. Disruption is expected until the end of the day.

Can you tell me more about the incident?
We are unable to use some of the platforms at Didcot Parkway owing to flooding. Due to this our local stopping services cannot run and the majority of our high speed services cannot call at Didcot Parkway either.

What are my alternatives?
To assist you with your journey we will be operating a minimal rail replacement service at stations between Oxford and Didcot Parkway.
39  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 05, 2024, 10:15:17
The UK (United Kingdom) Met Office's high resolution model (UKV) has definitely performed quite poorly this week for accuracy in predicting the rain on both Tuesday and Thursday for both intensity and positioning. It has come into line with other models such as the French Arpege late on but this means it wasn't represented too well early in public forecasts (ie just being described along the lines of 'something to look out for').
Of late, I'm getting the impression that Met Office weather warnings are pretty much only based on what their UKV model is showing. Going back to Tuesday, as you say the French Arpege model was showing higher wind speeds the night before that were worthy of an amber warning. The following morning the UKV showed these higher wind speeds with the yellow warning upgraded to amber. A difficult call I know as you always want a warning to mean something. If you issue too many warnings or too higher warnings, their significance can be diluted, especially by the click bait media!
40  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 05, 2024, 08:35:22
The forecast being made at 6pm on Wednesday was very clear - widespread heavy rain across all of southern England, with inevitable flooding risk due to the very high groundwater levels, leading to travel disruption. I don't think it could have been much clearer for GWR (Great Western Railway) to act.

It was a pretty exceptional rainfall event, as it was developing as it arrived and was torrential in many places. But with the chaos of Tuesday still hopefully fresh in their minds, there really shouldn't have been any excuse.
Even if GWR had issued a ‘Do Not Travel’ alert earlier, how many people would have observed this instruction? Most people haven’t got any choice but to travel for work.

This instruction of not to travel is happening so frequently on the railways for various reasons that its meaning may have been diluted somewhat and would wear thin with some managers of companies people work for. People travel anyway and hope for the best.

It wasn’t until the evening that the service rapidly deteriorated massively enhanced by the tragic incidents at Pangborne. That couldn’t have been foreseen.
41  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 05, 2024, 07:58:10
Looks like nothing running on the Berks and Hants due to flooding with SW services diverted via Bristol calling additionally at Temple Meads. To make space for this and the diverted South Wales services, one of the half hourly Bristol to London services canned with Swansea to London services now calling additionally at Bath Spa.
42  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 04, 2024, 22:16:24
Things aren’t going well on SWR» (South Western Railway - about) either:

Quote
Cancellations to services on all routes

Due to forecast severe weather:

What's Going On:
Train services running across the whole South Western Railway network may be cancelled, delayed or revised. Disruption is expected until the end of the day.

What We're Doing About It:
Extreme rainfall is currently causing disruption to train services in the South of England and we expect this to continue until the at least the end of the day. If you are travelling tomorrow (05 January) we would advise you to check before you travel as we expect that our services may be impacted by the disruption this evening.

The following changes to our train services will apply this evening:
Waterloo to Portsmouth via Eastleigh services are cancelled in both directions
Waterloo to Bournemouth / Weymouth services will start and end its journey at Southampton Central
Waterloo to Exeter St David's services will start and end its journey at Salisbury
Southampton to Portsmouth via Netley services are cancelled in both directions
Salisbury to Southampton via Romsey services are cancelled in both directions
Guildford to Farnham services are cancelled in both directions
Ascot to Aldershot services are cancelled in both directions
All Island line services are cancelled

If you are travelling to stations West and South of Basingstoke and have not yet started your journey, we advise you not to travel. Tickets dated for today (04 January) on SWR services will be valid for travel tomorrow on SWR services only (05 January).

And now this:

Quote
Cancellations to services between Winchester and Micheldever

Due to a landslip between Winchester and Micheldever all lines are blocked.

What's Going On:
Train services running through these stations may be cancelled, delayed or revised. Disruption is expected until the end of the day.

What We're Doing About It:
We have been informed that there is a landslip between Winchester and Micheldever. This means that all lines are currently blocked.



43  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Travel advice 4th January onwards on: January 04, 2024, 21:32:52
11 different line updates merged into one:

Quote
Cancellations to services on all routes
Due to heavy rain flooding the railway all lines are disrupted.
Train services running across the whole Great Western Railway network will be cancelled. Disruption is expected until the end of the day.
Customer Advice
We apologise for the disruption to your journey today.

We are currently experiencing significant disruption on the network and customers are advised NOT TO TRAVEL.

Flooding has closed several routes and a person has been hit by a train near Reading.

Disruption is expected until the end of the day and you may not be able to complete your journey. If possible, please return in your direction of travel and make alternative arrangements. Please keep receipts for future reimbursement.

GWR (Great Western Railway) and Elizabeth Line services will continue to operate between Paddington and Reading.

Customers should check before travelling in the morning as we expect further disruption to services from the severe weather forecast overnight.

Tickets for travel today will be valid tomorrow.

95 cancellations currently listed.

Earlier in the evening you could witness the service completely unraveling by various station departure boards showing more and more services down as DELAYED followed by CANCELLED and now they are blank. The Paddington departure board just showing Heathrow Express services.

It has to be said the rainfall this afternoon and evening over Southern England was pretty exceptional in terms of intensity over a wide area and longevity. This coming on top of many days of rain previously.

To be fair to GWR, it was only in the morning that the Met Office upgraded yesterday’s yellow warning for rainfall to another level within the scope of a yellow warning. Based on this, I don't think GWR could have issued their advice regards travelling earlier or starting your journey much earlier than lunchtime.

On a separate but related note, it’s debatable whether it should have been an Amber weather warning given the amount of rain having fallen previously.
44  Sideshoots - associated subjects / Railway History and related topics / Re: Falmouth branch in 1976 on: January 04, 2024, 19:10:55
*Anyone else still miss Westward's Gus Honeybun?  Grin
Yup, I remember Gus Honeybun. Whenever we visited my Grandad in Cornwall or stayed in a static caravan in West Wales* we’d see Gus on the TV.

*The aerials on the caravans were always pointed towards Devon and Cornwall. Clearly didn’t rate Welsh TV in those days.
45  All across the Great Western territory / Across the West / Re: Infrastructure problems in Thames Valley causing disruption elsewhere - ongoing, since Oct 2014 on: December 22, 2023, 20:13:12
If that means urinating on the train, so be it. Uncomfortable, horrible, but it ain't going to kill you!
Yeah, perfectly acceptable in the 21st century for people to be expected to **** in the corner of a train. Come on Chris, think of the female passengers who needed to go.
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