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Author Topic: How much would it cost the build the Great Western Railway today?  (Read 6204 times)
Not from Brighton
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« on: March 15, 2009, 01:19:51 »

I have noticed a number of posts on other thread's citing excessive 'elf & safety, burocracy etc as an impediment to, well anything really.

Can anyone make a good estimate of how much it would cost to build the original Great Western Railway from London to Bristol today?
Is it possible to translate the actual cost from back then into today's money?
Anyone like to hazard a guess as to which figure would be higher?
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bemmy
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« Reply #1 on: March 15, 2009, 16:14:13 »

Well if they were going to employ thousands of Irish navvies at today's minimum wage, instead of the pittance they used to get in the 19th Century, it would cost as much as baling out a medium sized bank!  Grin
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The Grecian
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« Reply #2 on: March 15, 2009, 19:03:23 »

I'd be surprised if building it today wouldn't be more expensive. As bemmy points out you'd have a much more expensive workforce, plus a considerable amount of health and safety regulations - something which didn't overly concern Mr Brunel. Even given the difference in construction techniques and materials, it would surely take longer and probably involve extra staff, so I'd have thought it would definitely cost more today.
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John R
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« Reply #3 on: March 15, 2009, 22:25:19 »

Don't forget the 20 years from thinking about the concept, numerous consultancy reports, prevaricating by the government of the day (whichever colour), and then 4 years for the public enquiry.

But in that time, it would have been announced no less than 5 times as going ahead by the various governments. 
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Chris from Nailsea
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« Reply #4 on: March 16, 2009, 02:04:03 »

... and at each announcement, the cost would be quoted - increased by a factor of 10 - just in case the actual cost was less, and the eventual result could then be hailed as a success, "under budget"!

 Roll Eyes
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William Huskisson MP (Member of Parliament) was the first person to be killed by a train while crossing the tracks, in 1830.  Many more have died in the same way since then.  Don't take a chance: stop, look, listen.

"Level crossings are safe, unless they are used in an unsafe manner."  Discuss.
G.Uard
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« Reply #5 on: March 16, 2009, 06:04:01 »

Just put some ballast down on the M4/M32, bulldoze the less attractive parts of South Brizzle and same again for the M5.   Grin
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bemmy
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« Reply #6 on: March 16, 2009, 08:13:10 »

bulldoze the less attractive parts of South Brizzle
Oi! that's my house that is!  Grin
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eightf48544
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« Reply #7 on: March 16, 2009, 10:44:06 »

What about HS2 (The next High Speed line(s)) on stilts above the motorways?

Back to the original point don't forget Brunel was somewhat haphazard with his costings.

I did find a web site which gives the value of the pound in todays money for various historical dates, so it would be relatively easy to express the final cost of London Bristol (if known, accountancy tricks are nothing new!) in todays pounds.

You could then make a per mile comparison with say the first part of HS1 (High Speed line 1 - St Pancras to Channel Tunnel) to North of the Medway. This would be fair comparison because both were constructed using the latest contruction methods available, men and horses for Brunel and mechanical earth movers for HS1. They both deployed  latest rail technology steam broad gauge and 25KV electric with cab signalling. Both lines were built as mostly two track in open country. You've got a major structure in the Medway bridge to compare with Warncliffe, Maidenhead and Box tunnel. You can't  make a direct comparison with the remainder of the route to St Pancras because it's mostly in tunnel. Although it would still make an interesting exercise and might answer whether modern tecnology in rail construction has made overll construction of new lines.

There is also another comparison which is timescale, agreed The Great Western was probably quicker from conception to opening than HS1 but I'm not sure if you compare from turning the first sod to completion there would be much difference. One would hope that modern machinery nowadays would be quicker.

Another possible compaison is the Selby diveversion on the ECML (East Coast Main Line), that was put in by BR (British Rail(ways)) before elf and safety and consultants were invented.

Does anyone have access to above figures to make the comparison.






« Last Edit: March 17, 2009, 23:24:24 by eightf48544 » Logged
Not from Brighton
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« Reply #8 on: March 17, 2009, 20:38:07 »

Ok, done a bit of digging.
According to a report entitled Channel Tunnel Rail Link from the House of Commons Committee of Public Accounts, total expenditure on section 2 was ^3bn out of a total cost of ^5.8bn.  That would leave ^2.8bn for section 1.
According to Wikipedia, section 1 of HS1 (High Speed line 1 - St Pancras to Channel Tunnel) is 46miles long.  So that's ^60.9 million per mile (at 2003 prices).
greatwestern.org.uk has it that Brunel's railway cost ^6.5 million (more than twice estimated).  It is 118miles long so that's 55.1 thousand pounds per mile (at 1841 prices).

So how do we go about adjusting for inflation??!?!
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welshman
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« Reply #9 on: March 17, 2009, 20:54:38 »

I found an American inflation calculation site which suggested ^1.1million as a current equivalent per mile.  Or ^130m or so for the whole thing.

And then I found an ONS» (Office for National Statistics - website) document which suggested an index of about 720 as against about 11 in 1841.  That would make it ^3.6m/mile or ^425m altogether.

 Grin
« Last Edit: March 17, 2009, 21:01:46 by welshman » Logged
G.Uard
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« Reply #10 on: March 17, 2009, 21:56:43 »

bulldoze the less attractive parts of South Brizzle
Oi! that's my house that is!  Grin


Ah!  Grin
The one with the sheep painted on it.
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welshman
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« Reply #11 on: March 17, 2009, 22:59:11 »

There's nothing wrong with sheep.

Some of my best friends are sheep.

 Cool
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Chris from Nailsea
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« Reply #12 on: March 17, 2009, 23:46:48 »

Lest anyone not so familiar with the various lineside artwork between Bristol Temple Meads and Bedminster is confused by this banter, may I offer this:

http://www.flickr.com/photos/ricksphotos101/3314624486/

 Wink Cheesy Grin
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William Huskisson MP (Member of Parliament) was the first person to be killed by a train while crossing the tracks, in 1830.  Many more have died in the same way since then.  Don't take a chance: stop, look, listen.

"Level crossings are safe, unless they are used in an unsafe manner."  Discuss.
G.Uard
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« Reply #13 on: March 18, 2009, 08:04:51 »

There's nothing wrong with sheep.

Some of my best friends are sheep.

 Cool

I'll shut up before I get a lambasting then.
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bemmy
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« Reply #14 on: March 18, 2009, 10:18:20 »

bulldoze the less attractive parts of South Brizzle
Oi! that's my house that is!  Grin
Ah!  Grin
The one with the sheep painted on it.
You think Totterdown's sheep and monkey houses are the least attractive places in S Bristol? better stay north of the river then!  Grin
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