The standout thing for me is the correlation with service improvements. For example cases where the red bars are at least 2x the blue bars:
• Severn Beach – at some had a 2-hourly bus off-peak (possibly inc 2005)
• Falmouth – loop & doubled service
• Okehampton – proper service introduced
• Newquay – basic daytime service (ignoring summer weekends) doubled (or similar)
• Barnstaple – not had a headline change IIRC▸ but more consistently hourly now perhaps?
Can't think of a factor for St Ives's huge change, unless perhaps tied in with a Cornish holiday boom or Park & Ride marketing.
Cf some others that haven't changed much – e.g. Looe, which hasn't had any obvious service improvements, and perhaps anecdotally is particularly prone to problems. Weymouth has two rouces of course – summer offering arguably deteriorated somewhat but IIRC the SWR» offering has improved.
Exmouth is perhaps the most 'commutery' line there? So perhaps its WFH▸ -related losses have disproportionately offset the other general increases in ridership over those two decades.
The thing that struck me is how
different all the lines / cases are.
Falmouth Dock, Severn Beach, Paignton and Gunnislake are all at the end of branches with more major intermediate stations, and the health of the line does not hinge only on the terminal.
Weymouth ... feels to me like a case of a station that falls - badly - between two stools. It has felt at times like a darned nuisance with peaky
GWR▸ loadings and with trains on "high days" being shortened and fewer extras. On SWR, passengers coming in have to pass through other attractive places such as Bournemouth and Poole, and day trips are perhaps abstracted by those places. And the station is not welcoming.
St Ives ... the other extreme? The station itself is basic but the marketing had people parking up at St Erth (was Lelant Saltings) and it's very much a part of the tourist flow.
It would be very interesting to make other comparisons, St Ives v Weymouth
* Number of day visitors on a typical summer day, split down by how they arrive in the town
* Number of overnight rooms for holiday makers
* Number of commuters (classic definition - regular travellers) again by mode
* Marketing budget for public transport
* Some measure of bus services in and out of the town